RJ Bell's Dream Preview

Pregame.com
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Oct 3, 2024 • 2h 6min

Dream Podcast - NFL Week 5 THE PICKS !!

RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik, Scott Seidenberg and Mackenzie Rivers break down NFL Week 5 from a betting perspective. Dave Essler also provides a best bet.NFL Week 5 Picks and AnalysisThe podcast opens with RJ Bell providing a quick promotional offer for 7- and 30-day access packages, highlighting the current hot streaks of various handicappers like Greg Shaker and A.J. Hoffman (00:11-02:25). Steve Fezzik then joins in, sharing his overall season stats, noting a recent down week but still being up +57 units for the year (02:25-02:30).The conversation transitions into analysis of recent NFL trends, with a key focus on load management in the NFL, a concept borrowed from the NBA. Fezzik notes that teams are increasingly conservative with player injuries, using the example of Justin Herbert, suggesting players are being rested for the long haul rather than pushed to play during regular-season games (05:08-06:34).The core of the podcast features the team’s "best bets" for Week 5. Fezzik’s five-weight pick is the New Orleans Saints (+5.5) against the Kansas City Chiefs for Monday Night Football. His reasoning revolves around yards per play (YPP), highlighting that while Kansas City has had success in close games, they’re not playing like a 4-0 team. He anticipates value in betting against Kansas City due to their perceived lack of urgency (07:09-08:17).Fezzik also predicts that Kansas City is overvalued, emphasizing that they will not have the urgency to maintain their hot start (08:17-08:50). RJ Bell concurs, discussing the Chiefs' success rate compared to EPA (Expected Points Added), underscoring Kansas City’s reliance on big plays rather than consistent performance. He highlights Green Bay’s reliance on big plays, comparing it to Kansas City's ability to convert key moments into victories, despite overall middling success (13:14-16:04).Further analysis dives into Patrick Mahomes' performance. Scott Seidenberg notes that Mahomes has thrown seven turnover-worthy passes, second only to Jalen Hurts, and this hasn't been a typical start for the MVP quarterback (17:48-18:10). Fezzik agrees that Mahomes isn’t playing well, making poor decisions, though he’s optimistic Mahomes will adjust as the season progresses (18:55-19:45).Fezzik's four-weight pick involves betting on the Rams against Green Bay, citing their tendency to rely on big plays as unsustainable. He and Bell predict a regression for Green Bay's offense, suggesting their early-season success is not built to last (24:13-29:09).The podcast also covers the intricacies of the betting market. Fezzik discusses how Rams wide receivers are decimated by injuries, downgrading their home-field advantage in Los Angeles, where 60% of the crowd is expected to support Green Bay. This leads to skepticism about the Rams' chances, despite their defensive struggles (31:26-36:00).Scott Seidenberg closes with an interesting stat about Patrick Mahomes, noting that when he's more than a field-goal favorite, he's only 38-43-3 against the spread (18:25-18:35), underscoring why betting on the underdog Saints is a value play. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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Oct 2, 2024 • 26min

CFB Week 6 Preview + Best Bets !!

Griffin Warner and Big East Ben talk college football betting for Week 6. Ben and Griffin are hot with best bets as usual.Overview:Griffin Warner and Big East Ben analyze key games for Week 6 of the college football season. They break down each matchup, offering betting insights and discussing player and team performances. Their analysis is geared toward bettors looking for an edge, with emphasis on game totals, spreads, and player stats.Key Quotes and Analysis:(0:06 - 0:31, Unnamed Speaker)Offense play fast. Defense swarm. Swarm and tackle.The opening motivational quote emphasizes the importance of out-hustling opponents. This sets the tone for a competitive mindset, reflecting the analysis that follows, where hustle and execution are key.Griffin Warner (0:32 - 0:55)Griffin welcomes listeners to the podcast, sharing enthusiasm for their recent betting success.Warner’s excitement about their “green-hot” performance sets the stage for the podcast's betting focus, encouraging listeners to follow their picks for Week 6.Team and Player Insights:UNLV vs. SyracuseAnalysis (3:30 - 5:17)Big East Ben notes that UNLV is having a strong season, particularly after replacing their former quarterback with Haj Malik Williams, who has led the team to a 4-0 record against the spread. Key stats include: UNLV is 20th in rushing offense. Syracuse ranks 3rd in passing yards per game, with Kyle McCord leading their aerial attack. Ben points out Syracuse’s weak rush defense, ranked 94th, as a vulnerability. UNLV’s ability to get to the quarterback (10th in sack percentage) is also highlighted as crucial to containing Syracuse’s passing game. Ben confidently picks UNLV to cover the spread (-6.5).Missouri vs. Texas A&MAnalysis (6:11 - 7:38)Missouri is praised for their balance on offense and defense, ranking in the top 20 for both, while Texas A&M’s struggles in quarterback play are noted. Despite Texas A&M's rushing offense, which accounts for 60% of their plays, they are only 45th in yards per rush. Missouri’s stout rush defense gives Ben confidence in his pick of Missouri +2, while Warner leans toward under 48.5, expecting a low-scoring affair.Betting Strategy and Predictions:Ole Miss vs. South CarolinaAnalysis (8:48 - 9:37)Both teams are analyzed in terms of their offensive styles—Ole Miss relies heavily on quarterback Jackson Dart, while South Carolina prefers a ground game approach. Ole Miss’s elite rush defense, allowing only 1.5 yards per play, contrasts sharply with South Carolina’s run-heavy offense. Despite this, Ben picks the under (53.5), believing both teams' strengths cancel each other out.Miami vs. CalAnalysis (16:38 - 18:28)Miami’s high-powered offense, ranking 4th nationally, is a key talking point. In contrast, Cal’s offense is weak, averaging only 20 points per game. Ben expects Miami’s offense to exploit Cal’s defensive weakness, particularly against the pass. He confidently picks Miami (-10.5), predicting a runaway victory.Final Best Bets: UNLV (-6.5) - Ben’s confidence in UNLV’s playoff push and improved quarterback play leads him to choose them over Syracuse. Washington (-2.5) - Both Warner and Ben agree that Washington, playing at home and with a strong tailgate scene, has the edge against Michigan, despite Michigan's solid form. Miami/Cal Over (55) - Warner anticipates a high-scoring game, especially given Miami’s explosive offense. Conclusion:The podcast provides an in-depth breakdown of key games, offering both statistical analysis and betting recommendations. The speakers back their picks with detailed insights into team and player performance, emphasizing specific matchups like UNLV’s rushing attack against Syracuse’s weak defense and Missouri’s strong rushing defense versus Texas A&M’s struggling offense. Their track record of successful bets adds credibility to their predictions, making this a valuable resource for college football bettors. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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Oct 2, 2024 • 32min

Sanderson Farms Championship Picks and Predictions

Will Doctor gives you the sharpest card for the Sanderson Farms Championship.-Discussing top five favorites at CC of Jackson-3 matchups -2 t10 -2 outrights -Sleeper -FRP, lineup, scoring -Best BetIntroduction and OverviewWill Doctor introduces the Golf Preview Podcast with an energetic focus on the Sanderson Farms Championship, Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, and the Corn Fairy Tour Championship. This episode centers on providing expert picks and betting insights for the Sanderson Farms Championship held at the Country Club of Jackson.Tournament BreakdownSanderson Farms Championship OverviewWill reflects on the recent Presidents Cup, where Team USA won 18.5 to 11.5, with some controversy involving Tom Kim. He then dives into player analysis for the Sanderson Farms Championship, assessing top players, their odds, and recent performances.Player AnalysisKeith MitchellAt 25-to-1 odds, Mitchell is questioned as a favorite due to missing the cut all four times at Jackson. Despite two recent top-12 finishes, his season has been underwhelming. Will advises against betting on him.Seamus PowerPower is also 25-to-1 but fares slightly better due to his global experience. However, poor iron play in recent events diminishes his chances, making him a risky pick.Maverick McNeelyListed at 28-to-1, McNeely’s inconsistency and poor recent performances make him a risky choice. Will believes his odds should be higher.Mackenzie HughesDespite winning this tournament two years ago, Hughes’ poor performance at the Presidents Cup makes Will pass on him at 28-to-1 odds, citing fatigue and inconsistent form.Nick DunlopAt 30-to-1, Dunlop is a promising young player with strong birdie conversion rates. Will sees potential in Dunlop but acknowledges the risks due to his inexperience.Key Matchups and PredictionsNick Dunlop vs. Eric ColeWill picks Dunlop over Cole at -140 odds, noting Cole’s poor driving and iron play compared to Dunlop’s consistency.Henrik Norlander vs. Chandler PhillipsNorlander, with three top-four finishes at Jackson, is favored due to his course familiarity. Will backs Norlander at even money.Rico Hoey vs. Sam StevensHoey is favored at -105 over Stevens, given Hoey’s sharp iron play and Stevens’ struggles throughout the 2024 season.Outright PicksPatrick FishburneAt 35-to-1, Fishburne’s strong putting and consistent fairway play make him one of Will’s top picks for an outright win. His recent form has been impressive.Grayson SigPriced at 90-to-1, Sig’s familiarity with Jackson and solid recent performances position him as a good value pick for an outright win.Best Bet and Final ThoughtsMack MeisnerWill’s best bet is Mack Meisner to finish in the top 20 at +220 odds. Despite a missed cut at Napa, Meisner’s comfort on Bermuda greens and solid iron play make him a great pick.ConclusionWill concludes with final thoughts on the Sanderson Farms Championship, offering listeners sharp picks and teasing future episodes covering the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship and the Corn Fairy Tour Championship.For more on the world of golf, follow Doc on X @drmedia59  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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Oct 1, 2024 • 1h 8min

NFL Week 4 Recap & Look Ahead Preview

Scott Seidenberg, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL week 4 recap. They also discuss what to expect in NFL Week 5 betting.Misleading Results (Atlanta vs. New Orleans)Steve Fezzik discusses how the Atlanta-New Orleans game had fluky results due to two unusual touchdowns. He argues that New Orleans should have won easily despite the final score.(1:23 - 2:14)Jets' Offensive WoesScott Seidenberg and Steve Fezzik analyze the Jets’ offensive struggles, with Aaron Rodgers visibly frustrated over miscommunication with receivers. They criticize coach Robert Salah for poor adjustments during the game.(5:02 - 6:09)Justin Fields' PerformanceJustin Fields of Pittsburgh had one of his best games with over 300 passing yards and 2 rushing touchdowns, but despite this, his team still lost. Fezzik kept Pittsburgh’s rating unchanged.(23:45 - 23:59)Minnesota Vikings UpgradeThe Vikings saw a five-point upgrade after their strong performance in Week 4. Sam Darnold's three-touchdown game solidified his position in MVP talks.(9:48 - 11:10)Betting Insights (Week 5)Steve Fezzik provides betting strategies for Week 5, noting the Chiefs' and Vikings' favorable odds, particularly with Kansas City benefiting from an easier remaining schedule.(37:00 - 37:04)Kansas City Chiefs AnalysisThe Chiefs have faced the fourth hardest schedule so far but are well-positioned for future success, given their easier upcoming games.(33:50 - 34:19)Survivor Contest StrategiesFezzik discusses strategies for NFL Survivor pools, explaining how to make strategic plays for the upcoming weeks.(56:00 - 56:28)Strength of ScheduleThe Kansas City Chiefs and Falcons are noted for having the easiest remaining schedules, setting them up for strong performances in the rest of the season.(33:09 - 33:11)Team Injuries and Future MatchupsFezzik warns that teams like the Buccaneers and Eagles, despite performing well, may face injury concerns moving forward.(23:01 - 23:08) Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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Oct 1, 2024 • 30min

Fezzik's Focus - NFL Week 4 Buy & Sell + Week 5 Quick Reactions

Munaf Manji and Steve Fezzik talk NFL Week 4 rankings and much more. Week 5 is on the horizon and Fezzik talks teams to look at.Analysis of Key Quotes Munaf Manji (0:07 - 1:01): He highlights quarterback struggles, focusing on Miami's lack of depth behind Tua Tagovailoa. Analysis: Miami’s failure to secure a competent backup QB has hurt them, reinforcing betting against their future wins. Steve Fezzik (1:02 - 1:15): Predicts Miami will finish 6-11, betting under on season wins. Analysis: With no quarterback stability, the Dolphins face a difficult road ahead, making this an attractive bet. Munaf Manji (2:28 - 3:22): Miami's weak backup QB situation is discussed. Analysis: The team’s reliance on Skylar Thompson or Tyler Huntley hinders its chances for success, impacting their season outlook. Player Statistics and Analysis Miami Dolphins: Struggling due to poor quarterback play, despite strong offensive weapons like Tyreek Hill and Jalen Waddle. Fezzik ranks them 30th, only ahead of Carolina and New England. Minnesota Vikings: Fezzik boosts Minnesota to 7th place after three straight victories. Led by star player Justin Jefferson, their 28-0 win over Green Bay solidified their rise. Baltimore Ravens: Tied for first in Fezzik’s rankings, alongside Kansas City and San Francisco. Despite a 2-2 record, their impressive offensive balance earns them top contender status. Washington Commanders: Jaden Daniels’ performance has propelled Washington in Fezzik’s rankings, now a playoff contender after starting the season at -2.5 in power rankings. Cincinnati Bengals: Cincinnati bounces back, now rated +1.5 after a poor start to the season. Team Insights and Betting Implications Phony Final Scores: Fezzik explains that the Jets should have won their Week 4 game but were victims of poor execution. Atlanta also had two fluke touchdowns, yet failed to cover, making them teams to bet cautiously on. Kansas City Chiefs: Reliable as always, the Chiefs delivered despite fluctuating betting lines. Fezzik points out how early teasers benefited those who got better odds. Miami Dolphins vs. New England Patriots: A critical matchup between two of the league’s worst teams. Fezzik has them at 30th and 31st in his power rankings, noting the importance of Miami's QB situation. Betting Strategies and Contest Fezzik’s Contest Performance: Fezzik is 19-9 in his contest, tied for first place after four weeks. He discusses the nuances of contest strategy, stressing attention to detail. Season Wins Over Futures: Fezzik advises bettors to focus on season win totals rather than futures like Super Bowl bets, noting that season win bets offer more consistency. ConclusionThe podcast emphasizes the importance of quarterback depth, as seen with the Miami Dolphins. Minnesota and Baltimore continue to rise, while Washington surprises with its solid performances. Fezzik’s strategic focus on season wins over risky futures provides bettors with actionable advice for Week 5 and beyond. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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Sep 30, 2024 • 1h 2min

The Inside Pitch w/Josh Towers

Former MLB Pitcher Josh Towers and Scott Seidenberg talk about the Mets/Braves DoubleHeader to determine the NL Wild Card and give out BEST BETS for the Postseason games coming up.Quotes and Analysis Josh Towers (0:32 - 2:50): Quote: "The best players in any sport are able to take a step back and see it for what it's worth." Analysis: Towers highlights the importance of composure and strategic thinking, a quality he attributes to elite athletes. He emphasizes how game management can determine success, as seen in the Mets' comeback against the Braves. Quote: "Every pitch that we saw was just up over the middle of the plate and out over." Analysis: This observation by Towers critiques the Braves' bullpen's poor performance in the late innings, noting that missed locations led to several critical hits by Mets players, like Francisco Lindor and Brandon Nimmo. Scott Sidenberg (4:10 - 4:29): Quote: "The win probability was just off the charts." Analysis: Sidenberg references how dramatic the game’s comeback was for the Mets, framing it as one of the wildest matches, especially given the Braves' earlier dominance in the game. Player Statistics & Analysis Francisco Lindor: Lindor was pivotal in the Mets' victory, hitting a critical home run in the 9th inning, reflecting his recent hot streak at the plate. Josh Towers praises Lindor for his ability to handle key situations, like making contact on a first-pitch curveball that led to his game-winning hit. Brandon Nimmo: Nimmo, after falling behind 0-2 in his at-bat, capitalized on a poorly placed fastball to deliver a home run, showcasing his poise under pressure. Braves' bullpen: The Braves bullpen struggled in crucial moments, with Josh Towers pointing out that missed pitches over the plate allowed the Mets' hitters to dominate. Phil Matan and Edwin Diaz were particularly shaky, contributing to the Braves' collapse. Team Statistics & Insights Mets Performance: The Mets demonstrated resilience by overcoming a 3-0 deficit late in the game. Lindor and Nimmo's homers, combined with strategic bullpen moves, highlight their capability to handle high-pressure situations. Their performance solidified their chance at securing a postseason spot. Braves Breakdown: Despite Swellenbach pitching seven shutout innings, the Braves' bullpen collapsed late in the game. Towers critiques how the Braves mismanaged their relief pitching, especially by continuing to pitch to Lindor when a strategic walk could have been considered. Postseason Implications: Scott and Josh discuss the postseason scenarios. If the Mets win Game 2, they will face the Padres. A loss sends them to face the Brewers. Josh argues the Mets should prefer Milwaukee over San Diego, noting the Padres' offensive strength despite their struggles. Speaker and Timestamps Scott Sidenberg (0:00 - 0:31): Introduces the podcast and sets the stage for the Mets-Braves doubleheader analysis. Josh Towers (0:32 - 2:50): Breaks down the Mets' thrilling comeback and critiques the Braves' bullpen. Timestamp: "The bullpen for the Braves just absolutely collapses" Scott Sidenberg (4:10 - 4:29): Discusses the win probability and Braves' decisions. Josh Towers (5:14 - 5:19): Analyzes the potential outcomes of the Mets' win in Game 2 and critiques their postseason strategy. ConclusionThe podcast delves into the exciting, high-stakes Game 1 between the Mets and Braves, focusing on key player performances, bullpen collapses, and strategic mistakes. Francisco Lindor and Brandon Nimmo stood out for the Mets, while the Braves' bullpen's inefficiency cost them the game. Towers and Sidenberg also explore postseason scenarios, favoring the Mets against the Brewers rather than the Padres due to perceived matchup advantages. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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Sep 28, 2024 • 16min

Presidents Cup Saturday Morning Four-Ball Picks

Will Doctor gives you the sharpest card for Saturday morning four-ball picks at the Presidents Cup! For more on the world of golf, follow Doc on X @drmedai59 In this episode of the Golf Preview Podcast on Pregame's Network, host Will Docter delves into Friday's disappointing results during the 15th Presidents Cup, providing in-depth analysis, player statistics, and insights into team performances. Below is a breakdown of the key moments:Friday’s Recap & Player Analysis: [Will Docter] (0:39 - 13:30)Will discusses the complete turnaround from Thursday’s domination by Team USA to Friday’s losses in the foursome sessions. Below are detailed match analyses:Match 6: Hideki Matsuyama and Sungjae Im vs. Patrick Cantlay and Xander Schauffele Matsuyama and Im stunned Cantlay and Schauffele with seven consecutive birdies, finishing 7 and 6. The Japanese-Korean duo, ranked low in strokes gained on Day 1, were in top five by the end of Friday. Key Quote: "Seven straight birdies is flat-out impressive stuff in any format" (0:47). Analysis: Matsuyama and Im displayed exceptional form, outperforming Cantlay and Schauffele in every aspect, particularly in putting. Match 7: Adam Scott and Taylor Pendrith vs. Sahith Theegala and Collin Morikawa Pendrith continued his solid performance, paired with Scott who had a fantastic day on the greens. Theegala struggled, having the second-worst day on the course. Analysis: Theegala’s weak putting, combined with Morikawa’s subpar form, left them outmatched despite Morikawa’s solid ball striking. Match 8: Christiaan Bezuidenhout and Jason Day vs. Max Homa and Brian Harman Homa had a strong day with his driving, but Harman’s poor showing left the pair vulnerable. Team USA Analysis: Homa and Harman couldn’t recover, losing 1-up in a closely contested match. Day and Bezuidenhout capitalized on their putting despite not playing their best. Match 9: Corey Conners and Mackenzie Hughes vs. Wyndham Clark and Tony Finau The Canadians made seven birdies, ending the match on 13, while Clark and Finau could not make their putts. Key Stat: Both Finau and Clark had negative strokes gained with their irons. Analysis: The home crowd support for Conners and Hughes gave them a needed boost as Team USA faltered. Match 10: Si Woo Kim and Byeong Hun An vs. Scottie Scheffler and Russell Henley Si Woo Kim excelled with birdies on 12, 13, and 15, and a clutch par putt to close the match. Scheffler admitted that Henley rolled the ball well but couldn’t capitalize on his chances. Analysis: Si Woo’s ability to thrive in high-pressure situations made the difference, showcasing his incredible match-play abilities. Saturday Picks & Predictions: [Will Docter] (13:30 - 17:00)Match 11: Scottie Scheffler and Collin Morikawa vs. Adam Scott and Taylor Pendrith Favorite: Scheffler and Morikawa (-205). Prediction: Despite Morikawa’s shaky putting, Will leans toward Team USA based on Scheffler’s solid ball striking and world number one ranking. Match 12: Tony Finau and Xander Schauffele vs. Corey Conners and Mackenzie Hughes Underdog: Conners and Hughes (+141). Prediction: Will favors the Canadians, citing their recent form and Finau’s ongoing struggles with the greens. Match 13: Si Woo Kim and Tom Kim vs. Keegan Bradley and Wyndham Clark Favorite: Si Woo and Tom Kim (-117). Prediction: Will is confident in the chemistry between the Kims, emphasizing Si Woo’s clutch performance on Friday. Match 14: Patrick Cantlay and Sam Burns vs. Hideki Matsuyama and Sungjae Im Even Money: Will predicts the Internationals will continue their momentum, doubting Cantlay and Burns’ ability to perform under pressure.Closing Remarks: [Will Docter] (17:00 - End)Will concludes by discussing his plan for Saturday's afternoon session, hinting at potential picks for Sunday singles based on Saturday’s results. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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Sep 27, 2024 • 55min

NFL Week 4 Player Props + MNF Preview !!

Munaf Manji, SleepyJ and Steve Reider talk NFL player Props for Sunday. The guys also preview two MNF games and offer up a best bet prop.IntroductionMunaf Manji (0:12 - 0:51) opens the discussion for Week 4 NFL player props, focusing on key positions: quarterback, running back, wide receiver, and tight end. He is joined by Steve Reeder and SleepyJ.Quarterback Props SleepyJ (4:01 - 4:51) kicks off by suggesting a prop for Justin Fields to go over 40.5 rushing yards. He highlights the Colts' weak rushing defense, pointing to past games against Malik Willis and Joe Mixon. Steve Reeder (5:42 - 8:05) suggests fading Jordan Love, citing his injury concerns and the tough defense he'll face. Steve predicts that Love won’t be at full strength and is up against a Vikings defense that recently limited opponents like CJ Stroud. Munaf Manji (8:55 - 10:30) focuses on Kyler Murray, suggesting over 1.5 passing touchdowns against the Washington Commanders. He notes how the Commanders’ defense has allowed two passing touchdowns per game to every opponent so far this season. Running Back Props SleepyJ (10:50 - 12:09) proposes a prop for Choba Hubbard to score a touchdown at even money, emphasizing his heavy volume of touches (26) in the previous game. Hubbard's matchup against a vulnerable Bengals defense makes him a solid pick. Steve Reeder (13:05 - 14:52) backs Bijan Robinson over 69.5 rushing yards, despite concerns over his shoulder injury. He praises the Falcons’ improved offense and highlights their upcoming matchup against a Saints defense that has struggled against elite running backs like Saquon Barkley. Munaf Manji (14:53 - 16:39) suggests Aaron Jones over 21.5 receiving yards against the Packers. Jones has been a consistent performer in the passing game and could shine again against his former team. Wide Receiver Props SleepyJ (17:34 - 18:51) recommends Kyron Williams over 16.5 receiving yards. Williams is becoming more involved in the Rams' passing game due to injuries to other key players. Steve Reeder (19:54 - 21:44) focuses on Josh Downs over 34 receiving yards. Reeder highlights his strong connection with quarterback Anthony Richardson, believing that the Colts will rely on Downs more heavily in the passing game. Munaf Manji (23:59 - 24:55) suggests Dalton Kincaid over 37.5 receiving yards, citing the Ravens' vulnerability against tight ends this season. Tight End Props SleepyJ (24:56 - 27:17) backs Travis Kelsey over 4.5 catches, noting that he will likely bounce back after a disappointing start to the season. Kelsey has consistently performed well against the Chargers, making this a solid play. Steve Reeder (28:32 - 29:58) takes an under prop for Kyle Pitts under 36.5 receiving yards, arguing that Pitts has not been a major part of the Falcons' offense this season. Monday Night Football Preview Munaf Manji (34:57 - 36:17) begins by previewing the Titans vs Dolphins game. With quarterback concerns for Miami and a struggling Titans offense, he and the co-hosts suggest a low-scoring game. Steve Reeder (38:32 - 40:09) believes the game will be dominated by conservative play, focusing on limiting turnovers and relying on the ground game. SleepyJ (36:18 - 38:27) leans toward the Titans but admits the game could go either way due to Miami’s unpredictability. The second Monday Night Football game between the Seahawks and Lions is discussed next. Steve Reeder (41:46 - 43:20) backs the Lions, despite the market moving against them, citing their stronger overall team and home-field advantage. Munaf Manji (43:21 - 45:01) agrees with Steve but highlights the injuries to the Lions’ offensive line and key players like Sam Laporta. Best BetThe group concludes with their best player prop: Jackson Smith-Njigba over 48.5 receiving yards. Munaf points out that slot receivers have consistently performed well against the Lions this season. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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Sep 27, 2024 • 18min

Presidents Cup Friday Foursome Picks

Will Doctor gives you the sharpest picks for the Friday foursomes matches for Day 2 at the Presidents Cup! For more on the world of golf, follow Doc on X @drmedia59 The Golf Preview Podcast hosted by Will Docter offers detailed insights into the latest PGA Tour events, specifically focusing on the President's Cup matches. Here's a comprehensive summary of key moments and expert analysis from the podcast:Introduction (0:15 - 0:28)Will Docter welcomes listeners, expressing his enthusiasm for the upcoming PGA Tour picks, particularly focusing on the President’s Cup matches.Day One Recap and Analysis (0:36 - 14:40)The podcast dives into the dominant performance by the USA team during the first day of four-ball matches, where they swept all five matches. This sweep marks the first such occurrence in the President’s Cup since 1994.Match 1: Xander Schauffele and Tony Finau vs. Jason Day and Byung-Hun Ahn Outcome: Schauffele and Finau won. Key Points: Despite losing the lead midway, the American duo managed a brilliant comeback, securing their victory. Docter highlights their role as favorites with a betting line of -180. Match 2: Collin Morikawa and Sahith Tagala vs. Adam Scott and Min Woo Lee Outcome: Morikawa and Tagala won by one stroke. Key Points: Morikawa carried the team, making significant birdies, while Tagala sealed the match with a clutch birdie on the 18th. Match 3: Scottie Scheffler and Russell Henley vs. Sungjae Im and Tom Kim Outcome: Scheffler and Henley won. Key Points: Sungjae Im’s inability to make any birdies was detrimental to his team. Tom Kim was the only bright spot for the international team, but it wasn’t enough to overcome the American duo. Match 4: Wyndham Clark and Keegan Bradley vs. Taylor Pendrith and Christiaan Bezuidenhout Outcome: Clark and Bradley won by one. Key Points: Bezuidenhout’s struggles on the greens were a major factor, with Docter critical of his performance. Clark’s early birdies and Bradley’s clutch putt on 18 secured the win. Match 5: Patrick Cantlay and Sam Burns vs. Hideki Matsuyama and Corey Conners Outcome: Cantlay and Burns won by two strokes. Key Points: Cantlay’s dominance in team play and Burns' contributions with key birdies sealed the victory. Matsuyama and Conners struggled to sink putts, leading to their defeat. Day Two Match Preview (14:40 - 32:45)Will provides a breakdown of Friday’s alternate shot matchups, offering betting advice and in-depth player analysis.Match 6: Patrick Cantlay and Xander Schauffele vs. Hideki Matsuyama and Sungjae Im Analysis: Docter favors Cantlay and Schauffele (-145), citing Cantlay’s outstanding form and Schauffele’s recent clutch play. Sungjae Im’s poor showing on Thursday is highlighted as a concern, making this a lopsided match.Match 7: Collin Morikawa and Sahith Tagala vs. Adam Scott and Taylor Pendrith Analysis: With Morikawa carrying the team and Tagala making key birdies, Docter sees the Americans as favorites (-140). Pendrith’s strong day-one performance is noted, but Scott’s lackluster play could be a factor.Match 8: Max Homa and Brian Harman vs. Christiaan Bezuidenhout and Jason Day Analysis: Docter criticizes international captain Mike Weir for sending Bezuidenhout back out despite his struggles. Homa and Harman (-105) are the favored duo.Match 9: Wyndham Clark and Tony Finau vs. Corey Conners and Mackenzie Hughes Analysis: Clark’s flawless play and Finau’s pivotal birdies make the American team (-115) a strong contender. Docter questions Weir’s decision-making in waiting until match four to send Conners and Hughes out.Match 10: Scottie Scheffler and Russell Henley vs. Si Woo Kim and Byung-Hun Ahn Analysis: Scheffler and Henley (-195) are heavily favored. Docter believes Weir made a critical error by not pairing Tom Kim with Si Woo Kim, missing an opportunity to challenge Scheffler. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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Sep 26, 2024 • 1h 54min

Dream Podcast - NFL Week 4 THE PICKS !!

RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik, Mackenzie Rivers and Scott Seidenberg give out NFL Week 4 Picks. The guys deep dive into some of the leagues best and worst teams. Dave Essler also chimes in with his Week 4 best bet.Introduction (RJ Bell: 0:16 - 1:38)The podcast opens with RJ Bell commending the insights shared, specifically Steve Fezzik convincing him to back a game he was initially unsure about. The team then dives into a promotion for "Weekender" packages for sports betting enthusiasts, offering access to picks across multiple sports for $10, down from the usual $89.Analysis and Key Team TrendsJacksonville Jaguars (+6.5) vs. Buffalo Bills (Steve Fezzik: 13:24 - 16:59)Fezzik's top pick for Week 4 is the Jacksonville Jaguars at +6.5 against the Buffalo Bills. He critiques the significant shift in odds after Jacksonville’s poor performance on Monday Night Football. Fezzik believes the line overreacts to recency bias, citing how Jacksonville’s spread moved from +4.5 last week to +6.5 against a Bills team that is only a few points better than Houston. He argues that the number is too generous and sees value in backing the Jaguars. Quote (Steve Fezzik: 14:57 - 15:12): “It's the situational spot...you got a three and Buffalo team that just played Monday night...and you got a Baltimore team 1-2 needing the game like blood.”Ravens vs. Bills (Steve Fezzik: 6:10 - 6:30)Fezzik also notes an interesting trend where big dogs (teams receiving more than 5 points) are performing well this season, covering the spread at 14-2. On the flip side, small dogs (teams receiving 5 points or less) are 11-19-1. Fezzik highlights that his power ratings show no team being significantly better than others this year, with only a 5-point spread between the top and bottom teams in the league.Player Insights and StatisticsTrevor Lawrence (Scott Seidenberg: 21:03 - 21:23)Scott Seidenberg notes Trevor Lawrence's struggles, pointing out his 0-8 record straight up in his last eight games. However, Seidenberg finds value in the Jaguars’ ability to cover the spread as a significant underdog, referencing a historical trend of teams who lose by 30 or more points and then cover as dogs the following week. Quote (Scott Seidenberg: 21:06): "I do think there's value baked into this line...I think that the public saw Jacksonville get absolutely destroyed, but they’re better than that.”Team and Player StatisticsFavorite TrendsRJ Bell provides macro trends on favorites this season, noting that favorites have gone 20-5-1, but larger underdogs (over 5 points) are outperforming smaller ones. This discrepancy highlights the unpredictable nature of NFL betting so far this season.Power Rankings Insights (Steve Fezzik: 6:10 - 6:44)Fezzik reveals that his NFL power rankings are tighter than ever. No team is rated more than 5 points higher than an average team, with New England being the worst team at -5.5 points. This compressed ranking suggests no elite team dominance, making the NFL season more competitive.ConclusionThe podcast emphasizes sharp betting strategies, advocating for value picks based on contrarian analysis. Fezzik’s insights into power rankings show a very balanced NFL season, while historical betting trends favor significant underdogs. The group urges caution, particularly with betting favorites, and encourages listeners to look beyond recency bias. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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