
GD POLITICS Election Eve 2025 Live At The Comedy Cellar
Nov 4, 2025
Nate Silver, data journalist and founder of FiveThirtyEight, and Clare Malone, New Yorker staff writer, join a lively audience at the Comedy Cellar to dissect pre-election tensions. They delve into the mixed polls of the NYC mayoral race and its implications for national politics, especially with potential Democratic Socialist leadership. The duo also engages in the game 'Guess What Americans Think,' revealing public sentiment on issues like government shutdowns and political betting. With wit and insight, they navigate the evolving political landscape ahead of the pivotal elections.
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Episode notes
Playful Opening Banter
- The hosts opened the live show with playful banter about moving to Dallas and city smells to warm up the crowd.
- This light, local humor set a casual tone for the Election Eve live show at the Comedy Cellar.
Behind-The-Scenes: Nate's Small Team
- Nate introduced Eli as his senior elections analyst and joked about hiring and Slack channels.
- The exchange humanized Nate's operation and hinted at a small, growing team behind his analysis.
Why NYC Polls Vary Widely
- New York mayoral polls show large variation even among high-quality pollsters, reflecting true sampling noise and turnout uncertainty.
- Nate Silver warns that younger, atypical electorates and primary results reduce but do not eliminate polling unpredictability.

