RJ Bell's Dream Preview

Munaf Manji and Steve Fezzik take a look back at NFL Week 6. They also discuss Week 7 and pools in Las Vegas and much more.Quote Analysis: Munaf Manji (0:53-1:51) begins by discussing the NFL Circa Survivor contest, noting that this week, 216 of 221 contestants advanced. He references Doug Peterson's situation and highlights that this week was calmer than earlier weeks of the contest. Steve Fezzik (1:52-2:18) explains that despite a rough week where he went 3-4, he still managed to remain in the top five of the contest standings. He criticizes the impact of line movements, especially in college football, where major line movers lost. Steve Fezzik (3:18-4:20) observes that home underdogs went 0-8 straight up and against the spread, with seven teams losing by double digits. This broke the trend of NFL parity, where home underdogs generally perform well. Player Statistics and Analysis: Las Vegas Raiders vs Pittsburgh Steelers (4:41-6:08): Fezzik points out that, despite the Steelers' 19-point win, the game was closer than it appeared. Both teams had similar yardage and first downs (293 to 275 yards). Key stats: Steelers rushed for 183 yards compared to the Raiders’ 57. Steelers' QB Aidan O’Connell threw for 1 TD and 1 interception. Bengals vs Giants (7:08-7:55): Fezzik expresses frustration over the Giants' late loss, highlighting a missed field goal and a Bengals TD that sealed the game. He recalls that Chase Brown could have knelt down to run the clock but instead ran into the end zone. Team Statistics and Insights: Home Underdogs (3:18-4:20): Home underdogs went 0-8 against the spread and straight up, making it one of the worst weeks for those betting on underdogs. The games were mostly uncompetitive, with seven of the eight losing by double digits. Pittsburgh Steelers (4:41-6:08): Despite winning by 19 points, the game was closer statistically. Fezzik mentions the misleading final score due to turnovers and similar yardage from both teams. Denver Broncos (14:17-15:22): Fezzik upgrades the Chargers by 2 points, despite Denver managing 6 yards per play, while LA averaged 4.7. Fezzik criticizes Denver's performance, noting turnovers and ineffective play. Power Rankings and Key Insights: Steve Fezzik (10:45-11:50): Fezzik discusses major adjustments in his power rankings. He downgrades the Broncos and Cowboys by 1.5 points due to poor performances, while Detroit gets a modest upgrade despite injuries. He also downgrades Denver for their poor showing.Phony Finals: Pittsburgh vs Las Vegas (4:41-5:08): This game is highlighted as a misleading final due to the close statistical battle but a wide scoreboard gap. Cincinnati vs Giants (7:08-7:55): Another phony final mentioned, where Fezzik discusses the disappointing finish for Giants bettors, attributing the loss to strategic errors. Betting Market and Strategy: Public vs Books (3:18-4:20): The public had a good week with favorites, and the sportsbooks took losses, but Fezzik reminds listeners that the “lights don’t turn off” at the books, indicating the house always finds a way to profit. Circus Swim (25:52-26:45): Fezzik praises pools in Las Vegas, highlighting Circus Swim and Caesars Palace as standout locations. He reflects on how pools have shifted from relaxing venues to more party-centric environments. Conclusion:The podcast offers a detailed breakdown of NFL Week 6, with Fezzik providing key insights into power rankings, team statistics, and betting strategies. Home underdogs failed to perform, teams like Pittsburgh and Denver underdelivered, and Fezzik emphasizes the importance of getting in early on bets. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Munaf Manji, SleepyJ and Steve Reider talk NFL Week 6 player props from a betting perspective.This document covers NFL Week 6 player props and a preview of the Monday Night Football (MNF) game between the New York Jets and Buffalo Bills. The hosts—Munaf Manji, Steve Reider, and Sleepy J—analyze key players, discuss team performance, and share betting insights.ConclusionThe conversation wraps up with a focus on the Jets-Bills MNF game, highlighting key injuries and the Jets' coaching change. Munaf and Sleepy see value in betting on the Jets due to the Bills’ struggles and possible absences of key players like James Cook. The hosts expect Brees Hall to be the focal point of the Jets' offense, making his rushing attempts over 12.5 the best bet for the game. Overall, Week 6 offers strong betting opportunities across various games and player props.Key Points🟠 Player Prop Success: The hosts reflect on their 9-3 record from last week, with a winning prop on Patrick Mahomes’ interception.🟠 Jets’ Coaching Change: The team discusses the firing of Robert Saleh, with Steve pointing to Nathaniel Hackett as the main issue.🟠 Brees Hall Best Bet: The hosts agree on Brees Hall over 12.5 rushing attempts due to the Jets' likely focus on the ground game.