Bloomberg Surveillance

Delve into current financial market dynamics and the latest investment strategies. Hear insights on the optimistic outlook for equities amid Federal Reserve interest rate cuts. Explore the upcoming earnings season with cautious optimism, contrasting small cap performance against more stable investments. Gain expert perspectives on the evolving bond landscape, emphasizing total returns and the impact of industrial AI solutions. It's a fascinating blend of economics, finance, and global trends.

Stephen Auth, CIO of Equity at Federated Hermes, shares valuable insights into market volatility and economic data as he outlines his optimistic outlook for 2025. He discusses the impact of tariffs on the U.S. economy and the significance of mixed economic indicators. Meanwhile, Anastasia Amoroso highlights opportunities in private investments, while Frank Lee examines trends in the tech sector, focusing on growth among companies like Nvidia and AMD. Richard Greenfield delves into Disney's stock challenges and the need for strategic transformations in the entertainment landscape.

Mike Wilson, Chief US Equity Strategist at Morgan Stanley, shares insights on the equity rally and volatility expectations for 2025. Anastasia Amoroso, Chief Investment Strategist at Partners Group, discusses the potential of private investments and their market approach, referencing changes in pricing transparency. Steve Auth, CIO of Federated Hermes, examines the soft-hard data gap and its implications for the equity outlook. Together, they unpack strategies for navigating uncertainty while revealing intriguing predictions about market dynamics and equity performance.

Dive into pivotal business trends and how technology is reshaping industries. Explore the bond market's fluctuations, especially the drop in the 10-year real yield, and its implications for economic growth. Discover the traits needed in the next BLS commissioner and the significance of integrity and expertise. Plus, hear about creative promotional strategies aimed at supporting small businesses amidst changing political landscapes.

Jack Caffrey, an Equity Portfolio Manager at JPMorgan Asset Management, joins Lauren Goodwin, Chief Market Strategist/Economist at NY Life Insurance, to discuss the current stock market surge fueled by strong corporate earnings and anticipated rate cuts. They delve into the impact of tariffs on smaller businesses and the complexities of inflation and job creation. The duo also debates the reliability of economic indicators amidst political uncertainties, offering insights into navigating financial trends and crafting effective investment strategies.

Andrew Cuomo, former New York Governor and current NYC Mayoral candidate, discusses the critical strategies for engaging younger voters and the significance of New York City on a national scale. He emphasizes the importance of adapting messages to address pressing issues like public safety and affordability. The conversation also touches on the political dynamics affecting the Democratic Party and the challenges of data integrity within the Bureau of Labor Statistics, adding layers to the evolving political landscape and the role of technology.

Ed Yardeni, Chief Investment Strategist and founder at Yardeni Research, explores the potential equity rally following President Trump's tariff deadline and recent leadership changes in the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Michelle Meyer, Chief Economist at the Mastercard Economics Institute, analyzes the consumer outlook amid rising costs, highlighting a notable decline in personal consumption. Together, they discuss the interplay of tariffs, inflation, and economic resilience, providing insights into the current state of the U.S. economy.

Lori Calvasina, Head of US Equity Strategy at RBC Capital Markets, discusses her insights on the S&P target and the current market risks. She unpacks the implications of dismal US jobs data and how it fuels speculation around a September rate cut by the Federal Reserve. The conversation highlights the trustworthiness of US government data and explores how investors are adjusting strategies amidst market fluctuations. Lori also emphasizes the importance of diversification, especially as tech dominance and high valuations raise concerns.

Delve into the dynamics of the labor market and the effects of immigration on job growth and inflation. Experts dissect recent economic trends, tariffs, and unemployment insights. The conversation shifts to market dynamics and the Federal Reserve's strategies on interest rates amidst diverse inflation opinions. Political scenarios ahead of upcoming elections also play a crucial role in shaping economic dialogues. Tune in for sharp analyses and intriguing takes on today's financial landscape.

Jamieson Greer, the US Trade Representative, offers insights into the complexities of tariff policy as the Trump administration approaches critical deadlines. He discusses the nuances in ongoing trade negotiations, particularly concerning U.S.-Switzerland trade dynamics. Greer also highlights the implications of tariffs on American industries, including automotive, and emphasizes the opportunities for substantive changes in global trade strategy. Additionally, he touches on labor market trends and how immigration and tariffs influence economic indicators.