RJ Bell's Dream Preview

Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner talk MLB betting for Tuesday. MLB is in full swing and the guys are off to a hot start on the bases. Best bets as always. 📚 Summary(0:02 - 2:06) Pod Opening & Records: Munaf opens the pod, welcomes Griffin, and recaps their season records: Munaf 4-1, Griffin 2-0. Griffin jokes about golf playoffs vs. extra innings.(2:06 - 3:43) Season Outlook: Discussion on maintaining strong early-season handicapping, approaching the six-month grind efficiently.(3:43 - 5:58) Diamondbacks vs Marlins: Merrill Kelly is discussed as a pitcher with shaky control but upside. Arizona's defensive issues and Miami’s lack of offensive intent are mentioned. Griffin leans under 8.5.(5:59 - 8:15) Merrill Kelly Stats: Munaf details Kelly’s 3-game performance and compares offenses in NL West. Gillespie’s effectiveness also gets brief praise.(8:15 - 10:10) Mariners vs Reds: Griffin and Munaf both back the under, citing weather (53°F) and two quality starters – Castillo and Lodolo.(10:11 - 12:02) Reds Pitching Praise: Munaf highlights Lodolo’s elite early numbers (0.96 ERA, 0.70 WHIP) vs Castillo’s 2.12 ERA.(12:03 - 13:41) Nationals vs Pirates: Keller is seen as erratic but has upside. Irvin's poor 2023 finish noted. Cold Pittsburgh weather might keep scoring down.(13:42 - 15:43) Irvin Historical Stats: Munaf notes Irvin’s 6 ER game last year vs. Pirates; Pirates’ offensive inconsistency keeps bet lean unclear.(15:45 - 17:10) Giants vs Phillies: Verlander is criticized for showing his age. Griffin praises Phillies’ opportunity to bounce back at home.(17:11 - 19:05) Verlander Decline: Munaf notes his high ER and fading stamina. Lizardo praised: 1.50 ERA, solid vs Braves.(19:05 - 20:46) Guardians vs Orioles: Charlie Morton is fading; Griffin prefers the Guardians for their contact hitting and consistent fundamentals.(20:47 - 22:25) Guardians Potential: Munaf questions if they can exploit Morton’s decline. Griffin says yes – Morton shouldn’t be in rotation.(22:26 - 25:51) Red Sox vs Rays: Pepiot backed against the volatile Red Sox. Munaf leans over 8.5 due to both pitchers’ walk rates.(25:51 - 28:51) Royals vs Yankees: Munaf supports Yankees run line. Griffin notes Royals offensive ineptitude and concerns about bullpen usage.(28:53 - 30:35) Braves vs Blue Jays: Praise for Schwellenbach’s incredible start. Caution over Gausman’s declining stuff. Lean to Braves.(30:35 - 32:20) Braves Pitching Dominance: Schwellenbach: 20 IP, 1 ER, 0.65 WHIP. First-five betting angle highlighted.(32:20 - 34:27) A’s vs White Sox: White Sox heavily faded; Jeffrey Springs praised. Munaf leans A’s team total due to Sean Burke’s poor outings.(34:28 - 37:12) Tigers vs Brewers: Quinn Priester’s walk-prone tendencies discussed. Flaherty’s elite form (0 ER vs Yankees) makes Tigers a lean.(37:13 - 41:01) Astros vs Cardinals: Lean early on Astros due to Hunter Brown's edge over Fetty, though bullpen concerns loom.(41:02 - 46:37) Promo Segment: MLB contest and subscription offer details – promo code “STRIKE50” discussed for discounts.(46:39 - 50:12) Angels vs Rangers: Corbin Day! Both pitchers have control issues. Munaf backs Angels team total and game over.(50:13 - 54:57) Cubs vs Padres: Imanaga's consistent form vs Vasquez’s wildness. Under and Cubs lean.(54:57 - 57:08) Rockies vs Dodgers: Rockies can't score; Feltner expected to struggle. Dodgers run line and team total over locked in.(57:09 - 59:30) Best Bets: Griffin – Rays ML (-125); Munaf – Yankees RL (+110).(59:31 - End) Closing Remarks: Reminder to use “STRIKE50” promo code, tease for next pod episode. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Munaf Manji and Mackeznie Rivers talk NBA playoff play-in games. The guys also give out best bets. 📌 Key Points Clave📉 Unders Trend: Play-In games show a 17-7 trend toward the under; especially strong (7-1) in 7 vs 8 matchups.📊 Magic Defense: Orlando is ranked 2nd on defense post-All-Star break and 1st in the last 30 days.🔥 Orlando at Home: 69.6% ATS at home since last season as favorites (39-17 ATS), 44-12 SU.🔋 Celtics Power: Boston’s net rating and roster stability make them overwhelming Eastern Conference favorites.📈 Thunder Dominance: Finished with 68-14 record, 1st overall and in net rating; strong title contenders.🔁 Cavs Form: Ended with a top-3 net rating despite late-season fatigue; seen as overrated compared to odds.💡 Surprise Teams: Suns are noted as a major disappointment, while Bulls are a surprisingly efficient late-season team.🧠 Coaching Impact: Miami’s edge lies with Erik Spoelstra, but Chicago is seen as the better overall team.🎯 Warriors' Struggles: 0-3 in play-in history, and one of the worst half-court offenses among playoff teams.📈 Kings vs Mavs Edge: Kings -5 favored due to better offensive consistency; Mavericks lack depth without Kyrie.📝 Summary ResumenOpening Play-In Preview (0:10–2:41)Munaf Manji introduces the play-in breakdown. Mackenzie jokes it's like Christmas, excited for playoff intensity. They begin with a recap of the Eastern Conference finish and potential Cavs matchups.Eastern Conference Analysis (2:42–6:39)Mackenzie projects Magic to beat the Hawks. He’s skeptical of Cavs' lofty odds despite their +9.2 net rating. Celtics remain his favorite due to balanced offense and defense.Western Conference Setup (7:01–11:57)Five 50-win teams highlight West strength. Thunder finished 68-14, Rockets 52-30. Lakers vs Timberwolves is a premier matchup. Mack praises Thunder’s consistent elite play.Surprises & Coaching Carousel (14:23–17:39)Mackenzie admits Suns were a huge betting miss. Munaf discusses Phoenix coaching turnover. Rumors include Durant trade if Thunder or Celtics lose in the finals.Magic vs Hawks Breakdown (17:39–22:35)Magic are 11-7 ATS post-ASB vs playoff teams. Missing Suggs hurts offense, but defense is elite. Hawks’ injuries (Capela, Johnson) reduce competitiveness. Total leans under.Warriors vs Grizzlies Breakdown (23:28–35:34)Despite Golden State being -7, both agree line is inflated. Warriors are 18th in playoff offensive rating; Grizzlies 6th worst. Both lean Grizzlies +7 and under. Historic home ATS for Warriors is weak.Heat vs Bulls Breakdown (35:34–38:17)Bulls have top-10 form since ASB. Heat slightly below average. Both like Bulls -1 and especially under 219 due to tactical slow pace and playoff urgency.Mavs vs Kings Breakdown (38:38–42:49)Kings should be -7 per Mack’s model. Dallas has lowest net rating among playoff teams since ASB. Davis prop of 11.5 rebounds favored, citing dominance vs Sacramento.Best Bets Recap (44:50–49:23)Munaf’s best bet: Bulls/Heat under 219. Secondary: Magic -5. Mackenzie: Magic -5 and leans early playoff game unders (especially Bucks/Pacers under).Finals Picks (51:51–56:12)Mack backs Thunder vs Celtics. Munaf playfully picks Rockets, then seriously leans Lakers due to Luka + LeBron combination and veteran roster. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Former MLB Pitcher Josh Towers and Scott Seidenberg discuss the latest stories around baseball with a look at the betting markets. 📌 Key Points📈 Sweep Betting System: Favorites in Game 3 of a potential sweep are 10-4; home teams avoiding sweeps are 8-2 (Profits: +$485 and +$565 respectively).📉 Underdog Performance: Underdogs in sweep games are only 6-10 and show a betting loss of -$201.🧠 Bullpen Strategy: Managers often signal “conceding” games by bullpen usage patterns, saving top relievers when already behind — criticized by Towers.📊 Live Betting Strategy: Scott suggests betting the live over (total runs) when a favorite is losing slightly late-game, offering more margin than moneyline bets.⚾ Player Highlight – Garrett Crochet: 7 no-hit innings, AL Cy Young favorite at +210. FIP showcases true dominance (1.23).🔥 Paul Skenes & Hunter Greene: Both NL Cy Young co-favorites at +300; Greene's 0.98 ERA over 27.2 IP stands out. Skenes’ FIP: 1.31.🧠 FIP vs ERA: Discussed how FIP is a better measure of pitcher skill than ERA, avoiding fielding biases.🫂 Mental Health in Baseball: Jarren Duran’s Netflix revelation about suicidal thoughts mirrors Drew Robinson’s survival and advocacy — sparking a deep talk on pressures in the minors.🏆 Award Markets: MVP races led by Judge (AL) and Ohtani (NL); Rookie of Year watch features Jacob Wilson and Christian Campbell.📉 Yankees’ Defensive Issues: Fried gave up 7 runs, only 3 earned — exposing the team's fielding liability.📚 SummarySweep Systems Analysis (0:02–3:05):Scott shares sweep avoidance betting data: favorites avoiding a sweep are 10-4; home teams 8-2; total teams 16-15. Betting on underdogs yields a -$201 return. Josh agrees that lineup decisions, like resting stars after series wins, influence outcomes.Managerial Decisions and Lineup Psychology (3:07–5:56):Josh explains how internal clubhouse dynamics affect lineup decisions. Players want to win series, not necessarily every game. Managers often rest regulars after clinching series wins, affecting competitiveness.Bullpen Usage Patterns (6:23–9:15):Josh criticizes managers for "conceding" games too early, using low-leverage relievers when down by just a couple of runs — citing Twins and Dodgers examples.Live Betting Strategy Deep Dive (11:11–14:24):Scott explains betting over on total runs (e.g., over 6.5) when a favorite is down 2-1. Offers more paths to winning than a comeback moneyline. Towers supports it, adding poor bullpen use often leads to late runs.Betting Woes and Run Expectancy (15:52–17:10):Scott laments losing an over 6.5 bet despite having a man on 3rd with 0 outs — supported by run expectancy matrix (1.43 runs expected). No run was scored.Old-School Strategy Missing in MLB (19:32–24:32):They debate modern strategy failings — no bunts, no hit-and-runs, poor situational hitting. Citing a Red Sox missed opportunity where Devers could have pulled a single if the runner hadn't been caught stealing.Mental Health – Duran & Robinson (25:01–29:17):Heartfelt discussion about Duran’s suicidal thoughts (from Netflix series), drawing parallels to Drew Robinson’s survival. Towers praises transparency and advocates teaching players how to fail and cope.Cy Young Odds Breakdown (29:17–35:38):AL: Crochet (+210), Skubal (+425)NL: Skenes & Greene (+300), Schwellenbach (+550)Schwellenbach: 0.45 ERA, 20 IP; FIP 2.35Yamamoto: 1.23 ERA in 22 IPFIP vs ERA Debate (40:00–41:40):Chris Bassitt leads FIP rankings (1.20). Scott and Josh stress writers will prioritize advanced metrics like FIP over surface stats like ERA or W-L record when voting for awards.Team Performance Trends (45:01–48:07):Padres: 10-0 at home, 13 wins total — only undefeated home team.White Sox (0-6), Rays & Mariners (0-3) winless on road.Dodgers' run differential = 0, despite high expectations. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner talk MLB betting for Saturday and Sunday. The guys also give out best bets. 📌 Key Points (Statistical Takeaways & Betting Angles)⚾ Chris Paddock fade: Paddock hasn’t passed the 4th inning in either start, giving up 9 and 3 ERs.📉 Jackson Jobe walk issue: 7 walks in 9 IP across two starts signals command concern.📈 Christopher Sanchez velocity spike: Up to 97–98 MPH, potentially unsustainable, but promising.🏡 Guardians’ home record: 57–33 since 2023, undefeated at home this year.📊 Mikolas vs. Phillies: Cards are 0–4 in Mikolas’ starts vs. PHI since 2023, losing each by multiple runs.🔥 Jordan Hicks’ early success: 6 shutout innings vs. Astros and 5.1 IP/3 ER vs. Mariners.💣 Corbin Burns walk issue: 7 BB in 11 IP with 6 ER in two road starts—not vintage Burns.🌬️ Weather edge in Cleveland & Chicago: Cold temps favor under totals (~40°F, wind in).🧃 Astros offensive spark: 14 runs on Friday may mark awakening—suspicion persists about pitching.📦 Roki Sasaki control concern: Great stuff but struggles with location, similar to Yamamoto’s 2024 start.📚 Summary of Content[Tigers vs. Twins (0:02–7:01)]Munaf and Griffin agree Chris Paddock is a fade (ERA over 10 in two starts). Tigers' Jackson Jobe has command issues (7 BB in 9 IP). Lean: Tigers ML + first 5 over.[Phillies vs. Cardinals (7:03–10:47)]Sanchez touted for Cy Young by some; rebounding after Dodgers outing. Mikolas has terrible history vs. PHI (0–4, run line failures). Munaf's best bet: Phillies RL.[Giants vs. Yankees (10:47–14:20)]Giants lauded for road performance. Yankees’ Will Warren expected to make final start. Hicks solid so far. Lean: Giants ML, Under due to cold/wind.[Blue Jays vs. Orioles (14:33–18:14)]Povich has poor history vs. TOR (0–2, 8.38 ERA). Barrios rebounded in last 2 starts. Winds in Camden Yards mild. Leans: Over + Blue Jays ML.[Nationals vs. Marlins (18:16–21:32)]Sandy Alcantara hasn't returned to form; 4 BB in last outing. Trevor Williams quietly effective. Lean: Nationals ML + Over 7.5.[Red Sox vs. White Sox (21:32–24:55)]Cold Chicago temps favor Under. Fitz surprisingly strong; Perez stellar (1 ER in 12 IP). Lean: White Sox ML + Under.[Braves vs. Rays (24:57–27:59)]Rasmussen solid but Braves underdogs? Surprising. Smith-Shawver showing promise. Griffin leans Braves ML. Munaf prefers Under 8.5.[Royals vs. Guardians (28:00–30:14)]Lorenzen serviceable, Ortiz vulnerable. Guardians elite at home (63% win rate since 2023). Griffin’s best bet: Guardians ML.[Angels vs. Astros (30:14–34:29)]Astros may be waking up offensively. Gusto untested. Tyler Anderson prone to blow-ups. Lean: Over 8.5, slight lean Astros ML.[Brewers vs. Diamondbacks (37:19–40:50)]Burns has 7 BB in 2 starts—uncharacteristic. Chad Patrick has impressed. Leans: First 5 Over 4.5, stay away from sides.[Rockies vs. Padres (40:50–44:53)]Kyle Hart and Dolander both unproven. Padres offense capable. Lean: Game Over, especially if Padres’ bats wake up.[Cubs vs. Dodgers (44:53–48:59)]Dodgers crushed Cubs in Tokyo and now in LA. Ben Brown wild (9 BB in 11 IP). Munaf leans Dodgers TT Over 4.5, Griffin likes Cubs RL.[Roki Sasaki Forecast (50:43–53:20)]Griffin expects short outings; control needs work. Fade spots will appear, but risky without clear signals.[Yamamoto Trend (53:20–54:12)]Yamamoto now dominating. Reinforces transition curve for Japanese pitchers.[Rangers vs. Mariners (54:13–56:47)]Rocker inconsistent; Wu elite at T-Mobile (10–1). Rangers hit Wu hard in past, but game likely Under 7. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

RJ Bell, Mackenzie Rivers and Scott Seidenberg discuss many topics on this weeks Dream Podcast. The guys cover some NBA coaching changes and NFL season win total adjustments. Plus, Stock market and gambling markets deep dive. The Dream Podcast – NBA + NFL Win Totals & Stock Market! features RJ Bell, Scott Seidenberg, and Mackenzie Rivers dissecting sports betting insights and investing behavior. RJ introduces a special 90-day all-access betting package, recommending Fezzik for his strong MLB (+43 units) and NBA record. Mackenzie highlights his NBA season performance with a 57.5% win rate over 710 plays, positioning himself as a premier handicapper. The discussion turns to the NCAA tournament, where Duke blew a six-point lead to Houston in under 30 seconds despite a 92.5% win probability. Florida emerged as champions, becoming the first team in over 20 years to win three straight tournament games while trailing by eight or more points, underscoring tournament randomness.Scott discusses refusing to hedge a $300 bet to win $1,800 on Houston, which leads to RJ’s broader discussion on hedging psychology—only advisable when money is emotionally or financially pivotal. The NFL segment dives into new overtime rules: both teams now receive possession, unless the first team controls the entire 10-minute period. RJ and Scott analyze how this changes endgame strategies, field goal thresholds, and 2-point conversion decisions.Shifting to NFL win totals, RJ spotlights major market movements. Dallas’s total drops from 10 to 7.5 wins, which RJ deems wildly low given Dak Prescott's top-8 QB status, an elite receiver and defender, and a fourth-place schedule. He calls this his “epiphany best bet.” They compare this to Pittsburgh, questioning the sustainability of Mike Tomlin's non-losing streak amid aging quarterbacks and reliance on Mason Rudolph. RJ leans under for the Steelers.Denver firing NBA coach Michael Malone—despite playoff contention and a title last season—signals internal dysfunction. Jokic reportedly approved the move, later drawing up plays on the whiteboard. Mackenzie highlights the “dead coach bounce,” noting teams who fire their coach mid-season win 75% ATS in the next game but regress to 40% ATS in the second. Jokic’s role seems to be shifting toward playmaking, suggesting betting unders on his points and overs on assists when Denver is ahead.In the final segment, RJ dives into financial strategy, likening betting discipline to investing. He advises avoiding timing the market, minimizing transaction costs, and investing via low-fee index funds over hedge or mutual funds. RJ references his finance background, recounting managing Ohio State’s $7 million endowment and concluding that behavior, not picks, determines most losses. He encourages dollar-cost averaging and diversification, especially outside the U.S. dollar. The key, he insists, is resisting emotional decisions in both betting and finance.🔑 Key Quotes by Timestamp⏱️ 4:45 – “57.5%, 710 plays. I’m getting there.” – Mackenzie⏱️ 17:21 – “Florida trailed by 8+ in 3 straight games and still won the title.” – Scott⏱️ 28:59 – “You can accept you’ll lose the money. But not that you almost had the win.” – RJ⏱️ 44:25 – “You moved this line yourself.” – RJ to Scott re: Patriots⏱️ 56:12 – “This is one of the weirdest win totals I’ve seen.” – RJ on Cowboys⏱️ 1:08:03 – “Rams, Nuggets, Avalanche... All champs under the Kroenke family.”⏱️ 1:21:30 – “Jokic drew plays on the whiteboard. That changed something.” – Scott⏱️ 1:46:51 – “If you can’t spot the sucker, you’re the sucker.” – RJ⏱️ 1:59:08 – “I’ve never gone broke once. But maybe I didn’t win as much either.” – RJ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Will Doctor reviews all 95 players at Augusta en route to finalizing card for the 89th playing of the Masters Tournament at Augusta National Golf Club. -Reviewing 4 futures outright tickets -Reviewing 3 picks to win any major in 2025 -Going through all 95 players in the Masters Tournament -Adding 1 outright -1 t20, 1 t30 -2 bets "to make the cut" -1 bet "to miss the cut" -4 72-hole matchups -1 first round matchup -3 round 1 three ball matchups -1 t10 after R1 including an 8.2-unit loss at the Valero Texas Open and a failed 9-1 futures ticket on the Houston Cougars in NCAA basketball. He stresses the importance of reviewing picks, especially amid a losing streak, and outlines the four Masters futures he carries from December: Scottie Scheffler (7-1), Ludwig Aberg (14-1), Sung Jae Im (50-1), and Sepp Straka (100-1), with three additional tickets on Sahith Theegala, Tom Kim, and Davis Thompson to win any major.Scottie Scheffler, coming in as the favorite at +525, is praised for consistent elite performance, including no finishes worse than 25th in six events since returning from a hand injury, and podium finishes in his last four starts. His game, including a best putting performance of the season in Houston, is peaking. Rory McIlroy is faded despite strong wins at Pebble Beach and the Players; Will cites driving accuracy issues and suggests 10-1 would be a fairer line than 7.25-1. Jon Rahm, now on the LIV circuit, enters at 16-1 with recent top-10s but inconsistent putting and chipping. Morikawa is also passed over due to final-round