Will Doctor gives you the sharpest card for the Valero Texas Open live from SanAntonio at TPC San Antonio (Oaks). -Discussing top 8 on odds board -1 matchup -1 t10, 1 t20 -3 outrights (30/1, 55/1, 110/1) -Sleeper, 2 FRP, 2 lineups -Scoring, best bet For the latest as far as the world of golf, follow Doc on X @drmedia59 In the VALSPAR25 Golf Preview Podcast, Will Doctor recaps the Houston Open and offers a detailed betting breakdown for the upcoming Valero Texas Open. He opens by acknowledging a disappointing week in Houston, losing 5.5 units, bringing his season total to -53.8 units. Minwoo Lee claimed his first PGA Tour title, winning by one over Scottie Scheffler and Gary Woodland. Though Minwoo only hit 22 of 52 fairways, his dominance on and around the greens—15th in approach and around-the-green, and 2nd in putting—secured the win. Alejandro Tosti, known for his distance (4th at 317 yards), finished T-5 after a solid Sunday despite a rough start. Gary Woodland’s emotional runner-up, his best since brain surgery, was fueled by elite putting and iron play. Scottie Scheffler posted his best putting week of 2025 and nearly chased down Minwoo with a final round 63, birdieing holes 13 through 16.Will’s picks last week largely faltered. Davis Thompson (T-27) had a strong middle stretch but imploded on the greens Sunday with several missed short putts. Mac Meissner (T-39) drove poorly, finishing 67th in strokes gained off the tee, but impressed with iron play. Tony Finau missed a top-20 finish by two shots due to negative iron stats and a disastrous four-putt on Saturday’s 15th hole. Minwoo Lee’s top-20 bet hit, but Mackenzie Hughes lost top Canadian to Taylor Pendrith, who posted three rounds of 65.Looking ahead to the Valero Texas Open, Will previews a course demanding driving accuracy and elite short game on firm Bermuda greens. He dismisses favorites Ludwig Aberg (12-1), Tommy Fleetwood (14-1), Patrick Cantlay (20-1), Hideki Matsuyama (20-1), Keegan Bradley (25-1), and Jordan Spieth (25-1) due to recent struggles, poor pricing, or course history. Corey Conners, despite being 18-1, gets a top-10 pick (+175) based on his consistent form and two past wins at TPC San Antonio. Akshay Bhatia, the defending champion, earns a top-20 nod at even money given his recent top finishes.Will’s outrights include Denny McCarthy (30-1), praised for elite putting and consistent irons; Bud Cauley (55-1), coming off two top-10s with sharp ball striking; and Isaiah Salinda (110-1), a powerful, accurate rookie who dazzled late in Houston. Woodland, fresh off his emotional T-2, is his sleeper pick for a top-10 finish at 4-1. First-round picks are Cauley (+450) and Salinda (+650) to top-10, both teeing off early. His DraftKings lineup features Bhatia, McCarthy, Cauley, Woodland, Salinda, and Meissner, while the PGA Tour Fantasy roster has Bhatia, McCarthy, Cauley, Salinda (captain), Woodland, and Lee Hodges. With potential wind and rain forecasted, Will predicts a winning score of 16-under. His best bet: Salinda to finish top-20 at 3-1.Will wraps by inviting listeners to tune in next Tuesday for Masters coverage and to follow him @DRMedia59. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Griffin Warner and Big East Ben talk Final Four betting and give out best bets. 🎯 ConclusionIn a tightly packed and highly competitive Final Four, both Griffin Warner and Big East Ben favor the underdogs. They highlight Auburn (+2.5) and Houston (+5) as their picks based on stronger tournament performance, matchup advantages, and coaching stability. Florida's reliance on Walter Clayton and uncertainty around Todd Golden’s off-court controversies cast doubt on their chances, while Duke's depth and reliance on young players could be tested against Houston’s physical defense and efficient offense. Their forecast is rooted in on-court statistics, injury updates, and strategic nuances seen in previous games.📌 Key Points🔮 Final Four Quality: Despite being historic, Big East Ben believes 2003's Final Four may still be superior.📊 Florida vs. Auburn Analysis: Florida is slightly favored, but Auburn’s consistent form and rebounding edge make them strong underdogs.🧠 Jani Broome’s Injury: Questions surround Broome’s health; he played through pain but may be impaired.🔥 Walter Clayton’s Clutch Factor: Saved Florida in half their tournament games, showing elite shooting under pressure.🧱 Tennessee's Collapse: Poor shooting doomed Tennessee against Houston—highlighting Barnes' recurring March struggles.💥 Houston’s Physicality: Described as "blowing everything up," Houston’s aggressive defense neutralizes offenses.🚀 Duke's Efficiency: Duke runs elite lob plays and features standout freshman Cooper Flagg, but lacks bench depth.📉 Rick Barnes Narrative: Continues to be viewed as underperforming in big games, despite strong teams.💬 Rothstein Spoilers: Rothstein’s tweets accidentally spoiled multiple game outcomes for Ben while watching on delay.📉 Todd Golden Controversy: Allegations of inappropriate conduct cast shadow over Florida’s run and Golden’s credibility.🧠 Summary[Griffin Warner (0:15 - 1:03)]: Introduces the podcast and previews the Final Four, noting the unusual all-#1-seed format.[Big East Ben (1:03 - 1:35)]: Pushes back on the “greatest ever” Final Four label, referencing 2003 and questioning KenPom data accuracy.[Griffin Warner (2:03 - 2:54)]: Shares enthusiasm for San Antonio as the host city, anticipating a more centralized experience than past cities like Houston.[Florida vs. Texas Tech Recap (6:08 - 10:11)]: Florida came back from a massive deficit; Clayton's threes and Tech's missed free throws were key.[Alabama vs. Duke Recap (10:11 - 12:12)]: Alabama regressed after hot shooting vs. BYU; Cooper Flagg’s defense shut them down.[Tennessee vs. Houston Recap (12:14 - 14:59)]: Tennessee missed 14 straight threes; Houston capitalized despite inefficient shooting.[Auburn vs. Michigan State Recap (16:09 - 17:14)]: Auburn's Jani Broome dominated; Michigan State’s Jackson Kohler showed unexpected value.[Auburn vs. Florida Preview (20:22 - 30:09)]: Florida’s guard play praised, but Auburn seen as undervalued; concern over Broome's health remains.[Houston vs. Duke Preview (32:11 - 37:55)]: Houston’s structured sets and defense seen as key to disrupting Duke’s offensive rhythm.[Best Bets (38:34 - 38:56)]: Final picks are Auburn +2.5 and Houston +5. Both hosts prefer experienced, physical teams over inconsistent favorites. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner get you set for MLB Tuesday betting. Munaf and Griffin cover the entire Tuesday betting card and offer up best bets.🎤 Quote Analysis with Speaker Names & Timestamps🗣️ Munaf Manji (0:09–0:45)Introduces the podcast, recaps Opening Weekend, and transitions to Tuesday’s slate.🗣️ Griffin Warner (0:55–2:05)Acknowledges a poor 0-2 betting start but expresses optimism. He highlights the Milwaukee Brewers' sweep in New York and their injury-plagued rotation. No betting lines are available for their upcoming game due to an unknown starting pitcher, emphasizing rotation depth issues.🗣️ Munaf Manji (2:05–3:03)Focuses on the Yankees' power surge, attributing it partially to “torpedo bats,” reportedly used by Stanton last postseason.🗣️ Griffin Warner (3:03–5:09)Discusses how the Yankees’ home-field power advantage—e.g., a leadoff home run by a catcher—helped sweep the Brewers. Shifts to Rafael Devers’ troubling start (0-for-16, most strikeouts in history to start a season) and criticizes Boston for keeping him in the lineup despite obvious struggles.🗣️ Munaf & Griffin (5:09–7:04)Question whether to be concerned about the Braves after being swept by the Padres. They agree the early tough schedule (at San Diego and L.A. Dodgers) and Acuña’s absence mean it’s not time to panic. Emphasis is placed on avoiding injury rushbacks.🗣️ Griffin Warner (7:04–9:18)Critiques the Astros for not locking up Kyle Tucker long-term. Uses this to segue into the analytical complexity of front office roles. Also reflects on the White Sox's fluctuating early performance and the value of backing underdogs like them.📊 Player & Team Statistics + Analysis⚾ Rafael Devers (Red Sox)Stat: 0-for-16 start; most strikeouts ever to start a season🔍 Analysis: Coming off double shoulder injuries, his performance was called out by former Sox players; management may need to sit him.⚾ Sandy Alcantara (Marlins)Game vs Pirates: 4 BB, 7 K, 2 ER over ~5 inningsCareer vs Mets: 3–5 record, 3.07 ERA🧠 Insight: Often lacks run support. Valuable for first five inning bets due to bullpen unreliability.⚾ Nathan Eovaldi (Rangers)Opening Weekend: 9 K, 1 HR allowed, dominated Red Sox📌 Betting angle: Favorable K-prop and first 5-inning bets supported⚾ Corbin Burnes (D-backs)2024 vs Yankees: 2 starts, 2.45 ERA, 0–2 record, 11 IP, 2 HR allowed🔍 Analysis: Has dominated Yankees, but Burnes is making his 2025 debut in hitter-friendly Yankee Stadium. Yankees are rare home underdogs.⚾ Kyle Hendricks (Angels)Career vs Cardinals: 14–4, 2.51 ERA in 28 starts2024 (last year): 2 starts, 11.1 IP, 0 ER✅ Betting lean: Strong history supports Angels as value play⚾ Logan Gilbert (Mariners)Season Debut: 7 IP, 1 ER, 8 K, 0 BB❗ Concern: Mariners' offense struggles to support great outings Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Former MLB Pitcher Josh Towers and Pregame's Scott Seidenberg recap the first weekend of the MLB season with the biggest takeaways and betting angles. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Griffin Warner and Big East Ben talk CBB Elite 8 betting. Best bets as always. The episode begins with Griffin reacting to buzzer beaters and heartbreaking losses against the spread, particularly referencing Cooper Flagg’s three that ruined Arizona’s first-half cover. Ben joins in recounting Thursday and Friday action, pointing out how random moments like a 40-foot bounce shot can upend expectations. Both hosts discuss Caleb Love’s inconsistencies—capable of both ruining and saving spreads within the same week—highlighting his first-half blunder versus Duke and a miraculous Iowa State game earlier in the year.Griffin then transitions into his frustration over inconsistent officiating, particularly around Duke games. He recounts two clear hook-and-hold plays, only one of which was called, and criticizes the lack of accountability for referees. This leads to a detailed dissection of the Arizona-Duke ending, where Arizona’s Conrad Martinez and Henry Vassar made costly mistakes, giving Cooper Flagg an open lane and handing Duke a halftime spread cover. Griffin places that moment on his “bad beats Mount Rushmore,” alongside Kylan Boswell’s buzzer beater for Illinois. Martinez’s bench role is criticized, though Griffin admits to knowing the player from watching 24 Arizona games this season.The podcast then shifts focus to upcoming Elite 8 games. Texas Tech, six and a half point underdogs to Florida, is labeled “extremely lucky” to advance after surviving Arkansas thanks to a controversial goaltend and jump ball call. Christian Anderson’s performance, a German national team player, is praised, despite his language barrier. Florida, described as explosive and turnover-prone early vs. Maryland, is expected to win convincingly. Griffin calls out Kevin Willard’s distracted coaching at Maryland, speculating he has had one foot out the door toward Villanova for weeks.On Alabama-Duke, with a high total of 174.5, Ben confidently picks the over, citing Duke’s offensive dominance and Alabama’s relentless three-point shooting. Griffin hesitates, noting Alabama’s reliance on variance and possible regression from Mark Sears, who made 10 threes in their last game. Both agree Duke’s size and Cooper Flagg’s defense present problems for Alabama, but Ben insists the scoring will be too prolific for either defense to hold.Michigan