Facts vs Feelings with Ryan Detrick & Sonu Varghese

How do you know when to stay the course or press the panic button during market volatility?In this special episode, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group & Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist at Carson Group, chat with Barry Gilbert, CFA®, Ph.D. Vice President, Asset Allocation Strategist at Carson Group, and Grant Engelbart CFA®, CAIA®, Vice President, Investment Strategist at Carson Group, for a discussion of this period of heightened market turmoil. The team dives into the recent volatility triggered by the Bank of Japan's actions, the impact of weak job data on the Fed's interest rate decisions, and the ripple effects on both global and domestic markets. They discuss: The Bank of Japan's unexpected moves and their impact on global marketsAnalysis of recent job data and what it means for future Fed rate cutsHow current earnings reports reflect broader market conditionsDiversification strategies to manage riskAnd more!Resources:Any questions about the show? Send it to us! We’d love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com Connect with Barry Gilbert: LinkedIn: Barry GilbertConnect with Grant Engelbart: LinkedIn: Grant EngelbartConnect with Ryan Detrick: LinkedIn: Ryan DetrickX: Ryan DetrickConnect with Sonu Varghese: LinkedIn: Sonu VargheseX: Sonu VargheseAbout Barry Gilbert:Barry Gilbert is a Vice President, Asset Allocation Strategist. As the VP, Asset Allocation Strategist, Barry Gilbert combines a background in thought leadership with a pragmatic and disciplined approach to portfolio management.Barry holds a PhD in philosophy from Boston University, an MA from the Pennsylvania State University, and a BA from Haverford College. A former educator, he taught finance and economics in the MSF and MBA programs at Northeastern University’s D’Amore-McKim School of Business. Prior to his career in asset management, Barry taught philosophy, the history of ideas, and writing and rhetoric at Harvard University, Trinity College and Boston University, and has served as a visiting research fellow at the Institute for Human Sciences in Vienna, an international think tank in politics and economics.About Grant Engelbart:Grant Engelbart serves as Vice President, Investment Strategist for Carson Group. In this role, Grant is part of the team responsible for the management of the Carson Investment platform, In-house Carson model portfolios, and contribution to the overall asset allocation viewpoints of the investment team.Grant received his Bachelor of Science in finance from the University of Nebraska at Lincoln. He is a CFA® Charter holder, holds the Chartered Alternative Investment Analyst (CAIA) designation, and Series 65 registration. He is a member of the CFA® Society of Nebraska and the CAIA Chicago chapter. He has contributed to numerous publications and is an active contributor to commentary related to the ETF industry.

How do you balance rigorous research with open-mindedness in investing? How do you communicate effectively with clients during volatile times?This week, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group & Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist at Carson Group, chat with Cliff Asness, Managing and Founding Principal at AQR Capital Management, for an insightful discussion on market strategies and the nuances of value investing. Cliff shares his thoughts on the current state of value investing, explores the concept of 'value spread,' and even dips into some fun side topics.They discuss: The current state of value investing and why it has seen challenging periodsInsights into how AQR navigates market anomaliesThe importance of communication and transparency with clientsFun personal insights into Cliff’s interests outside of finance, from hot sauce to superhero moviesAnd more!Resources:Any questions about the show? Send it to us! We’d love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com Connect with Cliff Asness: LinkedIn: Cliff AsnessX: Cliff AsnessWebsite: AQR Capital ManagementConnect with Ryan Detrick: LinkedIn: Ryan DetrickX: Ryan DetrickConnect with Sonu Varghese: LinkedIn: Sonu VargheseX: Sonu VargheseAbout Our Guest: Cliff Asness is a Founder, Managing Principal, and Chief Investment Officer at AQR Capital Management. He is an active researcher and has authored articles on a variety of financial topics for many publications, including The Journal of Portfolio Management, Financial Analysts Journal, The Journal of Finance, and The Journal of Financial Economics. He has received five Bernstein Fabozzi/Jacobs Levy Awards from The Journal of Portfolio Management in 2002, 2004, 2005, 2014, and 2015. Financial Analysts Journal has twice awarded him the Graham and Dodd Award for the year’s best paper, as well as a Graham and Dodd Excellence Award, the award for the best perspectives piece, and the Graham and Dodd Readers’ Choice Award. He has won the second prize of the Fama/DFA Prize for Capital Markets and Asset Pricing in the 2020 Journal of Financial Economics. In 2006, the CFA Institute presented Cliff with the James R. Vertin Award, which is periodically given to individuals who have produced a body of research notable for its relevance and enduring value to investment professionals. Prior to co-founding AQR Capital Management, he was a Managing Director and Director of Quantitative Research for the Asset Management Division of Goldman Sachs & Co. He is on the editorial board of The Journal of Portfolio Management, the governing board of the Courant Institute of Mathematical Finance at NYU, the board of directors of the Q-Group, the board of the International Rescue Committee and the board of trustees of The National WWII Museum. Cliff received a B.S. in economics from the Wharton School and a B.S. in engineering from the Moore School of Electrical Engineering at the University of Pennsylvania, graduating summa cum laude in both. He received an M.B.A. with high honors and a Ph.D. in finance from the University of Chicago, where he was Eugene Fama’s student and teaching assistant for two years.

