Eurodollar University

You can watch the replay of the webinar here https://event.webinarjam.com/go/replay/27/n0rnxu71sp7b8nb1FedEx warned that the US economy is now the biggest constraint on the world, experiencing what the shipper currently estimates is a very serious round of "uncertainty." However, incoming data - not to mention the dollar - shows how the situation is becoming more - not less - certain, with a whole host of updates today.  "Uncertainty" simply means "we don't like how this looks."Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisCNBC FedEx cuts full-year results forecast on ‘uncertainty’ in economy, bad weatherhttps://www.cnbc.com/2025/03/20/fedex-cuts-full-year-results-forecast-on-uncertainty-in-economy-bad-weather.htmlBloomberg Lightspeed Cuts Revenue Outlook on Weakening Consumer Confidencehttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-03-24/lightspeed-tsx-lspd-cuts-revenue-guidance-as-consumer-spending-slowsSPG US PMIshttps://www.pmi.spglobal.com/Public/Home/PressRelease/a30301f1804041a083e1a0671ee3df46SPG-HCOB EZ PMIshttps://www.pmi.spglobal.com/Public/Home/PressRelease/b4bd322643a349e99e8d6f8c290051e0Jibun Japan PMIshttps://www.pmi.spglobal.com/Public/Home/PressRelease/7a339d18dce843d68203c0455cb84caahttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

Michael Saylor's Strategy sold $700 million in preferred stock Friday, but with an eye-opening 10% dividend attached to be paid in cash. Not stock. Not coins. It was the second straight preferred sale in as many months, though the first one went off at only 8%. Security sales. Trying to get govts and Big Tech to buy Bitcoin. What is going on in the world of BTC? There's a huge STORY here, one that's bigger than Saylor. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisMSTF Pfd Stock Mar 2025https://www.strategy.com/press/strategy-announces-pricing-of-strf-perpetual-preferred-stock_03-21-2025MSTR Pfd Stock Jan 2025https://www.strategy.com/press/microstrategy-announces-pricing-of-strike-preferred-stock-offering-strk_01-31-2025MSTR Convertible Notes Nov 2024https://www.strategy.com/press/microstrategy-completes-3-billion-offering-of-convertible-senior-notes-due-2029-at-0-coupon-and-55-conversion-premium_11-21-2024Bitcoin is perfect moneyhttps://x.com/Cointelegraph/status/1902757116747612169SEC Filings 10-Q Strategy (MSTR)https://www.sec.gov/ix?doc=/Archives/edgar/data/0001050446/000095017025021814/mstr-20241231.htm#item_8_financial_statements_supplementarMichael Saylor A Digital Assets Strategy to Dominate the 21st Century Global Economyhttps://www.michael.com/a-digital-assets-strategyReason El Salvador Walks Back Its Bitcoin Lawhttps://reason.com/2025/02/03/el-salvador-walks-back-its-bitcoin-law/elsalvador.com https://www.elsalvador.com/noticias/negocios/bitcoin-el-salvador-criptomonedas-iudop-/1194324/2025/https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

If you are in any way interested in precious metals,  you need to see what today's video sponsor, Monetary Metals, is doing with them at the link below: http://www.monetary-metals.com/Snider/I am also doing a webinar on how The Global Economy is Breaking: What Comes Next & How to Prepare, you can sign up here:  https://event.webinarjam.com/register/27/l3k2rby6Canary in the coalmine. Not Mag Seven, Russell. The macroeconomic warnings are coming in from all direction. Small caps. AI bubble. Macro data. Even the Federal Reserve isn't so certain these days. With Nike and FedEx the latest to offer their $0.02, it's a bit more than mere "uncertainty."Eurodollar University's conversation w/Steve Van Metrehttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

Explore the unsettling adjustments in global monetary policy as central banks face mounting economic challenges. Recent rate cuts reflect deeper issues, not just optimism. Discover how a strong Swiss franc impacts the watch industry and the grim realities of consumer spending. Weak retail sales and rising unemployment paint a worrying picture in countries like Australia and the U.S. Central banks seem caught in a race to the bottom, with their true responses revealing a cautious approach to looming economic crises.

I am doing a webinar on how The Global Economy is Breaking: What Comes Next & How to Prepare. You can sign up here:  https://event.webinarjam.com/register/27/l3k2rby6The only question is how long the Fed can hold out, not if. With other central banks racing toward the bottom already, the fact those around the FOMC are also speaking with more forceful concerns - even downgrading - their expectations has the Fed effectively trapped, only a step maybe two away from re-entering that same race. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisBloomberg US Growth Downgrades Appear on Wall Street Amid Policy Turmoilhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2025-03-10/us-recession-growth-downgrades-appear-on-wall-street-amid-policy-turmoilAtlanta Fed GDPNow https://www.atlantafed.org/cqer/research/gdpnowAtlanta Fed GDPNow Q1 adjustmentshttps://www.linkedin.com/pulse/gdp-forecasters-some-gold-doesnt-glitter-atlantafed-fxb2e/?trackingId=IKtl2qJkTya%2FgvCxax%2FXEQ%3D%3DBloomberg Fed Needs to Raise Threat of ‘Bad News’ Rate Cuts, El-Erian Sayshttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-03-19/el-erian-says-fed-needs-to-raise-threat-of-bad-news-rate-cutshttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

If you are in any way interested in precious metals,  you need to see what today's video sponsor, Monetary Metals, is doing with them at the link below: http://www.monetary-metals.com/Snider/I am also doing a webinar on how The Global Economy is Breaking: What Comes Next & How to Prepare, you can sign up here:  https://event.webinarjam.com/register/27/l3k2rby6After credit spreads had narrowed to near historic lows last month, they've made a major move off them. In fact, the rise in spreads has already equaled last summer. But this year's credit selloff has begun to spread to other segments of the marketplace, including sharp price changes in risky assets like leveraged loans and even private equity. And there is a small hint of yen.Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysishttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

I am doing a webinar on how The Global Economy is Breaking: What Comes Next & How to Prepare. You can sign up here:  https://event.webinarjam.com/register/27/l3k2rby6The big drop in retail sales in January turns out to have been even bigger - much more. And then February consumer spending failed to rebound from it, coming in way below expectations, too. Add retail sales to the growing list on the side of "recession scare." Plus, the bad start to 2025 confirms a whole lot more on that side. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisBloomberg Disappointing Retail Sales Add to Concerns About US Outlookhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-03-17/us-retail-sales-rise-by-less-than-forecast-after-january-dropNFR CNBC/NRF Retail Monitor Shows February Sales Were Down Monthly Amid Tariff Concernshttps://nrf.com/media-center/press-releases/cnbc-nrf-retail-monitor-shows-february-sales-were-down-monthly-amid-tariff-concernsBloomberg The US Economic Outlook Is Becoming More Uncertainhttps://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2025-03-17/the-us-economic-outlook-is-becoming-more-uncertainBloomberg Gen Z’s Job Recession Needs Urgent Attentionhttps://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2025-03-17/gen-z-job-recession-needs-urgent-attentionhttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

I am doing a webinar on how The Global Economy is Breaking: What Comes Next & How to Prepare. You can sign up here:  https://event.webinarjam.com/register/27/l3k2rby6The return of zero interest rates. Not in some distant future, right now. A major central bank will be debating the potential return of ZIRP this week. And it is far from alone; policy rates aren't just falling all over the world, they're already a lot closer to the historical lows everyone said we'd never see again. Eurodollar University's conversation w/Steve Van Metrehttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

I am doing a webinar on how The Global Economy is Breaking: What Comes Next & How to Prepare. You can sign up here:  https://event.webinarjam.com/register/27/l3k2rby6Foreign companies are fleeing China in droves as the government there is now smack in the middle of an epic borrowing spree. Those two things are related, both stemming from the same major deficiency: banks. Not central banks; actual banks. And China's institutions continue to explore new depths. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisBloomberg Chinese Stocks Surge as Beijing Plans Briefing on Consumptionhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-03-14/consumer-stocks-drive-china-benchmark-to-highest-level-this-yearBloomberg China Has Record Foreign Investment Outflow as $168 Billion Exithttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-02-14/china-has-record-foreign-investment-outflow-as-168-billion-exithttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

If you are in any way interested in precious metals,  you need to see what today's video sponsor, Monetary Metals, is doing with them at the link below: http://www.monetary-metals.com/Snider/I am also doing a webinar on how The Global Economy is Breaking: What Comes Next & How to Prepare, you can sign up here:  https://event.webinarjam.com/register/27/l3k2rby6The global "race to the bottom" for interest rates is already well underway, more than most people might think. They've been led to believe it's just a few rate cuts here or there, when the reality is very different. The Bank of Canada is a perfect example, a central bank that has already lowered its rates by a ton. Markets and fundamentals all say there's more coming; the rate race is far from over. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysishttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU