Eurodollar University

Explore the transition from physical currency to ledger money and the potential role of Bitcoin. Debunk myths about Bitcoin as a replacement for the dollar. Analyze the utility of the dollar as a reserve currency and its impact on global transactions. Discuss the international dynamics of the Euro Dollar system and challenges in evolving reserve currencies.

Fed officials have repeatedly stated they are going to be patient before pivoting to rate cuts. But that would only be the case if the economy is actually strong and resilient. Should the labor market show signs of falling off dramatically, they'd cut their rates in a hurry. Today's macro data were filled with exactly those kinds of warning signs. EURODOLLAR UNIVERSITY'S ANNIVERSARY SALE - DETAILS AT https://eurodollar.universityEurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisBloomberg Powell Welcomes Recent Data But Fed Needs More Confidence to Cuthttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-07-02/powell-welcomes-recent-data-but-fed-needs-more-confidence-to-cutBloomberg Bond Traders Boldly Bet on 300 Basis Points of Fed Cuts by Marchhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-06-25/bond-traders-boldly-bet-on-300-basis-points-of-fed-cuts-by-marchBloomberg US Services Activity Contracts at Fastest Pace in Four Yearshttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-07-03/us-services-activity-contracts-at-fastest-pace-in-four-yearshttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

If you want to watch the full interview check it out at https://www.eurodollar.universityEveryone wants to know the answer to the recession question. So, by very popular demand, Eric Basmajian of EPB Macro Research checks in with Jeff on the unusual state and status of the US business cycle. The whole monumental matter just might come down to houses. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysishttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

Government bond yields in China just plunged to more record lows as market agents are growing even more pessimistic. The unquenchable demand for safe and liquid assets has the PBOC getting ready to sell bonds into a marketplace that is increasingly concerned about a lot more than Chinese issues. More strong evidence for globally synchronized.Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisBloomberg Economists Raise China Growth Forecasts as Exports Improvehttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-06-25/economists-raise-china-growth-forecasts-as-exports-improveBloomberg El-Erian Says Slowing Economy Raises Fed Policy-Error Riskhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-06-28/el-erian-says-slowing-economy-raises-fed-policy-error-riskBloomberg A $100 Billion Bet on China’s Economy Sours as Warehouses Emptyhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-07-01/china-s-third-plenum-and-what-it-means-for-tax-reform-and-supply-chains?srnd=economics-v2https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

Soft landings and resilient economy supported by strength in labor markets. At least that's the narrative, the truth is completely different. Much of the developed world is being swept up in a wave of rising unemployment. Yes, including the US.;/Eurodollar University's conversation w/Steve Van MetreBank of Canadahttps://www.bankofcanada.ca/2024/06/opening-statement-2024-06-05/https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

Another new low for JPY as the Japanese government is shuffling up its top Finance Ministry people. Everyone continues to blame the Fed for the yen's crash but the evidence conclusively shows that's not it. This only raises the question, what is it? The yen's own track record holds the answer and it is one that applies to you.Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisReuters Japan names new FX diplomat as yen hits 38-year lowhttps://www.reuters.com/markets/asia/japan-appoints-atsushi-mimura-top-fx-diplomat-replacing-masato-kanda-2024-06-28/Reuters Japan warns against rapid FX moves, reiterates readiness for actionhttps://www.reuters.com/markets/currencies/japan-warns-against-rapid-fx-moves-reiterates-readiness-action-2024-06-24/Bloomberg Yen Falls Through 161 Per Dollar, Putting Intervention in Focushttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-06-28/yen-falls-through-161-per-dollar-as-intervention-wagers-increaseBarrons The Fed’s Higher for Longer Policy Is Breaking the Yenhttps://www.barrons.com/articles/fed-yen-b66308afhttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

Retail and Pharmacy giant Walgreens now says there won't be a second half rebound after all, not according to its view of the consumer economy. It was seconded by Levi's and then European behemoth H&M. All of that ties together with a record low in US pending home sales and a summer driving season that's already an enormous bust as recession forces bear down.Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisNBCNews Walgreens plans store closures as CEO says consumers 'stunned' by priceshttps://www.nbcnews.com/business/business-news/walgreens-plans-store-closures-ceo-says-consumers-stunned-prices-rcna159208CNBC Levi’s shares drop 15% as jeans maker’s sales disappoint despite denim crazehttps://www.cnbc.com/2024/06/26/levi-levi-earnings-q2-2024.htmlCNBC H&M plunges 13% on doubts over full-year margin target, June sales outlookhttps://www.cnbc.com/2024/06/27/hm-plunges-12point5percent-on-doubts-over-full-year-margin-target-june-sales-outlook.htmlBloomberg US Pending Home Sales Index Slides to Record Low on High Rateshttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-06-27/us-pending-home-sales-index-slides-to-record-low-on-high-rateshttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDUEurodollar University's Anniversary Webinar: The Fundamentals of Interest Rates over the Next 12 months.Sign up below:https://event.webinarjam.com/channel/rates

Discover the radical changes in China's Central Bank's operations, focusing on bond purchases, interest rate communications, and economic challenges. Explore the transition towards Western central bank strategies, including the impact of Eurodollars on the economy and the shift towards using interest rates for policy communication.

There have been a whole bunch of ripples through the monetary system coming in from all angles pointing toward a sizable collateral disruption. The primary culprit(s) appears to be from Europe, starting in bond spreads surging off election uncertainty though we can't discount the ECB's rate cut as a factor. The eurodollar aftershocks are pronounced regardless of origin.Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisIOSCO Securities Lending Transactions: Market Development and Implicationshttps://www.bis.org/cpmi/publ/d32.pdfhttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDUEurodollar University's Anniversary Webinar: The Fundamentals of Interest Rates over the Next 12 months.Sign up below:https://event.webinarjam.com/channel/rates

Japanese banks have been bulking up on US junk corporate credit for the last year, driven entirely by an increasingly difficult reach for yield. That means overlooking dangers and risks which in other less distorted times would have been taken more seriously. The end result is a large and growing distortion in a key part of the credit markets.Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisBank of Japan Financial System Report October 2019https://www.boj.or.jp/en/research/brp/fsr/data/fsr191024a.pdfVanEck Looking Beyond AAA Rated CLOs Pays Offhttps://www.vaneck.com/us/en/blogs/income-investing/looking-beyond-aaa-rated-clos-pays-off/Deutsche Bank What impact is 'higher for longer' having on the CLO market in 2024https://flow.db.com/trust-and-agency-services/what-impact-is-higher-for-longer-having-on-the-clo-market-in-2024Bloomberg A $1.3 Trillion Fund Pool for Junk-Rated US Firms Has Unlikely Lifeline: Japan's Bankshttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-04-20/the-1-3-trillion-clo-market-grows-more-dependent-on-japan-bankshttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDUEurodollar University's Anniversary Webinar: The Fundamentals of Interest Rates over the Next 12 months.Sign up below:https://event.webinarjam.com/channel/rates