GD POLITICS

Helen Thompson, a political economy professor at Cambridge and author, teams up with David Runciman, an honorary politics professor and seasoned podcaster, to unravel the chaos within British politics. They discuss the stagnating UK economy, regional inequalities, and the fracturing party system post-Brexit. The pair critiques Keir Starmer's unpopularity and the political ramifications of the recent budget. They explore the rise of the populist Right and the complexities of UK–US relations, blending economic insights with biting political analysis.

Colin Woodard, Director of the Nationhood Lab and acclaimed author, discusses his research on regional cultures in America. He argues that the U.S. is a federation of distinct cultural ‘nations’ shaped by historical settlement patterns. Woodard delves into how these cultures affect modern issues like voting, health, and gun violence. He examines the continuing influence of colonial backgrounds, the impact of migration on regional identities, and highlights the divide between individualistic and communitarian values in contemporary society.

Lenny Bronner, a data scientist at The Washington Post, joins to delve into the unique intersection of celebrity and politics. They explore the potential shift to ranked choice voting for Democrats in 2028 and how it could reshape primaries. Discussions also reveal the dynamics of the Texas Senate race, with insights into how celebrity status might influence electoral success. Lenny highlights the impact of gerrymandering and the challenges facing potential candidates like Roy Cooper and Andy Beshear. Expect intriguing analysis and lively banter!

Mary Radcliffe, Head of research at FiftyPlusOne, and Nathaniel Rakich, Managing editor at Votebeat, dive into the intriguing political dynamics following Trump's warm meeting with NYC mayor-elect Zohran Mamdani. They dissect the implications of Marjorie Taylor Greene's resignation and its potential reflection of GOP divisions. The conversation shifts to the recent federal ruling blocking Texas’s gerrymandered map, exploring how it might affect party dynamics. They also touch on quirky cultural trends like the 'cousin walk' pre-Thanksgiving marijuana ritual.

David Beiler, a public opinion researcher and former data journalist at The Washington Post, delves into AI's profound impact on American politics. He highlights the widespread skepticism about AI across party lines and discusses the unique pyramid model of voter and elite attitudes. The conversation explores potential Democratic strategies around transparency and taxation of AI gains. They also dissect whether AI is causing job losses or merely reflecting post-pandemic trends, raising concerns about a future political crisis driven by AI's pervasive influence.

Patrick Ruffini, co-founder of Echelon Insights and a keen observer of political trends, dives into the shifting dynamics of the Republican coalition post-2024. He discusses how Republicans are gaining ground with voters of color and youth, challenging old narratives of party identity. Ruffini also analyzes potential overreach by Republicans after their recent victories, pointing out cracks in support among moderates and low-propensity voters. With insights into electoral models and voter behavior, he paints a complex picture of America's evolving political landscape.

Lakshya Jain, head of political data at The Argument, Linley Sanders, polls reporter at the AP, and Lenny Bronner, data scientist at The Washington Post, dive into the 2025 election outcomes. They dissect whether voter shifts were driven more by turnout or persuasion, revealing significant swings among Hispanic voters. The discussion highlights key motivators for voters, including economic concerns and dissatisfaction with Trump, while examining youth turnout's impact in New York. A fascinating breakdown offers insights into the shifting political landscape as we look ahead.

Gabe Fleisher, the insightful author of the Wake Up To Politics newsletter and a savvy political commentator, joins the discussion about the recent government shutdown deal. They dive into why Democrats accepted a compromise despite public support for their position. Gabe reveals how the political landscape is evolving post-elections, cautioning against over-interpretation of off-year results. They also speculate about the Supreme Court's decisions, including a significant case on mail-in ballots, and discuss potential future implications for both parties.

Mary Radcliffe, a political analyst, Nathaniel Rakich, an election commentator, and Lenny Bronner, a data scientist, dive into the recent Democratic wins across the nation. They discuss how urban and suburban turnout dynamics boosted Democratic margins, particularly in Virginia and New York. With insights on the implications for the 2026 elections and the influence of candidate quality, they explore patterns in voter behavior and the surprises that shaped the night. Mamdani's potential win foreshadows a shift in perceptions of democratic socialism.

Nate Silver, data journalist and founder of FiveThirtyEight, and Clare Malone, New Yorker staff writer, join a lively audience at the Comedy Cellar to dissect pre-election tensions. They delve into the mixed polls of the NYC mayoral race and its implications for national politics, especially with potential Democratic Socialist leadership. The duo also engages in the game 'Guess What Americans Think,' revealing public sentiment on issues like government shutdowns and political betting. With wit and insight, they navigate the evolving political landscape ahead of the pivotal elections.