The TreppWire Podcast: A Commercial Real Estate Show

The TreppWire Podcast, A CRE Show
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Jul 22, 2021 • 47min

92. Retail Loan Purgatory, Mall Valuation Drops, Office Moves and Migrations

In this week’s episode, we give a list of retail loans that can be noted as in "purgatory." Then, we dive into mall value reductions, share a “man on the ground” view of the current state of NYC, and run through the latest office lease renewals. We also review the possibility that we may be defying normal economic measures in the current climate, with the news that the recession is over (and lasted just two months.) Episode Notes: National Bureau of Economic Research: “Recession is over” (1:06) Inflation update (9:12) Retail loans in purgatory (14:50) Mall value reductions (21:03) Man on the street – the state of NYC (25:35) Office stories: lease renewals, return to work (31:23) Deal of the Week (37:57) Must-Know of the Week (39:56) Shoutouts (41:16) Questions or comments? Contact us at podcast@trepp.com. Follow Trepp: Twitter: twitter.com/TreppWire LinkedIn: www.linkedin.com/company/trepp-llc Facebook: www.facebook.com/TreppLLC
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Jul 15, 2021 • 44min

91. NOI Analysis: Hotel & Mall Pain, The Office Tenant Rollover, CRE Headlines

In this week’s episode, we dive into our latest analysis of financial benchmarks like net operating income, revenue, and occupancy by commercial real estate property type to assess the impact of the pandemic. We also give a review of office maturity data, showing some significant tenant rollover, discuss Fed Chair Powell’s latest inflation comments, Q2 2021 bank earnings, and this week's headlines and must-know news for the CRE market. Episode Notes: Inflation drivers, economic update, Fed comments (0:40) Financial benchmarks: NOI, occupancy, revenue, expense data (4:51) Green shoots for hotels (10:10) Mixed-bag hotel stories (12:27) Retail round-up (15:40) Starwood’s selling streak (19:56) Office maturities: tenant rollover (21:25) Major metro office stories (27:03) Q2 2021 bank earnings (34:22) Shoutouts (35:29) Questions or comments? Contact us at podcast@trepp.com. Follow Trepp: Twitter: twitter.com/TreppWire LinkedIn: www.linkedin.com/company/trepp-llc Facebook: www.facebook.com/TreppLLC
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Jul 9, 2021 • 45min

90. Issuance Investigation: First-Half 2021 Trends and Activity, A Blend of Retail and Office News

Issuance activity is on the upswing for 2021 and some are predicting we could set a new record for the year. In this week’s episode, Darren King, Trepp’s Head of CMBS joins to give a deep dive on what we are seeing in terms of conduit, SASB, and CRE CLO issuance trends. We also review a blend of headlines for the retail and office sectors amid a return to normalcy. Finally, with employees heading back to the office in the coming months, we debate what may change about office attire. Episode Notes: What’s going on with the 10-year? (0:41) CMBS conduit, SASB, and CRE CLO issuance activity (6:11) Are CRE CLO trends transitory? (9:42) Positive retail news (16:30) Crabgrass in the retail market (28:23) The office shuffle (31:01) Shoutouts (40:07) Questions or comments? Contact us at podcast@trepp.com. Follow Trepp: Twitter: twitter.com/TreppWire LinkedIn: www.linkedin.com/company/trepp-llc Facebook: www.facebook.com/TreppLLC
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Jul 2, 2021 • 44min

89. CRE Recovery: Judging First-Half 2021 Predictions, Buying Distressed Assets, CMBS Spreads Update

Back in December 2020, The TreppWire Podcast team offered performance predictions for each property type as the return to normalcy began to come into focus. In this week’s episode, we are back to grade the predictions, comparing the delinquency rates for lodging, retail, multifamily, office, and industrial to what we are seeing now. We also dive into a distressed asset trading alert where we explain what it means to buy distressed bonds, how a waterfall works, and why this story is a win for some bondholders. Episode Notes: Economic update: jobs report, eviction moratorium, inflation (0:42) Mixed-bag of delinquency news (5:35) CRE market recovery: reviewing our predictions (9:00) CMBS Spreads (19:17) Distressed Asset Trading Alert (22:10) Must-Knows of the Week: moves and potential vacancies (30:22) Green shoots (33:49) Shoutouts and Deal of the Week (36:08)
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Jun 24, 2021 • 49min

88. The Mall Loan Witness Protection Program, Stress Test Results, Week of Regulatory News

In this week’s episode, we walk through the week’s regulatory and economic headlines, dive into the Fed’s Stress Testing results, and give an update on the must-know, good, and bad news for the office sector as companies return to work. We also share our latest retail round-up, highlighting several mall loans that may need to go into witness protection due to valuation reductions, reclassifications, and more. Stick around as we tease what’s to come for next week, where we will grade our 2021 predictions (and there will be no curve). Episode Notes: Economic news (0:21) FHFA Director ousted – what does it mean for investors, borrowers, lenders? (1:10) Green CMBS deal first to meet ESG criteria (10:40) Eviction Moratorium update (16:03) Retail round-up: value reductions, reclassifications, and more. (18:49) Banks return to work (25:48) Office must-know, good, and bad news (30:02) Quick hit: hotel story (37:41) Fed Stress Testing results (39:16) Shoutouts (44:29) Questions or comments? Contact us at podcast@trepp.com. Follow Trepp: Twitter: twitter.com/TreppWire LinkedIn: www.linkedin.com/company/trepp-llc Facebook: www.facebook.com/TreppLLC
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Jun 18, 2021 • 49min

87. CRE's Good, Bad, & Unknown: Mid-Year Property Type Review, CREFC Confidential

Trepp just wrapped up our mid-year analysis (aptly called The Mid-Year Magazine) that will be published next week with Commercial Real Estate Direct. In this week’s episode, we walk through some of the mid-year analyses of the good, the bad, and the unknown for each CRE property type while sprinkling in some updates from recent TreppWire stories. We also give insights on the discussion at this week's CREFC annual conference. Listen here. Episode Notes: Economic news(0:25) Retail sales (3:57) CREFC Confidential: CRE market conversation (10:02) Good, Bad, & Unknown: Mid-Year Analysis (19:52) Multifamily/apartment sector review (21:43) Office uncertainty and headlines (25:01) 'Must-Know' of the week (29:36) Industrial sector update (31:21) The hard-hit hotel sector (33:21) Retail wrap-up (38:25) Shoutouts (45:06) Questions or comments? Contact us at podcast@trepp.com. Follow Trepp: Twitter: twitter.com/TreppWire LinkedIn: www.linkedin.com/company/trepp-llc Facebook: www.facebook.com/TreppLLC
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Jun 11, 2021 • 54min

86. Must-Know Office and Retail News, Banking Regulatory Shift, CECL Update

In this week’s episode, we welcome Mike Benz, Trepp’s Senior Vice President and Head of US Banking Solutions to discuss the regulatory shift in the banking market. We dive into takeaways from CECL and what’s to come, office headlines and stories that the market “must know,” retail news, and loan payoffs. Episode Notes: • Inflation growth (0:51) • Office green shoots (8:02) • Crab grass for the office market (12:20) • Must-Know of the Week (13:50) • Retail update (15:23) • Mall loan payoffs (17:21) • Deal of the Week (27:11) • Regulatory shift in banking (29:44) • CECL takeaways (46:48) • Shoutouts (50:21) Questions or comments? Contact us at podcast@trepp.com. Follow Trepp: Twitter: twitter.com/TreppWire LinkedIn: www.linkedin.com/company/trepp-llc Facebook: www.facebook.com/TreppLLC
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Jun 5, 2021 • 51min

85. Hotels Rebounding, Office and Multifamily Occupancy, The Donut Effect

In this week’s episode, we cover the latest CMBS delinquency report and what it means for the market as the rates descend from their mid-pandemic highs. We also dive into office and multifamily occupancy rates across major metro areas, review positive and negative stories for the office sector, discuss hotel sales, cap rates, and other news, and talk about The Donut Effect. Episode Notes: Economic signs that we’re turning a corner (0:25) CMBS delinquencies (5:08) Hotels rebounding (8:35) New York happenings (11:08) Positive and negative stories for office (13:22) Office occupancy rates (23:03) Hotel sales and cap rates (28:03) Multifamily occupancy analysis (36:59) Eviction Moratorium update (43:06) Deal of the Week (45:13) Shoutouts (47:01) Questions or comments? Contact us at podcast@trepp.com. Follow Trepp: Twitter: twitter.com/TreppWire LinkedIn: www.linkedin.com/company/trepp-llc Facebook: www.facebook.com/TreppLLC
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May 29, 2021 • 45min

84. We’re Back: Hotels, Retail, & Office Turning the Corner; Positive News This Week

During the latest Senate hearing, Jamie Dimon acknowledged there is a housing bubble, but not like the previous one. In this week’s episode, we discuss the housing market and what can be described as an “alternative housing bubble.” We spend this episode looking on the bright side: reviewing the recent headlines for lodging, retail, and office that may show the sectors turning a corner. Episode Notes: Housing bubble or alternative bubble? (0:48) Multifamily and single-family rents (7:36) Investors’ reactions to retail earnings (12:57) Positive CRE finance retail stories (16:42) Commercial rents pave way for new retailers (19:21) A hybrid model for office (22:13) Tenant moves (26:04) Good office news (30:21) Hotels, payoffs, extensions, etc. (34:39) Shoutouts (40:42) Questions or comments? Contact us at podcast@trepp.com. Follow Trepp: Twitter: twitter.com/TreppWire LinkedIn: www.linkedin.com/company/trepp-llc Facebook: www.facebook.com/TreppLLC
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May 25, 2021 • 31min

83. Managing Real Estate Risk with Dr. Eva Steiner, Penn State Smeal College of Business

In a special guest episode, we welcome Dr. Eva Steiner, Associate Professor of Real Estate at the Penn State Smeal College of Business to discuss managing risk in commercial real estate. Professor Steiner discusses several of her studies and dives into the rate of return of real estate, private equity investments in the hotel industry, the impact of PPP loans on the competitive behavior of hotels, and more. Episode Notes: • Rate of return of real estate (1:00) • Private equity investment in the hotel industry (6:49) • Oversaturation in the markets (13:57) • Impact of PPP loans on the competitive behavior of hotels (16:25) • Link between credit market conditions and performance of real estate securities (24:19) • Classes back in session (26:25) • What’s different now in academia? (28:26)

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