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The Julia La Roche Show

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9 snips
Jan 9, 2025 • 40min

#224 George Goncalves: The 2025 'Balancing Act' — Different Starting Points From Trump 1.0, Take Medicine Early or Keep Spending & What Could Break Markets

George Goncalves, head of U.S. macro strategy at MUFG, dives into the complexities shaping the economy as we approach 2025. He discusses the critical decision framework for the upcoming Trump administration: endure short-term pain for long-term stability or continue aggressive spending. Goncalves highlights the pivotal moment when the 10-year yield exceeds 4.75%, warning of potential market upheaval. Additionally, he analyzes the Fed's need to cut rates to mitigate recession risks and examines the disparities in economic recovery across different sectors.
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23 snips
Jan 7, 2025 • 33min

#223 Chris Whalen: If Trump Doesn't Attack The Fiscal Issue Head On, He Could Be Lame Duck | 2025 Outlook

Chris Whalen, Chairman of Whalen Global Advisors and author of The Institutional Risk Analyst, shares insightful economic forecasts. He discusses the potential rise in long-term interest rates if Trump doesn’t tackle the federal deficit. Whalen warns of disruptive consequences if Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac exit conservatorship without proper legislation. He believes focusing on Treasury policy is crucial and predicts a possible downward adjustment for stocks despite an optimistic longer-term outlook if effective leadership emerges.
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29 snips
Dec 24, 2024 • 1h 4min

#222 Luke Gromen: 'Devalue The Dollar First' | Why DOGE Without Dollar Weakening Would Be 'Catastrophic

Luke Gromen, founder of FFTT, dives into the shifting influences on U.S. economic policy, arguing that the Department of Defense now plays a pivotal role. He warns that failing to devalue the dollar before implementing efficiency cuts could lead to catastrophic outcomes. Gromen discusses the need for substantial military spending to rebuild the defense industrial base and shares his investment strategy favoring gold and Bitcoin. He also explores the potential for a strategic Bitcoin reserve to rebalance global trade, highlighting the urgent economic changes ahead.
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29 snips
Dec 19, 2024 • 44min

#221 Danielle DiMartino Booth: Fed Has 'Frayed Nerves,' Jobs Data 'Statistically Impossible' & How A Recession Could Get 'Pinned' On Trump

Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO of QI Research and former Federal Reserve insider, dives into the Fed's 'frayed nerves' amid political shifts. She argues recent job data revisions are 'statistically impossible' and warns of imminent economic crises linked to rising buy-now-pay-later debt. DiMartino Booth highlights a troubling disconnect between Wall Street and Main Street, illustrating the financial struggles of everyday Americans. She also delves into how the political landscape is influencing economic stability and urges systemic reforms.
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19 snips
Dec 17, 2024 • 56min

#220 Felix Zulauf: Sailing In Dangerous Waters — US Stocks Are In A Bubble And Here's What Could Break It

Felix Zulauf, founder of Zulauf Consulting and a former hedge fund manager, provides a sharp analysis of the current market climate. He warns that U.S. stocks are in a bubble, highlighting the importance of monitoring the Japanese yen for clues on global liquidity. Zulauf predicts a significant drop in AI stocks and a tumultuous 2025 for markets. He discusses the structural challenges faced by China and Europe, the economic impact of Trump’s tariffs, and offers a bullish Bitcoin price target while cautioning about an 80% correction.
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26 snips
Dec 12, 2024 • 1h 5min

#219 Campbell Harvey: End of Boom-Bust Cycle? | Will Yield Curve Show First False Signal?

Professor Campbell Harvey, a finance expert from Duke University and creator of the inverted yield curve, sheds light on the current economic landscape. He discusses the surprising resilience of the economy in 2023 and the potential end of the boom-bust cycle. The conversation dives into how technological innovations and the impact of wealthy consumers shape growth prospects. Harvey also critiques the Federal Reserve's policies and explores the implications of the inverted yield curve, offering insights into the future of U.S. economic stability.
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8 snips
Dec 10, 2024 • 59min

#218 James Lavish: The Debt Is Unsustainable, All Roads Lead to Inflation, And Why I'm Bullish On Bitcoin

In this engaging discussion, James Lavish, a reformed hedge-fund manager and co-managing partner of the Bitcoin Opportunity Fund, dives deep into the unsustainable debt crisis facing the U.S. economy. He argues that all roads lead to inflation and sheds light on the widening wealth gap in America. Lavish also explores MicroStrategy's innovative Bitcoin strategy and predicts a promising outlook for institutional adoption of cryptocurrencies, especially as Bitcoin surpasses the $100K milestone.
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Dec 5, 2024 • 59min

#217 Anthony Scaramucci: If I'm Right, Bitcoin Will Be Worth 10X From Where It Is Today

Anthony Scaramucci, managing partner of SkyBridge Capital and author of "The Little Book of Bitcoin," shares his journey from short-lived White House tenure to major cryptocurrency investment. He discusses the thrill and perils of risk-taking and reflects on his company’s near-collapse during Bitcoin's rise. Scaramucci predicts Bitcoin's value could soar to between $150K and $300K in the next few years, emphasizing the power of patience in investment strategies and the importance of loyalty in personal and professional relationships.
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4 snips
Dec 3, 2024 • 37min

#216 Chris Whalen: If Trump Administration Gets Serious About Deficit, Rates Will Fall Without Fed

Chris Whalen, Chairman of Whalen Global Advisors and author of The Institutional Risk Analyst, shares valuable insights on the financial landscape following a new administration. He discusses how serious measures on deficit reduction could lead to lower rates without Federal Reserve intervention. Whalen also analyzes Treasury Secretary pick Scott Bessent, the future of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, and the implications of Bitcoin as an inflation indicator. His perspectives on the bond market and economic strategies are both intriguing and thought-provoking.
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6 snips
Nov 28, 2024 • 38min

#215 Jim Rogers: Market Party Will End in Crisis | Why He's Not Shorting 'Yet'

Jim Rogers, a legendary investor and co-founder of the Quantum Fund, shares his insights on the looming debt crisis in America. He warns about current market euphoria, likening it to past financial peaks. Despite concerns, he's still investing in China and Uzbekistan due to their promising economic prospects. Rogers encourages caution, emphasizing the risks associated with excessive debt and the potential pitfalls of crypto, advocating instead for silver as a viable investment. His analysis highlights the importance of being informed and prepared in unpredictable markets.

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