Bloomberg Surveillance

Dean Curnutt, CEO and founder of Macro Risk Advisors, provides sharp insights into today's market landscape filled with volatility. He discusses how traders are strategically navigating uncertainty ahead of the Fed's critical interest rate decision. Curnutt also highlights the implications of geopolitical tensions, particularly Turkey's political crackdown affecting the economy and investor sentiment. His thoughts on risk management strategies offer valuable perspectives for those looking to safeguard their investments in these turbulent times.

Delve into the intricate interplay between economic relations and international politics, featuring insights from a London Business School expert. Discover how influential figures like Trump and Putin have shaped the global landscape. The discussion highlights the complexities of Russia's economic environment and its historical context. Additionally, explore the geopolitical tensions in Ukraine and the potential for U.S.-led peace negotiations, examining Putin's strategic maneuvers and their broader implications for Europe and the U.S.

Peter Tchir, Head of Macro Strategy at Academy Securities, shares expert insights on the precarious state of market stability amid looming recession risks. He delves into the complex dynamics of global trade tensions and their potential impact on economic growth. Pierre Ferragu, Head of Global Technology at New Street Research, discusses the uncertain outlook for Big Tech and the competitive rivalry with China, particularly in AI and chip technology. Together, they explore how these factors shape investor sentiment and market strategies.

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyMarch 19th, 2025Featuring:1) Stuart Kaiser, Head: US Equity Trading Strategy at Citi, discusses political uncertainty weighing on US equities and whether the market will see a bounce back this week as it awaits tariffs on April 2. It comes as Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said that the underlying economy is healthy and there’s no reason for the US to see a recession, while rejecting the idea of assuring there cannot be a downturn. Economists have warned there’s rising risk of an economic downturn thanks in part to uncertainty over President Trump’s tariff hikes.2) Joumanna Bercetche, host of "Bloomberg Horizons," on the broken ceasefire between Israel and Hamas. Israel launched airstrikes across Gaza, killing hundreds of people, and shattering a nearly two-month ceasefire with Hamas. The airstrikes were in response to Hamas' refusal to release remaining hostages, with Israel demanding the release of around 60 captives and Hamas' disarmament and withdrawal from power in Gaza. The conflict has led to a surge in gold and oil prices.3) Cam Harvey, professor at Duke University, joins for an extended discussion on gold, the Fed, and a potentially slowing US economy. Fed Chair Powell faces a tricky task of reassuring investors about the economy while conveying the Fed's readiness to act if necessary, amid trade war uneasiness and market volatility just as this month's FOMC Meetings get underway.4) Skylar Montgomery-Koning, FX Strategist at Barclays, on the bear and bull cases for a US dollar and a reshaping global FX landscape. Amid German rearmament, Germany’s DAX benchmark touching a new record high, and the euro firmed to a new five-month high versus the dollar.5) Lisa Mateo joins with the latest headlines in newspapers across the US, including Warren Buffett changing rules for Berkshire's March Madness bracket, and why you shouldn't pick Duke.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Explore the fascinating world of investment options, from stocks to cryptocurrencies, and the importance of personal well-being. Delve into the economic uncertainty ahead of a vital Federal Reserve meeting, where rate cuts might not suffice. Discover the Vanguard Effect and the rise of low-cost ETFs that provide stability in turbulent markets. Hear clever analogies comparing dating to long-term investments, alongside tips for mental health and financial planning, making this a must-listen for anyone navigating the financial landscape.

- Lotfi Karoui, Chief Credit Strategist at Goldman Sachs- Stephen Trent, Director: America Airlines Research at Citi- Henrietta Treyz, co-founder at Veda Partners- Neil Dutta, Head: US Economic Research at Renaissance Macro Research Lotfi Karoui with Goldman Sachs discusses opportunities in emerging markets during the recent US market selloff. Stephen Trent of Citi discusses the state of the US consumer as airlines express concern about outlooks. Veda Partners' Henrietta Trezy talks about recent headlines out of Washington including the near-government shutdown. Neil Dutta, Head: US Economic Research at Renaissance Macro Research, discusses why he believes the US economy could experience a growth slowdown.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Lori Calvasina, Chief US Equity Strategist at RBC Capital Markets, shares her revised outlook on US equities, reflecting a drop in GDP targets and a predicted 10% upside for the S&P 500. Mike Green, Chief Investment Strategist at Simplify Asset Management, discusses navigating equity market corrections and the growing trend of investors leaning toward active management. Julia Coronado, founder of MacroPolicy Perspectives, addresses how tariff uncertainties could slow the US economy, while Julie Norman, a terrorism expert, highlights evolving geopolitical dynamics in the Middle East.

Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio. In this episode, we feature conversations with John Stoltzfus & Doug Irwin. Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACFSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

- Christopher Verrone, Head: Technical & Macro Strategy at Strategas- Ed Yardeni, President at Yardeni Research- Mark Rutte, NATO Secretary General- Torsten Slok, Chief Economist at ApolloChristopher Verrone of Strategas breaks down the fundamentals behind equities entering a technical correction and whether stock could continue their decline. Ed Yardeni of Yardeni Research talks about why he's lowering his 2025 S&P year-end target. NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte joins for a discussion about the US repositioning itself on the global stage and how it's reshaping the world order. Torsten Slok, Chief Economist at Apollo, on the outlook for rate cuts and a recession in 2025.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyMarch 14th, 2025Featuring:1) John Stoltzfus, Chief Investment Strategist at Oppenheimer & Co., discusses equities entering a correction and whether now's the right time to buy. the S&P 500 has fallen into its first 10% correction in almost two years, with concerns over President Trump's trade war and its impact on the economy. the market is pricing in a recession risk much bigger than credit markets.2) Matt Diczok, Head of Fixed Income Strategy, Chief Investment Office for Merrill and Bank of America Private Bank, on signals from the bond market regarding broader economic concerns. 3) Doug Irwin, professor at Dartmouth and global trade expert, talks about his Foreign Affairs piece on trade policy and tariffs. In a sign of a trade-war escalation, Trump threatened to enact a 200% tariff on European wine, champagne and other alcoholic beverages. Also on Thursday, Trump said he would not repeal tariffs on steel and aluminum that took effect this week, nor back off plans for sweeping reciprocal tariffs on global trading partners set to start as soon as April 2.4) Sheila Kahyaoglu, Managing Director: Equity Research at Jeffries, breaks down airline earnings this week. American Airlines and Delta Air Lines have slashed their financial forecasts, citing a rapid reversal of demand trends and a broad weakness in consumer spending. Grim updates from airlines and retailers have added to market sentiment.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.