Ryan Detrick & Sonu Varghese discuss travel chaos, market trends, and historical parallels. They touch on IT outages, inflation data, bullish market indicators, and the impact of Biden stepping down from elections. Topics include economic vulnerabilities, PCE inflation data, consumer and industrial strength, and significant rallies in the Russell 2000 and S&P 500.

Ryan and Sonu discuss the impact of recent inflation trends on market behavior, the rally in small caps, and the surprising improvements in inflation data. They also touch on market reactions to geopolitical events, the strength of consumer retail sales, and the potential for a dovish shift from the Fed.

Carson’s midyear outlook “Eyes on The Prize” is out now!How do you balance immediate market reactions with overarching economic indicators? What strategies can help investors stay focused amidst market noise?In this episode, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group & Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist at Carson Group, dive into their midyear outlook, discussing everything from the economy and inflation to the Fed's position and stock market expectations. You'll hear about their insights into the labor market's strength, inflation trends, and the possibility of future Fed rate cuts.Ryan and Sonu discuss: The current state and future outlook of the U.S. economyRecent trends in inflation and the Federal Reserve's next movesStock market analysis and predictions for the second half of the yearPortfolio strategies and the role of alternatives in today's financial landscapeAnd more!Resources:Any questions about the show? Send it to us! We’d love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com Midyear Outlook '24: Eyes on The PrizeLive Webinar Link - Tuesday, July 16 at 1pm CTConnect with Ryan Detrick: LinkedIn: Ryan DetrickX: Ryan DetrickConnect with Sonu Varghese: LinkedIn: Sonu VargheseX: Sonu Varghese

What drives the relentless ascent of stock prices, and how does a tech giant like Nvidia find itself at the forefront of market value?In this episode, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group & Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist at Carson Group dive into the current bull market and discuss potential future trends. They analyze Nvidia's astonishing rise, making it the most valuable company in the world for a brief moment, and what that means for other tech giants and the broader market. You'll gain insights into the first half of the year's stock performance and the economic indicators that are shaping investor sentiment. Special attention is given to the resilience of the U.S. economy, sector performances, and expectations for the year's second half.Ryan and Sonu discuss: Analysis of Nvidia's explosive growth and its impact on the stock marketA review of first-half stock performance and what it implies for the second half of the yearKey economic indicators, including industrial production and consumer spendingInsights into the resilience of the U.S. economy and sector performances beyond techAnd more!Resources:Any questions about the show? Send it to us! We’d love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com Connect with Ryan Detrick: LinkedIn: Ryan DetrickX: Ryan DetrickConnect with Sonu Varghese: LinkedIn: Sonu VargheseX: Sonu Varghese

What is the biggest mistake the Fed could potentially make? With inflation cooling off, is the change in the Fed’s behavior the right move?In this episode, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group & Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist at Carson Group, dissect the Federal Reserve's recent decisions, the outlook for inflation, and why the economy's resilience might lead to unexpected outcomes. They dive into market breadth, the complexities of inflation data, and explore whether the Fed's continued hawkish stance is justified amid signs of softening inflation. Ryan and Sonu discuss: Market breadth and its impact on equity performanceInflation trends and underlying improvements in CPI and PPI dataThe Fed's recent hawkish signals and what they mean for future rate cutsClarification on the so-called petrodollar issue and its implicationsAnd more!Resources:Any questions about the show? Send it to us! We’d love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com Connect with Ryan Detrick: LinkedIn: Ryan DetrickX: Ryan DetrickConnect with Sonu Varghese: LinkedIn: Sonu VargheseX: Sonu Varghese

