NFL Week 4 Player Props + MNF Preview !!

Sep 27, 2024

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Munaf Manji, SleepyJ and Steve Reider talk NFL player Props for Sunday. The guys also preview two MNF games and offer up a best bet prop.

Introduction

Munaf Manji (0:12 - 0:51) opens the discussion for Week 4 NFL player props, focusing on key positions: quarterback, running back, wide receiver, and tight end. He is joined by Steve Reeder and SleepyJ.

Quarterback Props

SleepyJ (4:01 - 4:51) kicks off by suggesting a prop for Justin Fields to go over 40.5 rushing yards. He highlights the Colts' weak rushing defense, pointing to past games against Malik Willis and Joe Mixon.
Steve Reeder (5:42 - 8:05) suggests fading Jordan Love, citing his injury concerns and the tough defense he'll face. Steve predicts that Love won’t be at full strength and is up against a Vikings defense that recently limited opponents like CJ Stroud.
Munaf Manji (8:55 - 10:30) focuses on Kyler Murray, suggesting over 1.5 passing touchdowns against the Washington Commanders. He notes how the Commanders’ defense has allowed two passing touchdowns per game to every opponent so far this season.

Running Back Props

SleepyJ (10:50 - 12:09) proposes a prop for Choba Hubbard to score a touchdown at even money, emphasizing his heavy volume of touches (26) in the previous game. Hubbard's matchup against a vulnerable Bengals defense makes him a solid pick.
Steve Reeder (13:05 - 14:52) backs Bijan Robinson over 69.5 rushing yards, despite concerns over his shoulder injury. He praises the Falcons’ improved offense and highlights their upcoming matchup against a Saints defense that has struggled against elite running backs like Saquon Barkley.
Munaf Manji (14:53 - 16:39) suggests Aaron Jones over 21.5 receiving yards against the Packers. Jones has been a consistent performer in the passing game and could shine again against his former team.

Wide Receiver Props

SleepyJ (17:34 - 18:51) recommends Kyron Williams over 16.5 receiving yards. Williams is becoming more involved in the Rams' passing game due to injuries to other key players.
Steve Reeder (19:54 - 21:44) focuses on Josh Downs over 34 receiving yards. Reeder highlights his strong connection with quarterback Anthony Richardson, believing that the Colts will rely on Downs more heavily in the passing game.
Munaf Manji (23:59 - 24:55) suggests Dalton Kincaid over 37.5 receiving yards, citing the Ravens' vulnerability against tight ends this season.

Tight End Props

SleepyJ (24:56 - 27:17) backs Travis Kelsey over 4.5 catches, noting that he will likely bounce back after a disappointing start to the season. Kelsey has consistently performed well against the Chargers, making this a solid play.
Steve Reeder (28:32 - 29:58) takes an under prop for Kyle Pitts under 36.5 receiving yards, arguing that Pitts has not been a major part of the Falcons' offense this season.

Monday Night Football Preview

Munaf Manji (34:57 - 36:17) begins by previewing the Titans vs Dolphins game. With quarterback concerns for Miami and a struggling Titans offense, he and the co-hosts suggest a low-scoring game.
Steve Reeder (38:32 - 40:09) believes the game will be dominated by conservative play, focusing on limiting turnovers and relying on the ground game.
SleepyJ (36:18 - 38:27) leans toward the Titans but admits the game could go either way due to Miami’s unpredictability.

The second Monday Night Football game between the Seahawks and Lions is discussed next.

Steve Reeder (41:46 - 43:20) backs the Lions, despite the market moving against them, citing their stronger overall team and home-field advantage.
Munaf Manji (43:21 - 45:01) agrees with Steve but highlights the injuries to the Lions’ offensive line and key players like Sam Laporta.

Best Bet

The group concludes with their best player prop: Jackson Smith-Njigba over 48.5 receiving yards. Munaf points out that slot receivers have consistently performed well against the Lions this season.

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