State-Auburn is next. Auburn, behind Denver Jones and Aden Holloway, executed a 31–8 run against Michigan. Griffin criticizes Michigan’s recklessness and missed rebounding opportunities. Though MSU won narrowly, they played poorly and relied on Jace Richardson. Ben supports MSU +5, praising Coen Carr’s energy and shooting. Griffin fades MSU, saying they’ve lacked consistency all year and didn’t capitalize even when Mississippi’s stars sat early.The final matchup, Tennessee vs. Houston, has the lowest total of 123.5. Griffin chooses Tennessee +3.5, arguing the spread is too generous for a pick’em-style game. He admires Tennessee’s ability to stifle Kentucky, while Ben calls it “basketball defense pornography.” They recap Houston’s near-disaster against Purdue, where Tugler surprisingly made a key assist, but the game lacked energy despite being played near Purdue’s campus. Both blame lackluster California crowds and stadium sightlines.Player spotlights include Cooper Flagg (projected No.1 pick and elite defender), Christian Anderson, Caleb Love, Mark Sears, and Jace Richardson. The hosts repeatedly bemoan officiating, noting goaltends, jump balls, and foul inconsistencies that influenced outcomes. They also drop a $15 promo code (NIT15) for listeners. Final best bets: Ben selects Over 173.5 in Alabama-Duke, confident in nonstop offense. Griffin takes Tennessee +3.5, expecting a gritty, low-scoring brawl that benefits the dog. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Munaf Manji and Mackenzie Rivers break down the NBA Friday betting card. The guys are getting ready for the home stretch of the NBA season and they give out best bets. 🔑 Key Points📉 Fade the 76ers: Philadelphia is 7-19 ATS in last 2 months, 36% ATS overall; tanking to keep their top-6 pick.🦵 Anthony Davis' Return: Capped at ~28 minutes but critical for Dallas Mavericks’ play-in push.📊 Western Conference Shakeup: Seeds 3–7 separated by one game; Kings, Suns, Mavs, Lakers all in flux.🩼 Curry Injury Watch: Listed questionable (pelvis); traveled with team; Warriors likely to rest him until playoffs.🩸 Lillard Blood Clot: Season-ending injury raises concerns for Bucks’ title hopes.💸 Team Trends: Knicks (without Brunson) and Bucks (without Lillard) both look vulnerable; Suns inconsistent vs elite teams.🚨 Betting Angles: Raptors have gone 10-3 ATS in March; Hornets are historically bad (-15 net rating last 30 days).📉 Clippers & Warriors: Both 41-31, tied in standings; tiebreaker favors Clippers.📈 Heat Motivation: Spolstra’s squad still playing for playoff seeding; have incentive to crush the Sixers.📢 Best Bets: Munaf—Warriors; McKenzie—Raptors -3.5; both based on injuries + motivation edge.🧠 Summary[Commissioner Banter (0:10–2:56)]: Munaf and McKenzie joke about NBA schedule reforms, tanking incentives, and a proposed "Tank Tournament" during March Madness. The light-hearted chat introduces broader themes of player rest and late-season motivation.[Anthony Davis' Return (3:03–6:21)]: Davis is limited to 24–28 minutes as he returns vs. the Magic. McKenzie believes Dallas needs him desperately, though he might not hit full stride until the play-in.[Playoff Picture (6:22–8:20)]: Western Conference seeds 3–7 are separated by one game. Clippers, Warriors, and Lakers jockey for better seeding. Steph Curry is questionable; Warriors lost to Miami recently despite Bam and Herro stepping up.[76ers Collapse (8:21–12:34)]: McKenzie identifies Philly (7-19 ATS, 36% ATS) as a prime fade. Without Embiid, Paul George, or Maxey, they’re spiraling. The Sixers need to tank to keep a top-6 pick owed to OKC otherwise.[Knicks vs. Bucks (12:34–15:38)]: Bucks are -1 vs. Knicks. No Brunson for NY; Lillard (blood clot) and Bobby Portis out for MIL. McKenzie expects Giannis to play at less than 100%. Knicks offense suspect without Brunson.[Celtics’ East to Lose? (15:38–17:56)]: With Bucks compromised and Knicks fading, McKenzie sees Boston as clear East favorites. He’s skeptical of Cavs and thinks Milwaukee is “a dead team walking.”[Suns vs. Timberwolves (17:57–22:46)]: Phoenix, without Beal, still gets up for big games. Wolves are 11-21 ATS as home favorites. Hosts lean Suns despite Minnesota’s stronger metrics; depth concerns and motivation in spotlight.[Warriors vs. Pelicans (22:47–28:04)]: With five top Pelicans out (Zion, CJ, Herb, etc.), Munaf makes Warriors his best bet even if Curry sits. Warriors need wins to escape the play-in. Pelicans’ motivation is gone.[Raptors vs. Hornets (33:13–36:50)]: McKenzie’s best bet is Raptors -3.5. Despite resting RJ Barrett, Toronto ranks #1 in defensive rating last 10 games. Hornets are historically awful (net rating -15 over last 30 days).[Closing Banter (37:15–40:21)]: Hosts joke about RJ names and shift to March Madness. Munaf backs Houston Cougars to make Final Four; their offense is more balanced this year, and defense remains elite. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner break down Opening Day of the MLB season. The guys have covered futures wagers and preview both NL and AL in previous podcasts. The guys give out best bets for the opening day in this episode as well. 🎯 Conclusion: Detailed Opening Day OutlookMunaf and Griffin provide a thorough game-by-game breakdown of MLB’s Opening Day, emphasizing pitching matchups, odds movement, injury updates, and betting strategies. Their top best bets are: Griffin: Diamondbacks -128 with ace Zac Gallen against the Cubs, due to Gallen's dominant home record and poor Cubs form. Munaf: Blue Jays -102 behind Jose Berrios, citing his 10-1 lifetime record against the Orioles and their injury concerns. They emphasize waiting to bet until lineups are confirmed for better value and advise checking weather and ballpark effects, especially in Washington and Miami. 🔑 Key Points⚾ Yankees vs. Brewers: Freddy Peralta’s swing-and-miss skills make the Brewers a live dog, especially against a shaky Yankees bullpen.📊 Orioles vs. Blue Jays: Jose Berrios dominates the Orioles historically (10-1, 2.95 ERA); Gunnar Henderson is likely out for BAL.🔥 Phillies vs. Nationals: Zach Wheeler is a run-line darling; Mackenzie Gore’s fade potential increases as he tires late.🏟️ Red Sox vs. Rangers: Watch for runs with weak starting arms in Crochet (BOS) vs. Eovaldi (TEX); lean over 7.5.🎯 Pirates vs. Marlins: A pitchers' duel—Paul Skenes vs. Sandy Alcantara; best angle is the first 5 under or Marlins 1H ML.🧤 Giants vs. Reds: Logan Webb’s groundball vs. Hunter Greene’s strikeout/fly ball risk in a hitter’s park. Under 8 is appealing.🚀 Braves vs. Padres: With Acuña out, Munaf and Griffin prefer home underdog Padres +113 vs. Chris Sale.🏅 Royals vs. Guardians: If KC starts strong, they can win early. But CLE’s bullpen is untouchable late.🌟 Mets vs. Astros: Clay Holmes starts for NYM; Framber Valdez is dominant at home. Astros -130 is favored.🤕 White Sox vs. Angels: Very low expectations for CHW; Kikuchi should dominate a limited Sox lineup.🧠 Cardinals vs. Twins: Sonny Gray shines at home (2.79 ERA); Twins offense missing Royce Lewis.🐅 Tigers vs. Dodgers: Snell vs. Skubal in a tight 6.5 total; if DET can walk Snell early, they’re live.🐍 Cubs vs. Diamondbacks: Gallen has shut out CHC in back-to-back starts; home run line highly profitable.☔ Athletics vs. Mariners: Low total (7) fits spacious Seattle ballpark; Gilbert strong at home vs. weak OAK team.