collapses, though Will does back him to top 10 in Round 1.Other fades include Bryson DeChambeau (20-1), Justin Thomas (25-1), and Hideki Matsuyama (35-1), due to poor putting or chipping trends. Conversely, Will is bullish on Robert MacIntyre (60-1), who has recorded three straight top-11 finishes and two strong prior Augusta showings. He places both an outright bet and a matchup on him. Victor Hovland is another targeted play, specifically in a matchup over Cam Smith, following his Valspar win and a confident outlook on his improved short game. Shane Lowry, cited for consistency and solid Augusta history, is backed for a top 20, while Russell Henley earns a top-30 ticket thanks to elevated iron play.Several key quotes add depth. Scottie Scheffler credits Texas's varied conditions for developing his shot-making adaptability. Rory McIlroy reflects on family memories and the beauty of Augusta. Morikawa defends media avoidance, which Will critiques as symptomatic of poor mental preparation. Hovland speaks optimistically about short-game improvements with coach Grant Waite, prompting confidence from Will. Aberg’s comments reveal awareness of recent struggles, but he remains committed to routine.Sepp Straka remains a strong value at 100-1 with excellent iron play and driving form. He's bet to beat Sam Burns in a first-round matchup, who is faded due to declining performance. Sung Jae Im’s ticket has cratered in value, and Will expresses regret on that pick. Spieth is passed over at 40-1 due to erratic iron play, despite solid chipping and putting. Other noted fades include Tommy Fleetwood, Corey Connors, Cam Smith, Patrick Cantlay, Min Woo Lee, and Brooks Koepka, each due to specific statistical weaknesses in approach, short game, or driving.Later segments analyze lower-ranked players, including positive remarks about Phil Mickelson’s resurgence and Charles Schwartzel’s sharp form. Will picks Mickelson to make the cut, citing recent LIV success. Keegan Bradley and Akshay Bhatia are also featured in favorable matchups. Will wraps with lineup picks for Masters.com, choosing Scheffler, Patrick Reed, Shane Lowry, Davis Thompson, and Straka.For the latest as far as the world of golf is concerned, follow me on X@drmedia59 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner talk MLB Wednesday betting. The guys go through the games on the card and give out best bets. Final Four Stories (0:10–9:12)Munaf and Griffin begin by recounting their trips to the Final Four in San Antonio. Griffin, a seasoned attendee, shares insights on ticket strategies (wait for late price drops; expect $260–$350 range), and discusses the electric atmosphere on Saturday. Munaf recalls attending the Cougars game and experiencing both excitement and heartbreak.Game-by-Game Betting Insights (9:12–1:11:10)Cardinals at Pirates (10:33–13:56)Pitchers: Fedde (STL) vs Keller (PIT).Fedde got shelled by BOS; Keller is erratic.Pick: Both hosts back PIT as a home dog.Marlins at Mets (13:57–15:52)Pitchers: Meyer (MIA) vs McGill (NYM).McGill: 10.1 IP, 1 ER in 2024.Pick: NYM F5 RL and Under 7.Yankees at Tigers (17:01–20:11)Pitchers: Fried (NYY) vs Flaherty (DET).Flaherty: 11.1 IP, 3 ER total.Pick: Lean DET; play Under or F5 Under.Rangers at Cubs (20:12–24:55)Pitchers: Mahle (TEX) vs Imanaga (CHC).Imanaga: 18.1 IP, 2 ER over 3 starts.Pick: Cubs ML, Imanaga props.Padres at A’s (26:07–29:19)Pitchers: Vasquez (SD) vs Beto (OAK).Every home game in Sacramento has gone Over.Pick: Padres TT Over and game Over 9.5.Orioles at Diamondbacks (29:20–32:45)Pitchers: Kremer (BAL) vs Pfaadt (ARI).Pfaadt: 7 ER over first 2 starts.Pick: Game Over 9 or F5 Over.Reds at Giants (32:45–36:32)Pitchers: Martinez (CIN) vs Verlander (SF).Martinez excels with low WHIP.Pick: CIN ML and F5 Under.Dodgers at Nationals (36:33–39:18)Pitchers: Knack (LAD) vs Irvin (WSH).Nationals offense hot; Irvin vulnerable.Pick: Over 9 and Dodgers TT Over.Astros at Mariners (39:18–44:20)Pitchers: Brown (HOU) vs Luis F. Castillo (SEA).Brown: 15 Ks in 2 starts.Picks: Griffin’s Best Bet — Under 7.5. Munaf likes HOU ML.White Sox at Guardians (47:23–48:59)Pitchers: Burke (CWS) vs Allen (CLE).Guardians a parlay candidate.Pick: Avoid backing CWS.Blue Jays at Red Sox (50:21–53:08)Pitchers: Gausman (TOR) vs Houck (BOS).Houck: 9.2 IP, 7 ER.Pick: F5 Over 4.5; Griffin likes BOS ML.Angels at Rays (53:45–57:03)Pitchers: Kikuchi (LAA) vs Pepiot (TB).Kikuchi: 5 BB vs STL.Pick: TB ML and -1.5 (+155).Phillies at Braves (57:03–59:00)Pitchers: Walker (PHI) vs Holmes (ATL).Pick: Over 9, possibly F5 Over.Twins at Royals (1:00:14–1:02:59)Pitchers: Ryan (MIN) vs Lugo (KC).Ryan: 6–0, 1.49 ERA career vs KC.Pick: Under 7.5 or MIN F5.Brewers at Rockies (1:03:00–1:05:47)Pitchers: Alexander (MIL) vs Senzatela (COL).Rockies poor but live at home.Pick: Over 10.5; Munaf likes COL ML.Best Bets (1:05:48–1:08:10)Griffin: HOU vs SEA Under 7.5Munaf: LAD vs WSH Over 9Bonus: SD vs OAK Over 9.5Promos (1:08:10–1:11:10)$1000 Pregame.com MLB contestUse code STRIKE50 for $50 off MLB packages Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

March Madness takes center stage as the excitement builds for the national title game between Houston and Florida. The hosts share thrilling highlights from the recent Houston-Duke clash and discuss key players set to make an impact. Controversies surrounding coaching decisions and the influence of fan dynamics add extra layers to the game. There's also a dive into overlooked stories in college basketball, capturing the spirit of the fans and the drama that unfolds in the tournament. Betting strategies and season reflections round out this engaging preview.

Former MLB Pitcher Josh Towers and Scott Seidenberg break down the latest stories in Major League Baseball with some futures bets. Episode OverviewHosts:Scott SeidenbergJosh Towers (former MLB pitcher)Platform: Pregame.comRecording Date: Monday, April 7The episode dives deep into early MLB season narratives, controversial contracts, betting analysis, standout rookies, and pitching strategy under unusual conditions.💸 Vlad Guerrero Jr.’s $500M Contract ExtensionMain Topic:Toronto Blue Jays signed Vladimir Guerrero Jr. to a 14-year, $500M extension — third largest in MLB history.Key Points:Marketing move over merit: Hosts argue the contract is more about maintaining a face-of-the-franchise than building a championship team.Toronto tax: The team has to overpay to attract/retain talent.Longevity gamble: At 26 years old, Vladdy is locked in until 40 — an uncommon move before the Freddie Freeman/Dodgers precedent.Influence & optics: Contract helps attract other players, demonstrating the team's commitment to spending and stability.🧠 Front Office InfluenceDiscussion:Josh speculates this contract was pushed more by Mark Shapiro (team president) than GM Ross Atkins.Contrasts front office control in Toronto with independent GMs like Brian Cashman and Alex Anthopoulos.📊 Betting Focus: Braves, Giants & Playoff OddsBraves Slump:Started the season 0–7 (now 1–8).No team in MLB history has made the postseason after such a start.Plus-160 odds to miss the playoffs became a value discussion.Injuries to Acuna Jr., Strider, and Fried are key to the slow start.NL Playoff Picture:NL West (Dodgers, Padres, Giants) looks dominant early.Potential for 3 or even 4 playoff teams from that division.Braves may fall out if trends continue.🌟 Rookie of the Year RaceJacob Wilson (A’s Shortstop):Off to a blazing start (.351 AVG, 2 HR, 2 K in 37 AB).Not hyped by MLB media due to team market size.Compared to Luis Arraez (contact hitter).Plus-380 odds to win AL ROY seen as great value.Christian Campbell (Red Sox):Batting .364, more public hype.Plus-200 odds but projected to fade due to tougher season grind.Jack Leiter (Rangers pitcher):Plus-1800 odds, solid early season.Improved pitch arsenal; strong mentorship under DeGrom & Eovaldi.Other Mentions:Dylan Crews (overhyped), Jackson Jobe (not ready yet), Jason Dominguez (defensive liability), Cam Smith (slow start).⚾ Weather, Matchups & Game Day Betting AnglesCold-Weather Games:Cubs vs. Rangers in 22°F wind chill: lean UNDER 6 total runs.Mental toughness & pitcher comfort are major factors.Books are adjusting lines massively (e.g., -185 no-run first inning).High Altitude Ballparks:Sacramento games all going OVER.Similar to Colorado: air affects pitch break, increasing scoring.Betting value exists when under-the-radar pitchers struggle in altitude.📈 Betting Trends & StrategyFavorites:Winning 63.6% of games early season (historical avg is ~57%).Favorites of -250 or more: 5–1 so far.Teams like Dodgers, Giants, Padres, Yankees often cover -1.5 run line.Top Over Teams:Cardinals (7-1-1), Yankees (7-2), Cubs (8-3-1)Top Under Teams:Rangers (8-2), Rays (7-2)MLB Contest Plug:Pregame.com running a Beat Andre Gomes contest, with $1,000 prize opportunity.🏁 Final ThoughtsJacob Wilson ROY pick at +380: Best value of the year so far.Jack Leiter: Worth a longshot bet.DeGrom for AL Cy Young: Still a live bet at +1200.Weather, altitude, and betting psychology are underrated angles for early-season MLB betting. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner break down MLB betting for the weekend card. The guys also give out best bets. 📚 Summary (Top 10 Takeaways)[0:44] Griffin’s Tough Start: Still seeking his first Best Bet win, he recaps a failed Yankees play, blaming a late-game collapse by Mark Leiter.[2:03] Cubs/A's Game Breakdown: Munaf celebrates a successful Cubs over bet, attributing it to Joey Estes’ poor pitch control.[3:41] Giants Respect: Beating Astros in Houston earned the Giants credibility, especially behind hometown star Jordan Hicks.[5:33] White Sox vs. Tigers: Despite early struggles, Chicago leads the AL Central in run differential; both analysts agree on the under (7).[8:46] Cardinals vs. Red Sox: Griffin questions Eric Fedde’s viability post-KBO while Munaf leans on Walker Buehler’s bounce-back potential.[14:27] Padres vs. Cubs: Imanaga’s lack of velocity balanced by cold weather; Munaf favors the under (anticipated total 6.5 or 7).[18:47] A’s vs. Rockies at Coors: Cold (39°F) and snow risk prompts caution. Ryan Feltner as home dog holds appeal.[21:44] Yankees vs. Pirates: Pirates’ Keller shines early in season; Munaf leans under (8) and gives Pirates a chance to upset.[24:34] Mariners vs. Giants: Verlander favored in pitcher’s park; Miller's away struggles highlight Giants’ value.[27:42] Dodgers vs. Phillies: Phillies’ bullpen strength may be key; Munaf supports the Phillies upset bid at +124.🔑 Key Points⚾ Positive White Sox Start: Only AL Central team with a positive run differential (+4) through six games.📉 Pitcher Eric Fedde Split: Stellar home ERA (1.94) vs. struggling road ERA (4.28) suggests fade on road starts.🌡️ Cold Weather Alerts: Chicago (44°F), Detroit, and Colorado games flagged for under bets due to temperature and wind suppression.🧊 Jack Flaherty Analysis: Effective start vs. Dodgers (5.2 IP, 2 ER) supports under bet vs. Chicago.💪 Imanaga at Wrigley: 13–3 SU in 16 starts; reliable home dominance helps justify steep moneyline odds.🔥 Schwellenbach’s Strong Debut: Six shutout innings vs. Padres validates Braves F5 run line pick despite team’s offensive woes.💤 Braves Offense MIA: Still winless; streak-breaking potential discussed vs. Miami and prospect Max Meyer.🛡️ Justin Verlander Spotlight: San Francisco’s ballpark should suppress Seattle’s power; fading Bryce Miller on the road is the theme.🌦️ Weather as Key Factor: Weather patterns, especially in Coors Field and Philadelphia, heavily shape betting perspectives.💸 Promo and Contest: HIT20 code offers 20% off at Pregame.com, and the Beat Andre Gomes MLB contest offers $1,000 cash prize. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices