RJ Bell's Dream Preview

Pregame.com
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Jul 26, 2025 • 60min

NFL Fantasy Football - AFC East Positional Battles

Rod Villagomez and Munaf Manji talk NFL fantasy football AFC east position battles. The AFC East may not boast the flashiest fantasy options, but its positional battles could provide league-winning value for savvy managers. Hosts Munaf Manji and Rod Villagomez dissected the division’s key situations with a focus on deep-league stashes and late-round upside. In Buffalo, James Cook remains the lead back after averaging 4.9 yards per carry and scoring 18 touchdowns, but Munaf and Rod spotlighted Ray Davis, who logged 478 rushing and 189 receiving yards with six total touchdowns, as the preferred backup over Ty Johnson. The Bills’ receiver room also offers intrigue: Khalil Shakir led with 120 targets for 995 yards and four touchdowns, but Keon Coleman, who had 578 yards and four scores as a rookie, was pegged for a breakout as he battles newcomer Joshua Palmer for the WR2 role. For Miami, the tight end room is unsettled after Jonnu Smith’s departure, creating opportunities for Darren Waller, Pharaoh Brown or Julian Hill. At receiver, Munaf pushed Nick Westbrook-Akene, who tallied 497 yards and nine touchdowns on 60 targets, as a touchdown-dependent but intriguing flex option over Malik Washington, who managed 223 yards on 36 targets. In New York, the focus shifted to the WR3 battle between veteran Alan Lazard, who had 530 yards and six touchdowns, and rookie Arian Smith, a dynamic Georgia product with 817 collegiate yards and four touchdowns. Both hosts leaned toward Smith for long-term value while framing Justin Fields’ season as a redemption tour in a relatively low-pressure environment, making him a viable QB2 with upside. In New England, Ramondre Stevenson’s 14 career fumbles, half of which came last season, put him on thin ice, opening the door for rookie Trevion Henderson, a second-round pick from Ohio State, to carve out a meaningful role. Demario Douglas led Patriots receivers with 621 yards, but Munaf identified 6’4” veteran Mac Hollins, who scored five touchdowns last season, as a sneaky red-zone threat and deep sleeper, particularly if Stefon Diggs needs time to recover from his ACL injury. The episode concluded with a shared philosophy: these AFC East names may not headline drafts, but they are exactly the types of players who become early-season waiver-wire priorities. Drafting them late provides a strategic edge, especially in deeper leagues or superflex formats where depth and upside separate contenders from pretenders. As Munaf put it, these are the players “you might as well just pick up and hope for the best.” This breakdown of Buffalo’s backfield, Miami’s receiving depth, the Jets’ WR3 competition, and New England’s RB and WR rooms offers actionable insights for managers looking to squeeze value from one of the NFL’s less-heralded divisions. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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Jul 25, 2025 • 38min