🧠 SummaryYankees vs. Brewers (3:05 ET): Griffin favors Peralta as a live dog; Munaf sees value in strikeout props with odds of 6.5 Ks at +125.Orioles vs. Blue Jays (3:07 ET): Griffin is cautious on a weakened BAL lineup; Munaf supports TOR behind Berrios' 10-1 record vs. BAL.Phillies vs. Nationals (4:05 ET): Phillies are overpriced; Gore's arm may not last. Munaf prefers run line or 1H RL on PHI.Red Sox vs. Rangers (4:05 ET): Both hosts expect runs; lean Over 7.5 due to Crochet’s inexperience and Eovaldi’s past struggles.Pirates vs. Marlins (4:10 ET): Best pitching duel. Griffin and Munaf suggest 1H under 3 and Marlins 1H ML due to bullpen concerns.Giants vs. Reds (4:10 ET): Logan Webb’s groundballs vs. Greene’s flyballs. First five under or full game under 8 recommended.Braves vs. Padres (4:10 ET): Padres are undervalued at +113. Sale due for regression.Guardians vs. Royals (4:10 ET): KC early lead is key. CLE bullpen is dominant late.Mets vs. Astros (4:10 ET): Fade Holmes as a starter; Framber dominates at home (2.53 ERA).White Sox vs. Angels (7:10 ET): Angels are the only playable side. Avoid betting early on CHW.Twins vs. Cardinals (7:15 ET): Sonny Gray is solid at home; fading Twins offense early.Tigers vs. Dodgers (7:10 PT): Skubal has value as a dog. Tigers 1H ML is best angle.Cubs vs. Diamondbacks (10:10 ET): Gallen is 33-15 SU at home; Munaf supports him as best bet.A’s vs. Mariners (10:10 ET): Seattle home field suppresses runs; first five under ideal. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik, Scott Seidenberg and Mackenzie Rivers talk CBB betting for the Sweet 16. 🎯 Conclusion (spoilers & results)The podcast presents a rich synthesis of sports betting logic and NCAA basketball strategy as the Sweet 16 approaches. Alabama, due to its explosive offense and altitude-neutral advantage over BYU, is a favored pick among analysts. Travel distance emerges as a critical variable affecting performance—Arizona, with nearly 2,700 miles of net travel, is flagged as a risky bet against Duke, which enjoys East Coast familiarity and fan support in Newark. Michigan State vs. Ole Miss is marked by a rare equal-coaching duel between Izzo and Chris Beard, with Beard receiving the edge from AJ. Team totals, halftime betting, and second-half fouling patterns are dissected as key strategic entry points. Finally, the speakers predict a long-term decline in Cinderella stories due to NIL-era talent consolidation, hurting the unique charm of March Madness.🧠 Key Points📊 Fezzik’s Betting Edge: Fezzik boasts +110 units over 3 years in MLB, averaging 30+ units/year, with 42.1 units gained in 2023 alone (1:01–2:00).🧾 Travel Distance Stats: Teams traveling 1,900+ miles in Sweet 16 rounds are just 6–20–1 ATS, with a -8.1 average margin; Arizona falls into this trap (1:17:48–1:18:22).🧨 Alabama vs. BYU: Alabama is favored (-5) due to BYU's lost altitude edge and similar pace styles; total of 176 points could be NCAA tournament record (52:31–57:09).📉 Sweet 16 Underdog Stats: Favorites of 6+ points were 26–2 straight up in first two rounds, 19–9 ATS; last two years combined, such teams are 51–6 SU, 38–19 ATS (15:51–16:00).👨‍🏫 Coaching Matchup – Izzo vs. Beard: AJ highlights Chris Beard’s ability to outcoach Tom Izzo, referencing a Final Four rematch and Michigan State’s scoring inconsistency (1:30:05–1:31:12).🔮 Fading Cinderella: Speakers agree NIL deals and transfers are eroding mid-major upsets; expect fewer Cinderella runs (25:53–29:32).📉 NoVIG Opportunity Ignored: Virgin Las Vegas offered no-vig lines, yet was underutilized by pro bettors, despite the theoretical 4.5% advantage (8:44–11:19).💡 Halftime Betting Strategy: “More of the Same” (MOTS) trend showed 58% success rate—betting on first-half leaders to cover 2H lines (40:06–41:36).📉 Favorite Down at Halftime = Trap: When favorites trail at halftime, they cover just 37% in 2H; market over-adjusts due to psychological anchoring (46:14–46:31).🔥 Fan Impact in Venue: Duke expected to dominate the Prudential Center crowd vs. Arizona; Auburn will have home-like fan advantage in Atlanta over Michigan (1:24:57–1:26:02, 1:38:33–1:42:04).SummaryRJ & Fezzik Intro: Baseball & Best Bets: RJ announces $77 discount on MLB season packages; Fezzik confirms his strong 3-year run with 110 units in MLB profit.Fezzik’s NCAA Strategy: Fezzik bet 5 Sweet 16 games without sweat, defending heavy favorite strategies using efficient exchanges vs. low-odds sportsbook payouts.Critique of Moneyline Dog Bettors: Fezzik criticizes indiscriminate betting on big ML dogs with poor returns (e.g., 30:1 vs. 55:1 market odds), calling such plays “donkey” moves.NoVIG Event in Vegas: Despite a 4.5% advantage, few bettors showed at Virgin’s no-vig NCAA offer; Fezzik had a proxy place bets but faced restrictions for buying back lines.Favorites Dominate Early Rounds: In the NIL era, higher seeds (6+ pt favorites) are winning more: 51–6 SU, 38–19 ATS in last 2 years’ first two rounds.Decline of Cinderellas: NIL money leads top players to transfer up, depleting mid-majors; future tournaments expected to lack magical underdog runs.Halftime “MOTS” Betting Trend: More of the Same (MOTS) trend sees teams leading at half going 58% ATS in 2H, especially favorites. Trend flopped this year but holds over 6 years.Travel Distance Effect: Teams traveling 1900+ miles (e.g., Arizona) are just 6–20–1 ATS in Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Will Doctor gives you the sharpest card for the Texas Children's Houston Open. -Discussing Top 5 favorites on the odds board -2 matchups -2 t20's -2 outrights (35/1 & 175/1) -Sleeper, 2 FRP, 2 lineups -Scoring, best bet For the latest as far as the world of golf, follow Doc on X @drmedia59 🎯 ConclusionWill Docter presents an expert betting analysis for the Houston Open, emphasizing the course conditions and player suitability. Memorial Park, with improved overseeding and turf conditions, favors strong short games and powerful, strategic drivers. Docter reflects on previous picks, notably Victor Hovland’s Valspar win and Lucas Glover’s top-10 finish. For the Houston Open, key bets include Davis Thompson and Mack Meissner as outright winners, Tony Finau and Min Woo Lee for top-20 finishes, and Mackenzie Hughes as top Canadian. He also projects 17 under par as the winning score and offers a top-10 best bet on Davis Thompson (+350).🔑 Key Points🏌️‍♂️ Improved Turf Conditions: Overseeding makes chipping and pitching more manageable, reducing previous turf-related challenges at Memorial Park.📊 Weather Impact: Thursday afternoon rain could affect players in the late-early draw; tee time strategy is crucial.📈 Victor Hovland: Won the Valspar Championship with strong putting and birdies on 11, 14, 16, 17.⛳ Lucas Glover’s Form: Top-10 at Valspar and Players; 8th around the greens and positive putting stats.❌ Taylor Moore's Collapse: Missed cut by one due to a triple and double bogey despite solid overall play.📉 Ryan Gerard's Decline: From eagle-birdie start to 57th place due to poor driving and chipping.👀 Aaron Rai’s Fade: Past success in Houston, but concerns over short hitting and poor draw keep him off this week’s card.🔥 Davis Thompson Pick: Loved for his form, short game, and tee-to-green skills; key pick at 35-1.🧠 Strategic Matchups: Backing Castillo over Ryder and Meissner over Lauer based on metrics and draw advantages.💡 Sleeper Bet: Mackenzie Hughes as top Canadian (+350), with favorable draw and strong course history.📚 Summary (Top 10 Takeaways) [Will Docter] (0:18-0:31): Introduces podcast focus on sharp PGA Tour picks for the Houston Open. [0:41-43:09] Memorial Park Course Insight: Overseeded conditions improve short game viability, reduce previous difficulties. Wet weather forecast emphasizes carry distance. Valspar Recap: Hovland’s win highlighted by great putting; Glover cashed top-10 ticket with stellar recovery and underrated short game. Poor Performances: Taylor Moore and Ryan Gerard faltered despite promising starts; issues with specific holes and short game. Singapore Recap: Winni Ding underperformed due to slow start in shortened 54-hole format; Mansell won. Memorial Park Strategy: Key skills include long, accurate driving, total iron approach (especially 150–190 yards), and sharp chipping due to small landing zones. Top 5 Picks: Scheffler (4-1): Ball striking elite but putting and weather-timing are concerns. Rory (7-1): Great form and ideal tee draw; green light for fans. Aaron Rai (28-1): Avoided due to length disadvantage and poor draw. JJ Spaun (35-1): Good iron form but lacks total driving; no past success at course. Davis Thompson (35-1): Top pick due to fit, form, and value. Matchups: Castillo > Ryder (Even): Castillo stronger off tee and in recent form. Meissner > Lauer (-110): Meissner trending up with iron play; Lauer misfiring. Picks to Place: Tony Finau Top 20 (+150): Stellar Houston record despite poor lead-in form. Min Woo Lee Top 20 (+160): Long driver, great putter, elite short game. Extras: Two Outrights: Davis Thompson (35-1), Mack Meissner (175-1). Sleeper: Mackenzie Hughes Top Canadian (+350). First Round Picks: Rory McIlroy Top 10 (+188), Sammy Valimaki Top 10 (12-1). Projected Winning Score: 17 under par. Best Bet: Davis Thompson Top 10 (+350). Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Griffin Warner and Big East Ben break down all 8 games for the Sweet 16. The guys also give out best bets. 📌 Key Points📈 Big East Ben’s Bracket: Ranks 252nd on ESPN (top 0.1%) with 15/16 correct picks—only missed Arkansas (1:13).🧠 BYU Analysis: Shot 12/26 from 3, 15/16 FT vs. Wisconsin; strong frontcourt (Keita, Traore), but undersized vs. Alabama’s bigs like Cliff Amore (7:01).📉 Mark Sears Critique: Called inefficient and “garbage time” scorer—despite being Alabama’s spearhead (8:05).🩼 Grant Nelson Injury Watch: Improved in Round 2 but not 100% yet (8:45).🔥 Maryland’s Consistency: Largest loss all season is only 5 points; strong against spreads (16:21).🎯 Duke vs Arizona Mismatch: Ben criticizes Tommy Lloyd's in-game decisions vs Oregon (20:13). Griffin calls it a huge coaching mismatch favoring Duke's Jon Scheyer (21:44).💪 Texas Tech Praise: Ben touts JT Toppin’s dominance and Tech’s tactical shift against Drake (26:13).🔒 Michigan State Defense: #1 in 3PT defense; strong rebounding; Ben picks Sparty as his best bet (29:25).🔄 Tennessee vs Kentucky: Despite Kentucky sweeping regular season series, Ben says Otega Oweh replaces Jackson Robinson’s impact; both hosts pick Kentucky (+4) (33:19).📊 Stat Breakdown: BYU: 12/26 3PT, 15/16 FT vs Wisconsin. St. John’s: 2/22 3PT vs Arkansas. Arkansas: 2/19 3PT (26:04). Michigan State: Top 20 in rebounding & FT shooting (29:25). Mississippi: 317th in foul avoidance (29:25). 📘 Summary (Game-by-Game + Analysis) [0:14] Podcast Intro & Bracket BanterBen ranks #252/25M on ESPN. Missed only Arkansas for Sweet 16. Griffin is second in their group of 40.[6:51] BYU vs AlabamaBYU (+5.5) is hot—shooting well and strong frontcourt. Alabama underwhelmed vs. St. Mary’s. Sears deemed inefficient. Both hosts lean BYU.[10:05] Maryland vs FloridaQueen (Maryland) is impactful. Florida’s guard play strong but foul-prone. Both take Maryland (+6.5). Game could hinge on rebounding and tempo.[18:42] Arizona vs DukeArizona criticized for Tommy Lloyd’s passive coaching. Duke gets favorable whistles. Arizona has 3 NBA-level guards; Duke has coaching edge. Both like Arizona (+9.5).[25:25] Arkansas vs Texas TechTexas Tech praised for JT Toppin and tactical shift. Arkansas lucked out vs weak St. John's. Ben picks Tech (-5.5); Griffin stays loyal to Arkansas (+5.5).[29:25] Mississippi vs Michigan StateBen's best bet is Michigan State (-3.5), citing elite defense, rebounding, and foul shooting. Griffin hesitant, takes Mississippi (+3.5) for variance value.[31:07] Tennessee vs KentuckyKentucky swept regular season. Otega Oweh emerged as star. Both lean Kentucky (+4). Tennessee’s defense slipping (112 rating last 5 vs 99 season avg).[34:15] Michigan vs AuburnGriffin dislikes Auburn. Thinks Michigan could win outright. Picks Michigan (+8.5).[34:16] Purdue vs HoustonBen picks OVER (132.5), citing offensive growth. Griffin skeptical of Purdue’s scoring depth. Both imply Houston dominance possible.[35:36] Best Bets RecapBen’s best bet: Michigan State -3.5Griffin’s best bet: BYU +5.5 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices