The Bayesian Conspiracy

The EARN IT Act was introduce in March, it’s a disgusting censorship policy, and no one is talking about it. But wait it gets worse, because the LAED Act came a few months later and is a direct attack on general purpose computing. The EARN IT Act and why it’s Bad The LAED Act is even worse Cory Doctorow: The War on General Purpose Computing The Digital Preper-Bunker version of smart phone Friendship is Optimal audio version Instruments of Destruction text, and audio Monster Factory 40 Times Corgis Mixed With Other Breeds Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Doublethink (Choosing to be Biased) Why I’m Blooking Planning Fallacy Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Kahneman’s Planning Anecdote Conjunction Fallacy Conjunction Controversy (Or, How They Nail It Down) Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!

The trio sits down to discuss Kevin Simler’s essay “Crony Beliefs“. It’s awesome and absolutely worth reading the whole thing. Ignore all the stuff we said about climate change and the wildfires. The emailers we got were right. Listen to the end for the addendum. Climate Change and Fires (link one and link two) Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Rationality and the English Language Human Evil and Muddled Thinking Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Doublethink (Choosing to be Biased) Why I’m Blooking Planning Fallacy Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!

We address frustration with how hard it is to wrangle these brains. Wikipedia on Cognitive Distortions Spamming Mirco Intentions Richard Wiseman’s books 59 Seconds, and As If Replacing Guilt Animal Madness book A free cbt workbook We mention CBT a lot. Internal family systems The movie Velvet Buzzsaw MAPS (psychedelic therapy) Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Radical Honesty We Don’t Really Want Your Participation Applause Lights Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Rationality and the English Language Human Evil and Muddled Thinking Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!

GPT-3 wrote the title of this episode! Join us as we talk with an expert insider and an expert enthusiast about GPT-3! The technology has come a surprisingly long way in a surprisingly short time! Rick and Morty GPT-3: Rick tries to sell Morty on the idea of investing in an HSA GPT-3 on Philosophers by GTP-3: GPT-3 argues with philosophers who claim it’s not conscious Gwern’s page of GPT-3 stuff The following is an excerpt of the perfect OK Cupid profile: I believe in the importance of a good joke and a good book. I also believe in the importance of a good meal. I am a big fan of “The Simpsons” and “The Big Bang Theory.” I also enjoy “Family Guy,” “South Park,” “The Office,” “It’s Always Sunny In Philadelphia,” “30 Rock,” and a few others. I like a lot of TV shows. I like to listen to a lot of podcasts. I spend a lot of time at the gym. I’m on a kickboxing class that I love. I also like to run and swim. I’m not sure how I’ll incorporate these things into my future family life, but I know I will. My favorite musicians are The National, Death Cab for Cutie, Elliott Smith, The Decemberists, and so many others. I also love classical music. I’m not sure how I’ll incorporate these things into my future family life, but I know I will. I like to read. I don’t read as much as I used to, but I love to read. I love to read books that make me think. I also love to read books that make me laugh.   The following is an excerpt of the perfect OK Cupid profile for someone who loves The Nightmare Before Christmas: I love Tim Burton’s films and wish that I lived in Halloween Town. I sometimes dress like Jack Skeleton for Halloween. I own a replica of the Santa Claw. I have a collection of Oogie Boogie’s wiggling eyes in my closet. I think it’s adorable when Jack and Sally kiss. I want to be the Mayor of Halloween Town when I grow up. I want to marry a skeleton. I am a skeleton. I want to be a skeleton. Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Anchoring and Adjustment The Crackpot Offer Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Radical Honesty We Don’t Really Want Your Participation Applause Lights Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!

Gray joins us to discuss the practicalities of firearms. Be prepared! The Cyberpunk Ezine Jace mentioned The Legend of Murder-Ghandi Uber and Lyft ordered by California judge to classify drivers as employees Americans own a lot of guns. Like, a LOT of guns.   Uncultured Swine – the podcast dissecting Iain Banks’ Culture novels – Apple & Sounder Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Absurdity Heuristic, Absurdity Bias Availability Why is the Future So Absurd? Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Anchoring and Adjustment The Crackpot Offer Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!

Alex and David are launching The Guild Of Servants — an outward-facing Rationalist organization for engaging and optimizing your local social enviroment. To apply for inclusion in their Alpha program, email GuildOfServants@gmail.com with a short response (<1000 charecters) explaining your hopes for the course, introducing yourself, and how you received this invitation. Hearing this podcast counts as having received an invitation to apply. [EDIT from the future: – Alpha is finished, and Guild of Servants has been renamed to The Guild of the Rose. You can find them at guildoftherose.org] You can email Alex for logistics advice on creating LW meetups in your area – alex.hedtke@gmail.com Also mentioned in this episode: Stand-up mathematician shows how digital pictures work and are basically all just spreadsheets The Roots of Wokeness Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Explain/Worship/Ignore? “Science” as Curiosity-Stopper Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Absurdity Heuristic, Absurdity Bias Availability Why is the Future So Absurd? Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!

Today we’re joined by special guest Alexander Wales! Where is the line between hiding information and censorship? Is censoring content ever desirable? What role does “cancel culture” play in this? Find discussion on these questions and more inside! Nominate What Lies Dreaming for a Dragon Award A Letter on Justice and Open Debate – Harper’s Letter Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Making History Available Stranger Than History Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Explain/Worship/Ignore? “Science” as Curiosity-Stopper Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!

Does Rationality improve life outcomes? How have we managed to do this show for like 4 years without hitting this question head on?! Tune in to find out! Nominate What Lies Dreaming for a Dragon Award Vice article on CFAR (Center for Applied Rationality) Related CFAR article from the New York Times My IRB Nightmare crosspost at LW Flu Stats that Eneasz mentioned (and another source) Random New Yorker Article on the reaction to SSC being deleted Aella’s Tweet about being an aid for people struggling with their faith Eneasz mentioned No More Cruelty to Elephants Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: My Wild and Reckless Youth Failing to Learn from History Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Making History Available Stranger Than History Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!

Do BLM protests give people a correct impression of the fundamental problem with the police, and is that important as long as shit gets fixed? All sorts of disagreement today. Campaign Zero’s list of reforms. This is not actually a BLM list, as we had originally thought. The official BLM site has no policy demands or requests aside from “#Defund the Police” which is vauge to say the least. Movement For Black Lives isn’t BLM either. They have a bit of a manifesto calling to End The War on Black People. Yudkowsky’s Comprehensive Reboot of Law Enforcement has more to recommend it than anything BLM is putting forth at the time of this posting, which is surprising. Simpson’s Paradox wiki, and tailored for police stats NPYD Stop & Frisk Data Dave Chappelle’s 8:46 Sam Harris’s podcast episode, which sparked this discussion in our Discord A Soho Forum Debate on the same matter You Have About Five Words Slate Star Codex is gone SlateStarScratchpad Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Positive Bias: Look Into the Dark Say Not “Complexity” Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: My Wild and Reckless Youth Failing to Learn from History Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!

Wes joins Steven and Jace in order to to talk a bit about the current conversation around police brutality and help clarify some of the arguments in favor of Niceness from our last episode. I think we may have had some synchronization issues, as well as some background noise I tried to edit out. Here’s an article mentioning Daniel Shaver, the guy who was murdered by cops who’s name Steven couldn’t remember. It also talks about much more current events. Ah… bummer warning on this link. Be sure to check out the Mind Killer podcast if this podcast isn’t inflammatory enough for you! Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: We didn’t get to them this episode. Oops. Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Positive Bias: Look Into the Dark Say Not “Complexity” Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!