It's always a great time to talk with a key individual in the industry, and today we are excited to welcome back Professor Jeremy Siegel!In this special episode of Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist at Carson Group sit down with Professor Jeremy Siegel, Professor Emeritus & Chief Economist at Wisdomtree Asset Management, to explore topics ranging from the stock market to AI's impact on GDP and the Federal Reserve's role in shaping the economy. They uncover the timeless principles of investing and the potential of AI to revolutionize productivity and growth.Together they cover: Why stocks still offer attractive returns over bonds despite yieldsA comparison of today's tech stock valuations with the 2000s dot-com bubbleEmotional vs. rational decision-making in bear markets.Potential long-term benefits of AI on GDP growth and investment strategiesAnd more!Resources:Any questions about the show? Send it to us! We’d love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com Professor Jeremy Siegel (Ep. 26)Talking About Markets and Life with Jeremy Schwartz (Ep. 87)Connect with Ryan Detrick: LinkedIn: Ryan DetrickX: Ryan DetrickConnect with Sonu Varghese: LinkedIn: Sonu VargheseX: Sonu VargheseAbout Our Guest:Jeremy Siegel is the Russell E. Palmer Professor of Finance at the Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania. He graduated from Columbia University in 1967, received his Ph.D. in Economics from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology in 1971, and spent one year as a National Science Foundation Post-Doctoral Fellow at Harvard University. Prof. Siegel taught for four years at the Graduate School of Business of the University of Chicago before joining the Wharton faculty in 1976. He has written and lectured extensively about the economy and financial markets, has appeared frequently on CNN, CNBC, NPR and others networks. He is a regular columnist for Kiplinger’s and Yahoo! Finance and has contributed articles to The Wall Street Journal, Barron’s, The Financial Times and other national and international news media. Prof. Siegel served for 15 years as head of economics training at JP Morgan and is currently the academic director of the U.S. Securities Industry Institute. Prof. Siegel is the author of numerous professional articles and three books.Prof. Siegel is currently the academic director of the U.S. Securities Industry Institute. He also currently serves as Senior Investment Strategy Advisor of WisdomTree Investments, Inc., consulting the firm on its proprietary stock indexes. He is also a member of the company’s board of directors.Professor Jeremy Siegel is not affiliated with CWM, LLC.

Ryan Detrick and Sonu Varghese analyze recent global stock market fluctuations post-elections in India and Mexico. They discuss the role of news in market volatility, strong stock performance in May, concerns about a potential slowdown, inflation data, and consumer behavior effects on market trends. The podcast explores historical data insights, market momentum, and a positive outlook on equities despite economic uncertainties.

Markets remain uncertain, but sitting down with top industry insiders can help clear the uncertainties.In this episode, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group & Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist at Carson Group, are joined by Jeremy Schwartz, Global Chief Investment Officer at WisdomTree Asset Management. Together they engage in a rich conversation on the current state of global markets, the impact of inflation, tech stocks, the future of interest rates and more!Jeremy discusses: His journey with Professor Siegel and the inception of WisdomTree Asset ManagementThe nuances of currency valuation and the implications for international investingInsights into the Japanese market, Warren Buffett’s investment strategies, and the potential of India as an investment destinationThe competitive landscape of China’s market and the tactical considerations for investorsThe potential for AI to revolutionize productivity and its long-term implications for the economyThe importance of real-time data in understanding economic indicators like inflation and housing costsThe influence of tech companies on market indices and the broader implications for sector-based investingThe future of interest rates and the debate between market expectations and Federal Reserve projectionsAnd more!Resources:Any questions about the show? Send it to us! We’d love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com Connect with Jeremy Schwartz: LinkedIn: Jeremy SchwartzX: Jeremy SchwartzConnect with Ryan Detrick: LinkedIn: Ryan DetrickX: Ryan DetrickConnect with Sonu Varghese: LinkedIn: Sonu VargheseX: Sonu VargheseAbout Our Guest:Jeremy Schwartz has served as our Global Chief Investment Officer since November 2021 and leads WisdomTree’s investment strategy team in the construction of WisdomTree’s equity Indexes, quantitative active strategies and multi-asset Model Portfolios. Jeremy joined WisdomTree in May 2005 as a Senior Analyst, adding Deputy Director of Research to his responsibilities in February 2007. He served as Director of Research from October 2008 to October 2018 and as Global Head of Research from November 2018 to November 2021. Before joining WisdomTree, he was a head research assistant for Professor Jeremy Siegel and, in 2022, became his co-author on the sixth edition of the book Stocks for the Long Run. Jeremy is also co-author of the Financial Analysts Journal paper “What Happened to the Original Stocks in the S&P 500?” He received his B.S. in economics from The Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania and hosts the Wharton Business Radio program Behind the Markets on SiriusXM 132. Jeremy is a member of the CFA Society of Philadelphia.