The Bayesian Conspiracy

The trio unites with the Mind Killers to get mind killed on Libertarianism! Not mentioned in the episode, but worth putting here – SSC’s Anti-Libertarian FAQ Elinor Ostrom’s book –  Governing the Commons: The Evolution of Institutions for Collective Action The Mind Killer podcast Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Priming and Contamination Do We Believe Everything We’re Told? Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Cached Thoughts The “Outside the Box” Box

We catch up on some feedback and address a handful of items that have been banging around. “We Change Our Minds Less Often Than We Think” How to eat nature balls (The Universal Edibility Test) Martyr Made podcast The Mind Killer podcast Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! (and as mentioned in this episode, Eneasz’s novel) Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: No One Can Exempt You From Rationality’s Laws A Priori Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Priming and Contamination Do We Believe Everything We’re Told?

2/3rds of the Conspiracy discusses “Hate is the New Sex” What You Can’t Say, by Paul Graham – audio at Second Ennumerations Scissor’s Statements coined at SSC post “Sort By Controvertial” Bird’s Aren’t Real The Metropolitan Man (and We Want MoR Superman analysis podcast) Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! (and as mentioned in this episode, Eneasz’s novel) Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: The Meditation on Curiosity Singlethink Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: No One Can Exempt You From Rationality’s Laws A Priori

We talk with Lucien Greaves, co-founder of The Satanic Temple. We discuss seperation of church & state, abortion rights, and the value of federal religious recognition. Baphomet Satanic Aborition Ritual Grey Faction  Find a local chapter That old article about how chickens are mostly walking meat-factories has been found! Take it with the understanding that this is probably highly motivated thinking. Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! (and as mentioned in this episode, Eneasz’s novel) Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: A Rational Argument We Change Our Minds Less Often Than We Think Avoiding Your Belief’s Real Weak Points Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: The Meditation on Curiosity Singlethink

We had a topic for this week, but it was prempted by the spectacle of a headlong collision between a delusional mob and harsh reality. Footage from inside the mob as it storms the capital building Riot timeline The Hodge Twin’s video expressing disbelief that anyone could believe the election was fair 538 on police favoring right-wing protests Dan Carlin’s Hard History Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: What Evidence Filtered Evidence? Rationalization Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: A Rational Argument We Change Our Minds Less Often Than We Think Avoiding Your Belief’s Real Weak Points Details page on Eneasz’s offer to read Less Wrong posts Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!

Richard Acton answered our plea for an expert in the field of aging science! He’s Post-doctoral researcher and bioinformatician at CECAD, A Cluster of Excellence Aging research institute at the University of Cologne. His PhD work focused on the Epigenetics of aging Including ‘aging clocks’ which permit you to estimate the ‘biological age’ or time to death of an organism. Some links from Richard: In the spirit of We’ve Got Worm/We Want MoR, he started his own podcast with his friend Micheal in the role of Scott/Brian as he reads a sci-fi book “Dawn” by Octavia Butler which deals with biology in a more interesting way than many other books in the genre He read Nick Bostrom’s Superintelligence whilst at the Effective Altruism global summit Oxford which featured a CFAR workshop, which he ripped off/remixed and taught at a couple of Humanist Groups He has one blog post on LessWrong about inferential distances He made a deck of cards for all the cognitive biases that people can buy! Other links: Here’s the link to the cheaper version of the “how old are your cells” thing Every Life Is On Fire by Jeremy England And a link to the short story Eneasz mentioned, The Secret Number Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: How to Convince Me That 2 + 2 = 3 The Bottom Line Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: What Evidence Filtered Evidence? Rationalization Details page on Eneasz’s offer to read Less Wrong posts Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here! Posted in Uncategorized | Leave a comment | Edit

The conspirators are joined by Ben and Oliver from the LessWrong team. In addition to standing up a new and improved platform for LessWrong and revitalizing the community, they’ve compiled about 40 posts from 2018 and put them in physical books that you can buy (for basically the cost of production) at lesswrong.com! Some of our guest’s favorite posts: Naming the Nameless An Untrollable Mathematician Babble Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Einstein’s Arrogance Occam’s Razor Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: How to Convince Me That 2 + 2 = 3 The Bottom Line (Petrov Day) Details page on Eneasz’s offer to read Less Wrong posts Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here! Posted in Uncategorized | Leave a comment | Edit

The conspirators share potential weaknesses in the career-distribution system that too many people don’t exploit. With the usual amount of meandering along the way. 80,000 hours Two articles from Tim Ferriss’s blog Optimal Employment – LessWrong Here’s an older episode of ours on Biohacking Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: The Lens That Sees Its Flaws How Much Evidence Does It Take? Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Einstein’s Arrogance Occam’s Razor Details page on Eneasz’s offer to read Less Wrong posts Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here! Posted in Uncategorized | Leave a comment | Edit

A listener wants to know if we can reach life extension escape velocity. LessWrong open thread on “true” life expectancy, and post on Three Open Problems in Aging The SENS Research Foundation Elysium announces their NMN trial, and the ClinicalTrials.gov link Charlie’s Notes David Sinclair’s post about NMN vs NR Nootropic’s Depot, where you can buy NMN Here’s an older episode of ours on Biohacking The Replacing Guilt Podcast Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Burdensome Details What is Evidence? Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: The Lens That Sees Its Flaws How Much Evidence Does It Take? Details page on Eneasz’s offer to read Less Wrong posts Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here! Posted in Uncategorized | Leave a comment | Edit

The trio, like the rest of the country, has been under a bit of stress lately. We spend some time venting and talking about framing devices to cope with the state of the world, then move onto lighter random topics. In The Time of Tachysensia – The article Jace brought up about distortions in one’s sense of time The bads of ads (I love this title) – The other awesome article Jace brought to the conversation about the sneaky downsides of targeted ads Details page on Eneasz’s offer to read Less Wrong posts Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Kahneman’s Planning Anecdote Conjunction Fallacy Conjunction Controversy (Or, How They Nail It Down) Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Burdensome Details What is Evidence? Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!