

More or Less: Behind the Stats
BBC Radio 4
Tim Harford and the More or Less team try to make sense of the statistics which surround us. From BBC Radio 4
Episodes
Mentioned books

Mar 20, 2022 • 9min
Pizza and Nuclear War
The podcast dives into the stark realities of nuclear escalation amid the Ukraine conflict. Expert Barry Nalebuff discusses how strategic negotiation can deter catastrophic outcomes. Using a pizza as a metaphor, he illustrates the complexities of fairness and power dynamics in resource division. Listeners learn how perceptions of power shape negotiations and how focusing on creating additional value can achieve better results. The conversation emphasizes the importance of rational decision-making in avoiding global crises.

Mar 13, 2022 • 12min
Does the UK take in more refugees than other European countries?
Peter William Walsh, a researcher at the Migration Observatory at the University of Oxford, dives into the UK's refugee resettlement efforts amid the ongoing Ukrainian crisis. He contrasts the UK's visa issuance with substantial numbers taken in by Poland and others. Walsh scrutinizes claims from the government about the UK's superiority in resettlement since 2015, revealing a stark reality of lower asylum grants. He also discusses the hurdles faced by Ukrainian refugees, emphasizing the complexities of the UK's asylum processes compared to its European neighbors.

Mar 6, 2022 • 9min
Numbers in Ukraine and low seas in Chagos
Discover the troop estimates in Ukraine, where figures range wildly between 100,000 and 190,000. Learn about the struggles to get accurate data on casualties during the conflict, highlighting the importance of scrutinizing these numbers. Switch gears to the Chagos Islands, where scientists question the claim of seas being 100m lower than the global average. Unpack the complexities of Earth's shape and gravitational variations that influence sea levels, and explore the limitations of current models in understanding these intriguing oceanic mysteries.

Mar 2, 2022 • 29min
Troop and Casualty Numbers in Ukraine
Delve into the murky waters of troop estimates from the Ukraine conflict and the challenges of verifying casualty figures. Explore discrepancies in NHS staffing claims and the fascinating geography of the Chagos Islands. Unpack the environmental impact of electric car production, especially regarding battery emissions. Finally, tackle the intriguing idea that we make 35,000 decisions daily, shedding light on the quality of our choices versus the sheer volume. It's a thought-provoking journey through data and disinformation!

Feb 27, 2022 • 9min
Did lockdowns save any lives?
Lockdown. A word we’ve all become overly familiar with over the past two years. Lockdowns were intended to protect people, especially societies most vulnerable, from the risks associated with contracting Covid. However, a new study has been making headlines which claims to show that mandatory lockdowns have only reduced Covid-19 mortality by 0.2%, or one death in five hundred. We examine the evidence behind the claim.

11 snips
Feb 23, 2022 • 28min
Vaccinating children, lockdowns, and ebikes
Governments in the UK are offering COVID vaccinations to kids aged 5 to 11, raising questions about the health implications. A controversial study suggests lockdowns had little effect on mortality rates. Meanwhile, discussions around global population trends reveal challenges in forecasting fertility rates. Adding a light twist, the debate over e-bikes versus traditional bikes explores environmental footprints, while questioning if riding an e-bike is indeed greener. Expect a mix of serious data analysis and humorous insights throughout!

Feb 20, 2022 • 9min
Hospitalisation rates for children with Covid
Covid vaccines will be offered to all children across the UK between the ages of 5 and 12 - some months after the same decision in countries such as Italy and Germany. It is a topic that has caused a fair amount of controversy and with controversy often comes suspicious statistical claims. We look at the data behind child hospitalisations and deaths due to Covid19.

Feb 16, 2022 • 29min
Questioning claims about Covid and children
The podcast dives deep into the actual risks Covid-19 poses to children, revealing that many hospitalized kids have pre-existing conditions rather than severe symptoms. It questions sensationalized statistics and contrasts alarming predictions about the Omicron variant with the less severe real-world outcomes. The discussion highlights the statistical literacy gaps among MPs, showcasing how misunderstandings can impact public health decision-making. Lastly, it emphasizes the need for precision in scientific terminology, particularly in complex topics like nanomoles.

Feb 13, 2022 • 9min
Testosterone and sport
In early December 2021 a member of Penn University Women’s Swim Team caused a stir. Lia Thomas not only won three events but she had the fastest time in elite college swimming in the country in two out of three races. This achievement reignited a debate as Lia Thomas is a transgender woman; we examine the rules around testosterone and trans women’s participation in elite sport.

Feb 9, 2022 • 29min
The prime minister in statistical bother
The podcast tackles Boris Johnson's misleading claims about employment and crime, revealing a troubling narrative at odds with reality. It dives into the complexities of crime statistics, highlighting discrepancies and the need for accountability. The discussion transitions to the contentious policies around trans women's participation in sports, examining fairness and physiological advantages. Lastly, it ventures into the mysterious world of fungi, uncovering the vast number of undiscovered species and the challenges researchers face.