UFC Fight Night - Whittaker Vs. De Ridder

SleepyJ and MeanGene talk UFC Fight Night wagers. 🥋 Shara Magomedov’s striking: Highlighted as a spectacular stand-up artist with creative spinning attacks, including a double spinning backfist finish vs. Armin Petrosyan. 👁️ Fighting with one eye: Magomedov is blind in one eye, limiting his ability to fight in U.S. states like Nevada and California. 💥 Barriault’s style: Described as a “grinder,” pushing forward with clinch pressure but lacking creative takedown entries. 📊 Yan’s decision streak: Petr Yan has gone to five straight decisions, even against top competition like Sterling, O'Malley, and Merab. 🧠 Yan’s fight IQ: Gene highlights Yan’s approach as a “builder,” who uses round one for reads before overwhelming opponents later. 📈 Marcus McGee’s step-up: At age 34, McGee’s jump to face Yan is framed as “do or die,” a massive leap in competition. 🛡️ Whittaker as a gatekeeper: Gene calls Whittaker the “gatekeeper” of the division — fighters must beat him to prove they’re elite. 🏆 De Ridder’s streak: Coming off three straight wins against names like Bo Nickal, Kevin Holland, and Gerald Meerschaert, fueling his momentum. 📏 Size advantage: Sleepy J notes De Ridder’s 6'4" frame with a 6-inch reach advantage over Whittaker, framing it as a potential X-factor. 🤔 Different betting angles: Gene favors Whittaker straight or by KO (+200), while Sleepy J leans toward De Ridder at +145, emphasizing contrasting approaches. (0:38–2:07) Podcast Introduction – Sleepy J introduces the fight night edition, explaining they’ll cover the top three fights instead of the full card, and discusses balancing UFC content with football season demands. (2:08–3:56) Poirier’s farewell – Gene reflects on Dustin Poirier’s emotional retirement bout, noting his reluctance to grapple and inability to engage in a final brawl with Holloway. (3:57–6:49) Poirier’s fight breakdown – Sleepy J adds that Poirier looked mentally taxed by UFC tributes and unable to defend Holloway’s sustained combinations. (6:49–10:21) Magomedov vs. Barriault analysis – Gene emphasizes Magomedov’s knockout artistry, recounting his highlight-reel spinning finish, but also mentioning his difficulty versus Michael “Venom” Page. (10:21–15:17) Betting on Shara – Sleepy J backs Shara by KO/TKO (-135), highlighting Barriault’s declining chin and UFC’s matchmaking to elevate Magomedov. (15:18–19:51) Yan vs. McGee breakdown – Gene details Yan’s elite boxing, leg kicks, and grappling, predicting a decision win by weathering McGee’s early pressure. (19:51–22:43) UFC resilience – Sleepy J praises UFC’s flexibility in keeping fighters like Yan in contention post-defeat, contrasting with boxing’s unforgiving structure. (22:44–29:50) Whittaker vs. De Ridder – Gene frames Whittaker as a battle-tested gatekeeper, breaking down De Ridder’s past opponents and doubting his ability to overpower Whitaker. (29:50–34:18) The case for De Ridder – Sleepy J counters with De Ridder’s size advantage, reach, and confidence post-Bo Nickal win, leaning toward an upset at +145. (Closing) – Both hosts recap their picks, plug AJ Hoffman’s betting service, and sign off with plans to expand UFC content with more frequent podcasts. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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Jul 25, 2025 • 1h 19min

MLB Friday Preview + Best Bets !!

Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner talk MLB betting for Friday. The discussion hosted by Manaf Manji with Griffin Warner covers MLB trades, team trajectories, and Friday betting previews. It begins with anticipation for an active trade deadline as the Arizona Diamondbacks officially begin a fire sale after being swept by Houston, trading Josh Naylor to Seattle and reportedly shopping Eugenio Suarez. Griffin notes the Yankees and Cubs as possible suitors while mocking the Yankees’ defensive issues despite Aaron Boone’s optimism. The first breakdown focuses on the Brewers hosting Miami with Freddie Peralta (12–4, 2.85 ERA) against Cal Quantrill. Milwaukee, 22–6 in their last 28, are heavy favorites at -220. Manji highlights Peralta’s home dominance (7–0, 1.53 ERA), backing Brewers -1.5. The Diamondbacks vs Pirates matchup features Ryne Nelson (5.79 road ERA) against Mike Burrows. Warner criticizes Arizona’s bullpen anchored by closer Kevin Ginkel (7.89 ERA) and prefers the Pirates as slight home underdogs. The Phillies visit the Yankees with Taijuan Walker and Will Warren on the mound. Both expect a high-scoring affair in homer-friendly Yankee Stadium, with Manji giving his best bet on over 10 runs. In Baltimore, Kyle Freeland (2–10, 5.19 ERA) faces Dean Kremer, who has a 2.00 ERA at home. Manji leans Rockies +1.5 for value. The Dodgers visit Boston with Emmet Sheehan against Brayan Bello. Warner views the Dodgers as overpriced and takes the Red Sox at +106. Tampa Bay’s Zach Littell faces Cincinnati’s Nick Martinez; Warner favors the Reds as home dogs, while Manji prefers the Rays’ team total over. The Blue Jays visit the reeling Tigers, who are 1–10 in their last 11 and last in MLB in runs, ERA, and WHIP over that stretch. Both back Toronto behind José Berríos against Keider Montero. In Chicago, Shota Imanaga meets Adrian Houser. Manji notes the White Sox are 5–2 straight up at home and leans their run line or first five innings while targeting under 8.5. The Braves take on the Rangers with Joey Wentz against Nathan Eovaldi, and Warner leans Braves moneyline against an expensive favorite, though Manji supports Texas early behind Eovaldi. Cleveland’s Gavin Williams faces Michael Wacha in Kansas City; Warner points out KC has lost five straight Wacha starts due to poor run support, siding with the Guardians. The Nationals visit the Twins, with Mackenzie Gore versus prospect Zebby Matthews. Warner calls Gore overworked and makes Minnesota -131 his best bet, joined by Manji. Seattle’s consistent Brian Wu visits the Angels’ Jose Soriano, who has a 5.65 ERA at home. Manji recommends Seattle’s team total over. The Mets travel to San Francisco, with Clay Holmes set to be piggybacked by relievers against Logan Webb. Warner backs the Giants at -132, while Manji prefers the under 7.5 or first five under. The show closes with best bets: Griffin takes the Twins -131, while Manji selects Phillies-Yankees over 10. They also tease expanded coverage next week with three episodes leading up to the trade deadline. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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Jul 24, 2025 • 1h 17min

Dream Podcast - NFL Scoring Projections, YPP Power Rankings, Rest & CLV !!

Get pumped for the NFL season as the hosts dive into key metrics like yards per play and team power rankings. They assess quarterback changes and their impacts on team performance while offering insights on scoring projections and fantasy football strategies. Discussions also include roster analysis, underdog betting strategies, and the effects of short rest on game outcomes. Plus, learn about the evolving betting landscape in Las Vegas and how it relates to upcoming matchups and college football dynamics.
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Jul 23, 2025 • 35min

3M Open Picks and Predictions

Will Doctor gives you the sharpest card for the 3M Open. -Discussing top 8 names on odds board -1 matchup -2 t10's -3 outrights (35/1, 70/1, 100/1) -Sleeper (top 40), 2 lineups -Scoring, best bet ⛳ Scheffler’s dominance: Claimed his 4th major, now 4-for-4 in closing with a 54-hole lead. 📈 Putting breakthrough: Gained +2 strokes on the field, his second-best putting performance ever in a major. 🏆 FedExCup outlook: Scheffler leads the standings with playoffs starting in three weeks at TPC Southwind. 🎯 Rory’s inconsistency: T7 finish, negative driving accuracy for the third straight event despite solid putting. 💪 Bryson’s comeback: From 78 in round 1 to a 10th-place finish, crushing Scheffler fade bets. 📉 Failed futures: Kim (89th FedEx rank), Theegala (140th), Thompson (72nd) all disappointing in majors. 📊 Henley & Fitzpatrick: Delivered top-10 placements, boosting the week’s betting card. 🛠 TPC Twin Cities profile: Wide, water-laden course requiring long-iron precision and hot putting. 🔥 Betting favorites: Will passes on Sam Burns (18-1), Maverick McNeely (20-1), Wyndham Clark (25-1) due to value concerns. 🔮 Predicted winning score: -19 under soft, rain-aided conditions. Scheffler’s win (0:35–4:20): Scottie Scheffler triumphed at Royal Portrush with back-to-back positive putting rounds on Thursday and Friday, capped by a final round 68 watched by 4 million viewers. Career implications (4:20–6:10): At 29 years old, Scheffler now sits tied 22nd in all-time majors (4 total), aiming for a career Grand Slam with only the U.S. Open missing. Conditions & performance context (6:10–8:05): Favorable weather with minimal wind/rain made Portrush play softer, aiding low scoring. Bryson DeChambeau’s strong final three rounds highlighted how score-friendly conditions were. Rory & MacIntyre analysis (8:05–10:40): Rory missed a “sub-65” round, while Robert MacIntyre had a statistically positive week except for 3rd-round irons, both finishing T7 (-10). Justin Thomas struggles (10:40–12:20): Despite excellent iron play & short game, JT lost a full stroke off the tee, continuing his season-long accuracy woes, finishing T34 (-3). Bryson fade failure (13:20–15:50): After a 78 in round one, DeChambeau rebounded with 65-68-64, finishing T10, spoiling fade bets. Betting recap (16:00–20:40): Russell Henley cashed a +350 top-10, Matthew Fitzpatrick delivered +333 top-10, while sleeper Christopher Reeding missed top-20 by 2 shots. Futures review (21:00–25:00): Futures on Tom Kim, Sahith Theegala, and Davis Thompson were failures, collectively costing 3 units. 3M Open preview (26:00–35:40): Course needs long iron ball-strikers (e.g., Finau, Champ), with Will predicting -19 as the winning score under wet but playable conditions. Best bets & lineups (35:40–41:18): Key wagers include Tony Finau & Cam Champ for top-10s, with outright bets on Michael Thorbjornsen (35-1), Andrew Putnam (70-1), and Austin Eckroat (100-1). For more on the world of golf, follow Doc on X @drmedia59 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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Jul 22, 2025 • 1h 4min

MLB Tuesday Preview + Best Bets !!

Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner break down MLB betting for Tuesday. ⚾ Umpiring Chaos: Griffin and Munaf detail egregious officiating, including Juan Soto’s walk on miscalled pitches and Felix Bautista’s bad call with bases loaded. 📉 Casey Mize's Decline: Mize allowed 6 ER in 3 IP vs. Mariners pre-ASG and has a 4.93 bullpen ERA since June—down from 3.31. 🏠 Mitch Keller Home Split: Despite a 3.48 ERA over 16 starts, he's just 3–10 due to lack of run support at home. 🔥 Brandon Young Struggles: Orioles have lost 5 straight starts by Young, who holds a 7.52 ERA and 7 ER allowed in his last start. 🔄 Chase Burns Inconsistency: Impressive vs. Yankees (5 Ks), but bombed at Fenway (5 ER in ⅓ IP); rebounded with 10.2 IP, 3 ER in July. 📊 Christopher Sanchez Surge: 55.1 IP in June-July, only 10 ER; hasn’t allowed more than 1 ER in any July start. 💥 Brewers' Rise: Milwaukee tied NL Central lead, won 10 straight. Mizorowski: 4–1, 0.90 ERA, 11.6 K/9, dominated Dodgers with 12 Ks. 🏗️ Astros Betting Edge: Despite injuries, Framber Valdez remains consistent. Eduardo Rodriguez 1–7 lifetime vs. HOU, 7.51 ERA. 🚑 Dodgers Injury Watch: Max Muncy out, Yamamoto’s form fluctuates—bounced back with 7 IP shutout vs. Giants after early Brewers exit. 🎯 Twins/Dodgers Over or RL Look: Simeon Woods Richardson may keep it close; Dodgers miss final AB as home team—potential run line value. Umpire Performance (0:49–3:47): Griffin slams ump Ron Culpa for miscalls, notably in Juan Soto’s walk and Orioles’ loss. They advocate for tech-enhanced strike zones used in spring training. Tigers vs. Pirates Preview (4:52–8:55): Mize under scrutiny post-6 ER outing; Keller decent stats but lacks offensive support. Tigers bullpen ERA worsened (3.31 to 4.93) since June. Guardians vs. Orioles (8:56–12:26): Brandon Young's poor road starts (7.52 ERA, 7 BBs) continue; Guardians’ Cantillo returns from minors aiming to stretch out starts. Nationals vs. Reds (12:26–16:11): Nationals fading post-GM firing. Chase Burns shows improvement after rocky debut; Reds offense surging. Red Sox vs. Phillies (16:12–20:19): Sanchez has allowed 10 ER over 55.1 IP since June. Phillies signed David Robertson, exposing bullpen fragility despite strong starting pitching. Yankees vs. Blue Jays (20:19–24:28): Jays swept Yanks earlier in Toronto. Scherzer beat them on June 30 (5 IP, 2 ER, 7 Ks). Jays offense peaking at critical time. Angels vs. Mets (24:30–28:18): Montas (5.03 ERA) unreliable; Hendricks “crafty” but volatile. Mets bullpen struggling; run line on Angels offers better value than ML. Giants vs. Braves (30:35–34:21): Davis Daniel's limited MLB action questioned; Braves are rare home dogs due to lackluster offense. Griffin leans over 9.5 total. Cardinals vs. Rockies (34:48–39:01): Blaylock’s Coors Field ERA inflated by 12 ER game. Rockies viable for team total overs. Fetty has lost 4 straight starts. Astros vs. Diamondbacks (39:02–44:05): Framber remains reliable; D-Backs’ bullpen in disarray with multiple closers injured. Rodriguez struggles vs. HOU—Astros best bet as short favorite. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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Jul 21, 2025 • 44min

The Inside Pitch w/Josh Towers: Ep 16

Former MLB Pitcher Josh Towers and Scott Seidenberg take a look at teams that are buyers or sellers and players that could be dealt as we inch closer to the trade deadline. Scott Seidenberg and Josh Towers began the podcast by highlighting the proximity of the MLB trade deadline on July 31st and exploring player perspectives on potential trades (0:02-0:54). Josh Towers shared insights about clubhouse attitudes, noting that players on borderline teams usually do not focus too heavily on rumors unless they perceive their team as a genuine contender (0:54-2:22). Scott specifically referenced Zach Allen's scenario, discussing extra motivation players might feel to perform exceptionally well, either as a farewell to their home fans or to appeal to potential acquiring teams. Towers concurred, emphasizing how recent performances heavily influence trade interest (2:23-4:26). For players on losing teams, Towers explained they often refrain from openly expressing dissatisfaction but admitted they privately may urge agents to facilitate a trade, highlighting their focus remains primarily on what they can control—their performance (4:27-5:58). They then discussed prominent potential free agents, notably Kyle Tucker, Pete Alonzo, Ranger Suarez, and Framber Valdez. Towers indicated that Tucker could command a significant contract, speculating around $500 million due to the limited number of big names available (6:05-9:16). Scott and Josh shifted their focus to the Philadelphia Phillies, anticipating aggressive trade deadline actions given the impending free agency of key players like Kyle Schwarber and JT Realmuto, stressing the Phillies' urgency for success (9:17-10:30). They conducted a detailed breakdown of specific potential trade candidates: Eugenio Suarez from the Diamondbacks was deemed a definite trade candidate due to market scarcity (10:31-10:40). Sandy Alcantara, despite a 7.14 ERA, was viewed positively due to his talent and health (10:55-11:24). Mitch Keller from the Pirates and Zach Allen and Merrill Kelly from the Diamondbacks were discussed as attractive pitching targets, with Towers uncertain on Kelly's market value given his declining velocity (11:35-12:54). Nolan Arenado was considered a possible high-value trade piece, especially if packaged with Ryan Helsley, making him attractive to teams like the Yankees (12:54-13:53). Reid Detmers was identified as a valuable asset despite recent struggles, with Towers emphasizing his potential if developed properly (13:54-14:34). They then analyzed various teams: The Milwaukee Brewers' recent success raised questions about their legitimacy, given historical postseason struggles (17:06-18:25). The Toronto Blue Jays, despite inconsistency, were cautiously viewed as potential contenders (19:46-21:33). The Seattle Mariners were described as too streaky and lacking offensive consistency (22:27-23:10). The Texas Rangers were recognized for strong pitching but considered lacking sufficient offensive consistency (24:19-24:45). Tampa Bay Rays were praised for their unpredictable yet effective roster-building approach (24:46-25:33). In the National League: The San Diego Padres' potential was acknowledged, but Towers indicated internal cohesion issues possibly hampering performance (25:59-27:59). The Giants were dismissed as inconsistent and thus not genuine contenders (28:03-28:40). The Cincinnati Reds were enthusiastically discussed as a young team with potential but needing additional key offensive pieces to become legitimate contenders (29:21-33:27). Finally, they briefly touched on the Angels, suggesting that adding two pitchers could significantly enhance their playoff chances, despite current struggles and a negative run differential (34:29-35:47). Scott concluded by emphasizing the approaching trade deadline's impact on MLB futures markets, hinting at further discussions to come (37:47-39:51). Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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Jul 19, 2025 • 1h 11min

NFL Fantasy Football Podcast Preview !!

Munaf and Rod get you ready for NFL Fantasy season that is right around the corner. 📌 Late-round focus: Target players with upside in Rounds 12–15, especially in deeper leagues. 📌 Christian Kirk (ADP 144): Poised to benefit from Nico Collins coverage in Houston's high-powered offense. 📌 Trevor Lawrence (ADP 124): Under Liam Cohen’s coordination, Lawrence is set for a rebound season. 📌 Hollywood Brown (ADP 146): With Kansas City's shaky WR room, he could fill in crucial volume behind Kelce. 📌 Jake Ferguson (ADP 135): Expected to remain Dak Prescott’s key short-yardage and red zone target. 📌 Kyle Pitts (ADP 149): May finally break out with QB stability, 602 yards and 4 TDs in 2023 is encouraging. 📌 Nick Chubb (ADP 162): Could see red zone and short-yardage work in Houston alongside Joe Mixon. 📌 Rico Dowdle (ADP 155): Carolina’s committee could mirror Philly’s dual RB success, offering strong value. 📌 Justice Hill (ADP 178): Baltimore pass-catching back with 383 receiving yards and red-zone appeal. 📌 Adam Thielen (ADP 167): Despite age, led Panthers with 615 yards and 5 TDs in 10 games last season. 📌 Daniel Jones (ADP 194): Insurance for injury-prone Anthony Richardson; dual-threat upside. Podcast Launch Context: Munaf and Rod reunite, outlining weekly podcast structure, recording after injury reports for relevance. Rod will lead content direction and fantasy angles . Player Evaluation Philosophy: Rather than covering elite players, they dive into RB2, WR3, and flex spot dilemmas that are often league-deciding . Christian Kirk (WR, Texans): Cited as a value add due to 2022’s 8 TD, 1000-yard season and opportunity created by Tank Dell’s injury. Munaf projects 900+ yards and 6+ TD potential . Trevor Lawrence (QB, Jaguars): Highlighted for late-round upside under new OC Liam Cohen. Previous two 4000+ yard seasons and expected offensive jump cited . Hollywood Brown (WR, Chiefs): High ceiling WR in KC’s uncertain pass-catching hierarchy. Previous 1000-yard season and potential rise amid possible Rashee Rice suspension noted . Jake Ferguson (TE, Cowboys): With 86 targets and 5 TDs last year, he's expected to repeat as Dak’s secondary outlet behind Lamb . Kyle Pitts (TE, Falcons): Once a top-tier pick, his 602 yards/4 TDs in 2023 hint at resurgence with Michael Penix or Kirk Cousins leading the offense . Nick Chubb (RB, Texans): Post-injury bounce-back candidate, formerly a 5.1 YPC career rusher. Expected to compete with Mixon, especially for goal-line usage . Rico Dowdle (RB, Panthers): After 1,079 yards in Dallas, he's a strong flex stash candidate alongside Chuba Hubbard in Carolina's run-heavy setup . Justice Hill (RB, Ravens): 383 receiving yards and 3 TDs makes him a strong PPR bench option behind Derrick Henry . Adam Thielen (WR, Panthers): 615 yards/5 TDs in 10 games; Rod believes another 1000-yard season is likely with Bryce Young growth . Daniel Jones (QB, Colts): A speculative stash in case of another Anthony Richardson injury. Adds rushing upside and comeback potential . Chigoziem Okonkwo (TE, Titans): Fourth in team targets last year; potential security blanket for new QB Cam Ward . Devin Neal (RB, Saints): Rookie stash in a murky RB room with Kamara possibly moved; ADP 210 offers low-risk flier appeal . Wan’Dale Robinson (WR, Giants): 140 targets in 2023 with just 699 yards; Rod anticipates a production spike with Russell Wilson . Raheem Mostert (RB, Raiders): Chip Kelly offense + rookie RB Ashton Jeanty = opportunity for veteran change-of-pace and red-zone role . Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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Jul 18, 2025 • 49min

MLB Friday Preview + Best Bets !!

Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner talk MLB betting for Friday. ⚾ Lucas Giolito's form: 3 earned runs allowed over last 5 starts; 6+ innings in each 📉 Colin Rea's question mark: Cubs are favorites, but skepticism about Rea's consistency looms 🏟️ Red Sox momentum lost: Entered break on 10-game win streak, now facing reset in Chicago 💡 White Sox road woes vs LHP: 8-15 record, but solid 14-9 on run line in those matchups 🔥 Chris Bassett at home: 10 starts, Blue Jays 9-1 straight up, 8-2 on run line ⚠️ Nic Lodolo blister watch: Concerns about pitching durability post-break 🚫 JP Sears night struggles: 40 earned runs in 52.2 night innings, 17 HRs allowed 📉 Chris Paddack’s decline: 5-14 SU in 19 starts; shaky road record 📈 Charlie Morton vs Rays: 8 of 9 career starts vs Rays go 6+ IP, only 3 ER over last 3 💥 Dylan Cease volatility: Historically dominates Nationals, but recent inconsistency noted Chicago Cubs vs Boston Red Sox Lucas Giolito starts for Boston, Colin Rea for Chicago. Munaf notes Giolito has allowed just 3 earned runs in 5 starts. Despite being road underdogs, the Red Sox are appealing due to Giolito's form and Cubs’ recent cold stretch. Pittsburgh Pirates vs Chicago White Sox Bailey Falter vs Jonathan Cannon. Griffin leans under 9 due to both teams’ weak offenses. Munaf supports Pirates ML (-150), citing Cannon’s road ERA of 4.97 and White Sox’s 8-15 record vs LHP. Toronto Blue Jays vs San Francisco Giants Chris Bassett at home (9-1 SU) vs aging Justin Verlander. Griffin and Munaf both like Jays ML (-131), citing Bassett’s home success and Verlander’s road ERA concerns. New York Mets vs Cincinnati Reds Sean Manaea vs Nicol Lodolo. Lodolo’s blister is a concern. Munaf notes Mets are 9-3 vs LHP at home. Lean is toward Mets, but injury uncertainty limits confidence. Cleveland Guardians vs Oakland A’s Slade Cecconi (CLE) dominated A’s previously. JP Sears has a night game ERA over 6.00. Munaf likes Guardians ML due to Sears’ night game issues. Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles Charlie Morton has a dominant history vs Rays (8 of 9 starts 6+ IP, 3 ER in last 3). Both analysts back Morton and Orioles ML (+102). Washington Nationals vs San Diego Padres Dylan Cease has 18 Ks in two starts vs Nats last year. Munaf leans under 8.5 due to Cease volatility and Soroka’s resurgence. Texas Rangers vs Detroit Tigers Patrick Corbin day! Tigers 18-7 vs LHP. Munaf leans Tigers ML and team total over. Griffin doubts Rangers pricing due to recent sweep. Colorado Rockies vs Minnesota Twins Freeland vs Paddack. Paddack 5-14 SU; Rockies +149. Griffin doesn’t trust either pitcher but acknowledges Rockies are better home dogs. Arizona Diamondbacks vs St. Louis Cardinals Brandon Pfaadt adds a new pitch; Palante recently gave up 7 ER. Lean to D-Backs but cautious due to bullpen injuries and trade rumors. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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Jul 18, 2025 • 55min

UFC 318 Holloway Vs. Poirier

SleepyJ and MeanGene break down UFC 318 full main card. 🥋 Poirier's Retirement Impact: Analysts felt emotional but hopeful about Dustin Poirier's retirement, noting his prime condition and consistent top-tier performances. 📊 Zaluber vs Johnson Breakdown: Daniel Zaluber was favored due to his grit, submission potential, and Johnson's 9 career submission losses. 💣 Johnson's Downslide: Michael Johnson's pattern of making tactical mistakes and gassing out was highlighted as a major risk. 🥇 Pitbull Over Ige: Dan Ige’s losses to elite fighters and lack of high-caliber wins made analysts favor Patricio Pitbull. 🎯 Holland at 170: Kevin Holland was seen as significantly stronger and more focused at 170 lbs compared to 185, boosting his chances vs Rodriguez. 🥋 Rodriguez's Durability: While tough, Daniel Rodriguez was expected to get out-struck and possibly submitted by the longer, faster Holland. ⚠️ Costa’s Decline: Paulo Costa’s lack of significant wins since 2019 and reduced activity undermined confidence in him. 💥 Kopylov's Rise: Roman Kopylov’s clean striking and improved gas tank made him a confident pick to beat Costa. 👑 Poirier’s Legacy: Poirier's career, including fights against Aldo, Conor McGregor, and Makachev, was praised as elite and enduring. 🧠 Holloway’s Knockout Risk: Max Holloway’s recent KO loss and weight fluctuations cast doubt on his mental readiness. Opening Commentary (0:00 - 0:26) Mean Gene and SSleepy J opened with light-hearted banter before introducing UFC 318, emphasizing its significance due to Poirier’s final fight. Event Context (0:31 - 2:06) SSleepy J detailed the location, significance of the matchup, and described the card as decent but driven largely by the Holloway-Poirier narrative. Poirier’s Legacy & Form (2:07 - 3:54) Mean Gene highlighted Poirier’s exceptional career and asserted he is still a top lightweight, possibly top 3-4, despite retiring. He cited his debut win and fights with McGregor and Holloway. Poirier's Impact (3:54 - 6:50) SSleepy J reflected on Poirier's rise during his own UFC fandom and lauded Poirier’s ability to go five rounds with Islam Makhachev, asserting Poirier is still elite. Zaluber vs Johnson Analysis (6:50 - 9:56) Both analysts backed Zaluber. SSleepy J suggested Zaluber by submission at +470, citing Johnson's nine submission losses. Mean Gene agreed, adding Johnson’s fight IQ issues and Zaluber’s toughness. Dan Ige vs Patricio Pitbull (9:56 - 17:11) Both analysts questioned Ige’s resume, noting his inability to beat top talent. Pitbull was seen as a value underdog with better grappling and more poise since debuting against Yair Rodriguez. Holland vs Rodriguez Breakdown (17:12 - 25:28) SSleepy J expected a cautious bout to go the distance at +165. Mean Gene disagreed, predicting Holland wins inside the distance (−150), citing Holland’s size, reach, and dominance at 170 lbs. Parlay Strategy (25:28 - 29:25) SSleepy J shared a betting parlay: Kopylov and Islam Dulatov. He doubted Costa’s skill and motivation, calling him more aesthetic than effective in recent years. Costa vs Kopylov (29:26 - 33:56) Both analysts saw Kopylov as a clear favorite due to Costa’s inactivity and low volume. Kopylov’s jab, improved cardio, and technical precision were praised. Main Event: Holloway vs Poirier (33:57 - 50:52) Unanimous agreement on Poirier: He’s more well-rounded, has home advantage, and a legacy to cap. Concerns were raised about Holloway’s mental readiness, KO loss, and inconsistency across weight classes. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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