🟠 Drake May Over 24.5 Rushing Yards: Steve highlights May's rushing potential against the Texans, citing his college stats and the Texans' vulnerability.🟠 Kirk Cousins Over 1.5 Passing TDs: Munaf sees Cousins capitalizing on the weak Carolina defense to throw at least two touchdowns.🟠 Tank Bigsby’s Role: Steve suggests betting on Bigsby’s rushing yards, given his superior efficiency over Travis Etienne.🟠 Caleb Williams Avoiding Interceptions: Sleepy expects Williams to avoid turnovers against Jacksonville due to their passive secondary.🟠 Javonte Williams Under 71.5 Yards: The group anticipates Williams struggling against the Chargers' strong defense.🟠 Jets as a Strong Teaser Option: Both Munaf and Steve recommend the Jets in a teaser due to injuries on the Bills' side and favorable betting trends.🟠 Player Trends: Zach Ertz over 25.5 receiving yards and Kyle Pitts over 32.5 yards are mentioned as promising prop bets.Summary Opening and Recap: Munaf opens with a recap of their 9-3 performance in Week 5 and introduces co-hosts Steve and Sleepy (0:00). Jets’ Coaching Firing: They discuss Robert Saleh's firing (4:01). Sleepy feels Saleh was treated unfairly (5:00), while Steve blames Hackett for the team’s struggles (6:08). Jets vs. Bills MNF Preview: Sleepy backs the Jets (+2.5), citing the Bills' injuries and struggles against good teams (39:59). Munaf supports teasing the Jets up to +8.5 (41:35). Drake May Over 24.5 Rushing Yards: Steve recommends this bet (10:40), highlighting May’s ability to rush when pressured. Kirk Cousins Over 1.5 Passing TDs: Munaf expects Cousins to exploit Carolina’s poor defense (12:17). Javonte Williams Under 71.5 Yards: Sleepy notes the Chargers' strong defense will limit Williams’ production (16:35). Bigsby Over Etienne: Steve advises betting on Tank Bigsby’s rushing yards (18:28), pointing to his efficiency compared to Travis Etienne. Wide Receiver Props: Calvin Ridley over 43.5 receiving yards is suggested (26:04), as Ridley is a deep-threat against a weak Colts defense. Tight End Props: Zach Ertz and Kyle Pitts over receiving yards are backed as solid prop bets for Week 6 (25:20, 33:04). Best Bet: Brees Hall over 12.5 rushing attempts for MNF is seen as a strong bet due to the Jets’ focus on the run game under new play-caller Todd Downing (47:32). Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik, Scott Seidenberg and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL Week 6 betting. The wiseguy roundtable gives out their strongest picks for this weeks card. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner are red hot in MLB betting. The guys preview the entire Wednesday MLB Playoff card. They also give out more winning best bets.Introduction: Host (Manaf Manji): Introduces the podcast (0:09) and explains a scheduling change allowing for discussions on all four MLB playoff series (0:09-0:51). Griffin Warner: Acknowledges a profitable playoff season, reflecting on the regular season's success (0:52-1:08). Discussion Highlights: Orioles vs. Royals (0:27): Manaf: Mentions Griffin's prediction on the under for the Orioles-Royals series, highlighting a dominant Royals pitching performance that limited the Orioles to three total runs. Griffin: Notes the Royals advanced without any overs, indicating the defensive strength that helped the Royals (1:25-1:26). Impact of Home Field & Umpiring: Griffin: Discusses the significance of home-field advantage, mentioning all series being tied 1-1. He emphasizes the challenge for teams with no extra-innings games played thus far, noting the importance of "last at bats" and competent umpires (2:55-4:06). Umpiring is critical, with Griffin noting that umpires are calling more strikes than usual, making it harder to score runs. Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians (Game 3 Prediction): Pitcher Analysis: Detroit's pitching strategy, led by Bo Brisky, is likely to challenge the Guardians, who rely on Alex Cobb, who hasn’t pitched in a postseason game since 2013 (4:54-9:48). Griffin: Suggests the Tigers have an advantage with AJ Hinch's managerial experience and bullpen depth. Manaf: Underscores Cobb's long gap between playoff appearances and suggests that the Tigers' ability to string hits together could carry them through. Phillies vs. Mets (Game 4 Prediction): Mets Confidence: The Mets lead the series 2-1, and Griffin discusses their momentum and superior bullpen despite flaws (12:36-14:51). Player Performance: Manaf highlights the strong recent performances of Mets' pitcher Jose Quintana and Phillies' Ranger Suarez during the regular season. Quintana’s solid 7-inning shutout against the Phillies is noted (14:52-17:25). Both predict a low-scoring game, favoring the under in the first five innings. Yankees vs. Royals (Game 3 Prediction): Griffin: Expresses skepticism about the Yankees’ ability to win on the road, emphasizing the importance of playoff baseball strategies like aggressive baserunning (stealing bases) and capitalizing on every opportunity (17:26-22:16). Manaf: Points out the underwhelming postseason performance of Aaron Judge, particularly his high strikeout rate (21:02-22:15). Both lean toward betting on the Royals and another under bet due to the tight defense and pitchers' performance. Dodgers vs. Padres (Game 4 Prediction): Griffin: Stresses the significance of the Dodgers’ struggling pitching rotation, with Landon Knack stepping in due to key injuries (26:36-31:26). He expects a high-scoring game but predicts that the Padres’ strong bullpen will help them close the series. Manaf: Agrees, predicting early runs and suggesting a first five innings bet on the over as the best strategy. Betting Advice and Best Bets: Griffin’s Best Bet: Tigers to win at home, citing a mismatch between Cobb's long layoff and the Tigers’ efficient bullpen management (32:06-32:55). Manaf’s Best Bet: Under four runs in the first five innings of the Phillies-Mets game, betting on solid starting pitching from Quintana and Suarez (32:55-34:37). Conclusion:The episode ends with a reflection on the successful season, with Griffin and Manaf thanking their listeners and promoting a pregame.com discount (34:37-36:19). Both express optimism for continued success in predicting playoff outcomes. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Griffin Warner and Big East Ben talk College Football Week 7 betting. The guys preview this weeks biggest games and give out best bets.The "Need for Screens College Football Podcast" with hosts Griffin Warner and Big East Ben provides an in-depth preview of Week 7 in college football, covering notable games, best bets, and insightful analysis. The episode starts with motivational football fundamentals and a review of Alabama's shocking loss to Vanderbilt, a historic win for the Commodores. Griffin and Ben reflect on how this signals a potential downfall of SEC powerhouses like Alabama and Georgia, while Vanderbilt shows signs of improvement.Big East Ben highlights Alabama’s defeat as an SEC shakeup, criticizing Tennessee and Missouri's recent performances and suggesting the Big Ten could benefit from the SEC’s decline in the 12-team playoff format. Moving into game analysis, the hosts discuss several key matchups, starting with Washington vs. Iowa, where Ben favors Iowa due to Washington’s road struggles, while Griffin takes the under 41 points, predicting a low-scoring game.The Red River Showdown between Texas and Oklahoma receives significant attention. Despite Texas being favored by 14.5 points, both hosts predict a tighter game based on historical trends, with Ben picking Oklahoma to cover and Griffin leaning toward the under. They discuss past Red River games, emphasizing how unpredictable the rivalry can be.Next, the hosts break down Penn State vs. USC, both agreeing the offenses are overrated. Ben takes the under 50 points, expecting Penn State’s defense to control the game. Similarly, both expect Ohio State vs. Oregon to be high-scoring, with Griffin betting on over 53.5 points and Ben confident in Ohio State’s ability to cover the 3.5-point spread, calling them the best team in the country.In another critical matchup, Ole Miss vs. LSU, the conversation centers on the challenge of winning in Baton Rouge during a night game. Both hosts pick LSU to cover as three-point underdogs, citing Ole Miss's recent struggles and the intensity of Tiger Stadium's atmosphere.Best bets for Week 7 conclude the episode. Ben’s best bet is UCLA +5.5 against Minnesota, pointing out UCLA’s tough schedule and improving form. Griffin’s best bet is LSU +3, favoring the Tigers’ home-field advantage. They wrap up with light banter about hostile college sports venues, teasing a future discussion on the topic. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Will Doctor gives you the sharpest cards for the Black Desert Championship and Open De France. -Going over top 5 odds favs for Black Desert, -3 matchups, -1 t20, -2 outrights, -Sleeper, FRP, -Scoring prediction, -Best bet for Black Desert, -Open De France matchup, outright, and best bet. Will Doctor kicks off the podcast by reviewing the Sanderson Farms Championship and Dunhill Links Championship, followed by his predictions for the upcoming Black Desert Championship.Key Player Highlights: Kevin Yu: Secured his first PGA Tour win after a clutch 15-foot birdie putt in regulation. He climbed to 60th in the FedExCup standings. His stellar junior and college career at Arizona State laid the foundation for this victory. Keith Mitchell: Disappointed after missing out on a playoff due to poor driving and a three-putt on the 72nd hole. Mitchell admitted, “I only hit one fairway,” reflecting his back-nine struggles. Will Doctor points out that Mitchell’s driving accuracy will be less of an issue at the wide-open Black Desert course, but his putting remains a concern. Bo Hosler: Known for strong putting, Hosler lost the Sanderson Farms playoff, and his attempts to manipulate relief rulings raised eyebrows. Will criticizes Hosler for "trying to get an unfair drop," casting doubt on his ability to close out tournaments, especially since he's yet to secure a professional win. Event and Course Insights:The Black Desert Championship returns the PGA Tour to Utah for the first time in 60 years. The course has wide fairways and few hazards, likely leading to a birdie-fest. Will predicts a winning score of 29-under-par and emphasizes that driving accuracy won't be crucial this week.Picks and Predictions: Outright Picks: Lucas Glover (40:1): Despite a tough 2024 season, Glover’s recent form and improved putting make him a strong contender. Will believes his ball-striking prowess and past success set him up for a solid performance. Michael Thorbjornsen (40:1): Thorbjornsen’s ball-striking and ability to excel in birdie-heavy tournaments make him another strong pick. Top 20 Pick: Patton Kizzire: Known for thriving in birdie-fests, Kizzire’s consistent form makes him a solid choice for a top-20 finish at +240 odds. Matchups: Ryan Fox over Steven Yeager: Fox’s strong recent form and consistent play give him an edge. K.H. Lee over Justin Suh: Will favors Lee’s experience in shootouts, while Suh’s ball-striking has been subpar this season. Vince Whaley over Matt McCarty: Whaley’s recent improvement in approach play and McCarty’s struggles transitioning to the PGA Tour lead Will to back Whaley. Best Bet and Final Scoring Prediction: Best Bet: Lucas Glover to finish in the top 10 at +450 odds. Winning Score Prediction: 29-under-par due to the course’s forgiving nature and birdie opportunities. Will Doctor wraps up with his thoughts on the Open de France, giving an outright pick of Victor Perez to win at 28:1 and backing Justin Rose over Matthew Pavan in a head-to-head matchup.Follow Doc on X @drmedia59 for the latest on the world of golf.  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Former MLB Pitcher Josh Towers and Scott Seidenberg talk about the MLB Division Series and provide BEST BETS! Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik, Scott Seidenberg and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL Week 5 recap. The guys also look ahead to NFL Week 6Steve Fezzik (0:48-3:36) highlights the recent uptick in scoring after a slow start to the season. He notes that, contrary to expectations, the kickoff rule changes haven’t led to more scoring, but Week 5 saw more offensive touchdowns. Fezzik suggests that this increase could be tied to offenses adjusting to defenses, which initially had the upper hand. RJ Bell (1:15-5:38) agrees, positing that early-season defensive strategies caught offenses off guard, but Week 5’s spike may indicate a shift as offenses find ways to counter. Fezzik believes betting the over on total points may now be profitable.Field Goal Trends and Red Zone Efficiency:Scott Seidenberg (7:47-8:47) observes a significant increase in long field goals. Through five weeks, 11 teams are averaging two or more field goals per game, up from just five teams last season. This rise points to field goal kickers becoming more important, even as teams continue to go for it on fourth down. The group also discusses San Francisco’s red zone struggles. Despite leading the NFL in red zone plays, the 49ers rank 22nd in red zone efficiency (EPA), a sharp decline from last year’s top spot (18:49-20:23). This inefficiency is a concern, especially for a team expected to compete for championships.Key Team and Player Performances:Kirk Cousins (6:15-7:47) draws attention for his steady performances. Fezzik views him as a borderline top-10 quarterback, but RJ argues that Cousins’ play this season ranks even higher. The group compares him to more volatile quarterbacks like Kyler Murray, noting that consistency is key.The New York Jets (13:40-14:20) come under scrutiny for their disappointing 2-3 start. Seidenberg points out that despite high hopes with Aaron Rodgers, the offense has stagnated, scoring the same amount of points as last season under Zach Wilson. However, the Jets' defense ranks second in the NFL, giving them a glimmer of hope for a playoff push.Betting Insights and Power Ratings:Fezzik suggests that power ratings need drastic adjustments after Week 5 (3:36-5:38). Teams like Washington, initially viewed as weak, have outperformed, while Cleveland has underwhelmed. Washington’s dominant win over Cleveland forces a reassessment of both teams’ strengths. The group also discusses how to handle quarterback unpredictability in betting. Fezzik suggests quarterbacks who significantly outperform expectations should bump the team's rating, but warns that quarterback volatility makes it tough to rely on any one metric.Phony Final Scores:Fezzik highlights "phony final scores" where the stats don’t align with the result (34:00-34:24). For instance, despite being outgained in yardage, Pittsburgh nearly defeated Dallas through turnovers and grit. Such games can mislead bettors relying on the final score rather than underlying metrics.Chiefs’ Dominance and Week 5 Scoring Spike:The podcast emphasizes the Kansas City Chiefs’ dominance (17:10-19:49), noting that they’ve played the fewest defensive snaps while trailing this season (48 plays), reflecting their ability to control games. In comparison, San Francisco is second with 49 plays while trailing. This speaks to both teams' dominance in holding leads.Finally, Week 5’s scoring surge (15:10-16:18) is noted, with an average of 50 points per game, nearly six points above expectations. While Fezzik sees this as unsustainable, the group agrees that it reflects a shift in offensive effectiveness.Conclusion:The podcast provides in-depth insights into NFL Week 5, from evolving scoring trends to team evaluations and betting strategies. With a focus on key performances, player analysis, and statistical breakdowns, the hosts guide listeners on how to adjust their betting strategies moving forward, particularly as teams like Washington and Kansas City emerge as key players this season. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Munaf Manji and Steve Fezzik talk NFL Week 5 reactions. Fezz talks Vegas breakfast spots and much more.The Week 5 Fezzik Focus Podcast provides in-depth analysis of NFL games, betting contests, and team/player performances. Munaf Manji and Steve Fezzik engage in a discussion on Fezzik’s results and key observations from Week 5.Contest Updates (0:02 - 5:04)Fezzik, a two-time Super Contest winner, reflects on his 2-5 record in the 2024 Circa Invitational, contrasting it with a 12-4 record for his clients. He explains that betting variance plays a big role, with numbers differing between contests and client picks. Despite his struggles, Fezzik remains in the top five but admits that improving from a 50% win rate will be challenging.Fezzik: “People were like how in the world did you go two and five in the contest but you went 12 and four for your clients?” (2:10)Survivor Pools and Betting Trends (5:04 - 8:55)Fezzik dives into Week 5 Survivor Pool eliminations, focusing on the unexpected losses by the heavily favored Seattle Seahawks and San Francisco 49ers. He points out how underdogs have consistently upset favorites this season.Fezzik: “There’s just something about this season where five and a half to six-point favorites are falling flat.” (6:21)Phony Finals and Game Breakdowns (8:56 - 12:39)Fezzik shares insights on misleading final scores: Buffalo vs. Houston: Though the scoreboard appeared close, Houston dominated in yards per play and total yardage. Indianapolis vs. Jacksonville: Fezzik is baffled that the game was tied late, given Jacksonville’s statistical dominance. He criticizes Deshaun Watson harshly, suggesting that Cleveland should bench him in favor of Jameis Winston. Fezzik: “It’s time to relegate him... that dude is not getting it done.” (9:55) Quarterback Rankings and Player Evaluations (13:50 - 16:26)Fezzik ranks Jaden Daniels as the 15th-best quarterback this season and expects him to rise into the top 10. He expresses disappointment in Deshaun Watson, ranking him 32nd and labeling him as one of the worst quarterbacks in the league.Fezzik: “I have him 32nd, four and a half points worse than an average quarterback.” (15:05)Power Ratings and Team Updates (17:05 - 20:05)Fezzik discusses teams that saw the most significant movement in his power ratings: Cleveland drops three points due to Watson’s struggles. Carolina drops one point, with Fezzik suggesting their defense is among the worst in the league. Fezzik: “I make Cleveland four and a half worse than an average team.” (17:17) He also addresses the Cincinnati Bengals, noting their defensive woes, though he keeps their power rating unchanged due to Joe Burrow’s strong offense.NFL Parity and Final Thoughts (20:05 - 23:05)Fezzik highlights the parity in the NFL, explaining that no team has been dominant. He considers Kansas City the best team but notes that the gap between the top seven teams is minimal.Fezzik: “The best team in the league is Kansas City, and they’re just barely...” (20:05)Conclusion and Vegas Tips (25:17 - 27:38)Fezzik concludes with Las Vegas recommendations, encouraging visitors to explore downtown as construction for the upcoming F1 race disrupts the Strip. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Munaf Manji, SleepyJ and Steve Reider talk NFL Week 5 player props. The guys also preview Monday Night Football Saints at Chiefs. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices