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Value Hive Podcast

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Mar 10, 2023 • 1h 32min

Christine Guerrero: An Inside Look at Integrated Oil E&Ps

Hey Guys! This week we have Christine Guerrero. She is one of the most unique guests from our Oil & Gas Journey. She has spent actual time working as an Engineer in various Energy Producers. She shares how she got into the industry, why scalability is very important, her favorite stocks ($HES, $APA, $CGXEF & $FECCF), what are good unit economics, and what was like investing in energy companies when oil went negative. [0:00] Who is Christine Guerrero? [7:30] Working in Chevron ($CVX) [13:00] Deepwater Drilling [16:00] How to Analyze Margins and Scalability [18:00] Shale Drilling [24:00] Hess Corporation ($HES) [30:00] Investing When Oil went Negative: Selling Your House [39:00] APA Corporation ($APA) [45:00] Suriname and Guyana [49:00] Oil Small Cap Investing ($CGXEF & $FECCF) [1:04:00] Assessing Management [1:07:00] What are good unit economics? [1:10:00] How to learn the energy industry? [1:16:00] Talos Energy ($Talo) [1:24:00] Different Energy Subsectors [1:26:00] More from Christine and Closing Questions Make sure to go follow Christine on Twitter @SheDrills! Finally, a big thanks to the following sponsors for making the podcast a reality! Mitimco This episode is brought to you by MIT Investment Management Company, also known as MITIMCo, the investment office of MIT. Each year, MITIMCo invests in a handful of new emerging managers who it believes can earn exceptional long-term returns to support MIT's mission. To help the emerging manager community more broadly, they created emergingmanagers.org, a website for emerging manager stockpickers. For those looking to start a stock-picking fund or just looking to learn about how others have done it, I highly recommend the site. You'll find essays and interviews by successful emerging managers, service providers used by MIT's own managers, essays MITIMCo has written for emerging managers, and more! Tegus Tegus has the world’s largest collection of instantly available interviews on all the public and private companies you care about. Tegus actually makes primary research fun and effortless, too. Instead of weeks and months, you can learn a new industry or company in hours, and all from those that know it best. I spend nearly all my time reading Tegus calls on existing holdings and new ideas. And I know you will too. So if you’re interested, head on over to tegus.co/valuehive for a free trial to see for yourself. TIKR TIKR is THE BEST resource for all stock market data, I use TIKR every day in my process, and I know you will too. Make sure to check them out at TIKR.com/hive.
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Mar 3, 2023 • 1h 33min

Josh Young: Energy Value Chain Analysis (Offshore & Onshore)

This week our guest is the number one performing manager from last year the one and only Josh Young, from Bison Interest. During our conversation we talk all things about the Onshore and Offshore Energy Space, the most common mistakes naive investors make, managing an energy portfolio and position sizing, what are Drilled but Uncompleted and what are some of Josh’s favorite books. [0:00] Introduction and book recommendations. [8:00] The onshore space [18:00] How to approach the onshore value chain ($VTLE, $DVN) [33:00] Common Mistakes naive investors make. [36:00] Drilled but Uncompleted (DUC) Wells [44:00] The Offshore Space [1:02:00] Portfolio Management: Position Sizing [1:07:00] Hurdle Rates [1:17:00] A day in the life with Josh Young [1:21:00] Closing Question and More From Josh Young If you enjoyed the podcast, please follow Josh on Twitter here. Also check out his new Substack here. Finally, a big thanks to the following sponsors for making the podcast a reality! Mitimco This episode is brought to you by MIT Investment Management Company, also known as MITIMCo, the investment office of MIT. Each year, MITIMCo invests in a handful of new emerging managers who it believes can earn exceptional long-term returns to support MIT's mission. To help the emerging manager community more broadly, they created emergingmanagers.org, a website for emerging manager stockpickers. For those looking to start a stock-picking fund or just looking to learn about how others have done it, I highly recommend the site. You'll find essays and interviews by successful emerging managers, service providers used by MIT's own managers, essays MITIMCo has written for emerging managers, and more! Tegus Tegus has the world’s largest collection of instantly available interviews on all the public and private companies you care about. Tegus actually makes primary research fun and effortless, too. Instead of weeks and months, you can learn a new industry or company in hours, and all from those that know it best. I spend nearly all my time reading Tegus calls on existing holdings and new ideas. And I know you will too. So if you’re interested, head on over to tegus.co/valuehive for a free trial to see for yourself. TIKR TIKR is THE BEST resource for all stock market data, I use TIKR every day in my process, and I know you will too. Make sure to check them out at TIKR.com/hive.
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Feb 24, 2023 • 1h 58min

Victor Swishchuk: A Beginner's Guide To Analyzing Oil E&Ps

We continue our pilgrimage through the oil and gas space and today we have Victor Swishchuck from Letko Brosseau to help us dive into the upstream section of the Energy Sector. Victor gives us a summary of what it means to really understand the energy sector from zero to one. We go from understanding the different types of crude oil to the different types of Upstream Oil and Gas Businesses, to how to value them and the most common pitfalls every naive investor faces when getting into the industry. [0:00] Who is Victor Swishchuck? [5:00] Intuition Guided by Experience [10:00] Studying Credit and Bonds before Equities [18:00] Analyzing the Energy Sector: From Zero to One [30:00] What does it mean for Oil to be Sweet, Sour, light, etc [42:00] Upstream Oil and Gas Businesses [1:00:00] Valuation: Implied Oil Price by Reversed NAV. [1:13:00] Common Pitfalls and Where can you get burned? [1:30:00] How to learn the industry? [1:47:00] Closing Questions and more from Victor Swishchuck Finally, a big thanks to the following sponsors for making the podcast a reality! Mitimco This episode is brought to you by MIT Investment Management Company, also known as MITIMCo, the investment office of MIT. Each year, MITIMCo invests in a handful of new emerging managers who it believes can earn exceptional long-term returns to support MIT's mission. To help the emerging manager community more broadly, they created emergingmanagers.org, a website for emerging manager stockpickers. For those looking to start a stock-picking fund or just looking to learn about how others have done it, I highly recommend the site. You'll find essays and interviews by successful emerging managers, service providers used by MIT's own managers, essays MITIMCo has written for emerging managers, and more! Tegus Tegus has the world’s largest collection of instantly available interviews on all the public and private companies you care about. Tegus actually makes primary research fun and effortless, too. Instead of weeks and months, you can learn a new industry or company in hours, and all from those that know it best. I spend nearly all my time reading Tegus calls on existing holdings and new ideas. And I know you will too. So if you’re interested, head on over to tegus.co/valuehive for a free trial to see for yourself. TIKR TIKR is THE BEST resource for all stock market data, I use TIKR every day in my process, and I know you will too. Make sure to check them out at TIKR.com/hive.
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Feb 17, 2023 • 57min

Brian Gitt: Busting The Myths of ESG & "Green" Energy

Hey Guys! This week is another episode on our 3 Month Journey through every corner of the energy space. Our guest today is Brian Gritt and he is kind enough to help us understand some of the myths surrounding the energy industry. We learn about his background, how he changed his mind from only solar energy to a more diverse portfolio of energy sources, why we should’t demonize fossil fuels, why Nuclear Energy is the best energy return / energy invested source, the downside of wind energy, and why relying on battery metals is a national security issue. Check out the time stamp below: [0:00] Brian Gritt’s Background [3:00] Energy Myths [7:50] The Process of Changing Your Mind [15:30] We shouldn’t demonized Fossil Fuels [23:00] People Embrace Technology when is better. [28:00] Is a National Security Issue to rely on Battery Metals. [33:00] Could Electric Utilities become High Growth? [37:00] Nuclear Energy: Is the best Energy Return / Energy Invested? [48:00] Wind Energy is too Uneconomical. [52:00] More from Brian and Closing Questions. If you enjoyed the podcast, check out Brian on Twitter @BrianGitt. Finally, a big thanks to the following sponsors for making the podcast a reality! Mitimco This episode is brought to you by MIT Investment Management Company, also known as MITIMCo, the investment office of MIT. Each year, MITIMCo invests in a handful of new emerging managers who it believes can earn exceptional long-term returns in support of MIT's mission. To help the emerging manager community more broadly, they created emergingmanagers.org, a website for emerging manager stockpickers. For those looking to start a stock-picking fund or just looking to learn about how others have done it, I highly recommend the site. You'll find essays and interviews by successful emerging managers, service providers used by MIT's own managers, essays MITIMCo has written for emerging managers and more! Tegus Tegus has the world’s largest collection of instantly available interviews on all the public and private companies you care about. Tegus actually makes primary research fun and effortless, too. Instead of weeks and months, you can learn a new industry or company in hours, and all from those that know it best. I spend nearly all my time reading Tegus calls on existing holdings and new ideas. And I know you will too. So if you’re interested, head on over to tegus.co/valuehive for a free trial to see for yourself. TIKR TIKR is THE BEST resource for all stock market data, I use TIKR every day in my process, and I know you will too. Make sure to check them out at TIKR.com/hive.
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Feb 10, 2023 • 51min

Q4 Investor Audible Series: Praetorian Capital, Gator Capital, & Maran Capital

This week we're continuing our Investor Audibles series with Q4 2022 letters from the following investors/funds: Praetorian Capital  Gator Capital Management Maran Capital  Please let me know what other letters you'd want to hear on future Investor Audible series episodes! Finally, a big thanks to the following sponsors for making the podcast a reality. Mitimco This episode is brought to you by MIT Investment Management Company, also known as MITIMCo, the investment office of MIT. Each year, MITIMCo invests in a handful of new emerging managers who it believes can earn exceptional long-term returns in support of MIT's mission. To help the emerging manager community more broadly, they created emergingmanagers.org, a website for emerging manager stockpickers. For those looking to start a stock-picking fund or just looking to learn about how others have done it, I highly recommend the site. You'll find essays and interviews by successful emerging managers, service providers used by MIT's own managers, essays MITIMCo has written for emerging managers and more! Tegus Tegus has the world’s largest collection of instantly available interviews on all the public and private companies you care about. Tegus actually makes primary research fun and effortless, too. Instead of weeks and months, you can learn a new industry or company in hours, and all from those that know it best. I spend nearly all my time reading Tegus calls on existing holdings and new ideas. And I know you will too. So if you’re interested, head on over to tegus.co/valuehive for a free trial to see for yourself. TIKR TIKR is THE BEST resource for all stock market data, I use TIKR every day in my process, and I know you will too. Make sure to check them out at TIKR.com/hive.
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Feb 3, 2023 • 1h 16min

Shrubbery Capital Pt. 2: Process, Simplicity, & TikTok Investing

Hey Guys! This week we are back for a second round with the anonymous account @agnostoxxx aka The Shrub. This episode was all about idea generation, what happens when we go from an Inflationary Environment to Recessionary Environment, why he is bullish on Bayer ($BAYN) and how at the end of the day most analyst in the industry are Tik Tok investors. Check out the time stamp below: [0:00] What has changed the last time we talked? [5:00] From Inflationary Environment to a Recessionary Environment [18:00] Idea Generation: Betting on Farfetch [32:00] Bayer ($BAYN): Bull Thesis [55:00] Learning about the Energy Industry [1:07:00] Tik Tok Investing [1:12:00] More from Shrub Capital and Closing Questions If you like what you heard, go follow Shrub on Twitter @agnostoxx.  Finally, a big thanks to the following sponsors for making the podcast a reality! Mitimco This episode is brought to you by MIT Investment Management Company, also known as MITIMCo, the investment office of MIT. Each year, MITIMCo invests in a handful of new emerging managers who it believes can earn exceptional long-term returns in support of MIT's mission. To help the emerging manager community more broadly, they created emergingmanagers.org, a website for emerging manager stockpickers. For those looking to start a stock-picking fund or just looking to learn about how others have done it, I highly recommend the site. You'll find essays and interviews by successful emerging managers, service providers used by MIT's own managers, essays MITIMCo has written for emerging managers and more! Tegus Tegus has the world’s largest collection of instantly available interviews on all the public and private companies you care about. Tegus actually makes primary research fun and effortless, too. Instead of weeks and months, you can learn a new industry or company in hours, and all from those that know it best. I spend nearly all my time reading Tegus calls on existing holdings and new ideas. And I know you will too. So if you’re interested, head on over to tegus.co/valuehive for a free trial to see for yourself. TIKR TIKR is THE BEST resource for all stock market data, I use TIKR every day in my process, and I know you will too. Make sure to check them out at TIKR.com/hive.
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Jan 27, 2023 • 1h 23min

Rory Johnston: Oil & Gas Industry Crash Course

Hey Guys! This week our guest is Rory Johnston. He is the savant of all things oil. We discussed how he became an energy analyst, oil’s volatile history, how energy companies started caring about profitability and forgetting about growth at all cost, what is shale energy, the oil and field services and how to understand supply and demand data. [0:00] Who is Rory Jonhston? [7:30] The Energy Lost Decade [16:00] Where to start learning the energy industry? [22:00] Oil is Technology. [27:00] Oil’s Volatile History [32:00] Profitability > Growth [34:00] What is shale oil? [40:00] Oil and Field Services [42:00] Pressure Pumping and Labor Most Likely to Benefit the Most [50:00] The Stone Age did not end for the lack of stones. [52:00] Understanding Demand and Supply: Inventories, Futures Curve, [55:00] Supply and Demand Data: IEA, OPEC, Energy Information Agency [1:05:00] Where to learn? [1:16:00] More from Rory Johnston and Closing Questions Finally, a big thanks to the following sponsors for making the podcast a reality! Mitimco This episode is brought to you by MIT Investment Management Company, also known as MITIMCo, the investment office of MIT. Each year, MITIMCo invests in a handful of new emerging managers who it believes can earn exceptional long-term returns in support of MIT's mission. To help the emerging manager community more broadly, they created emergingmanagers.org, a website for emerging manager stockpickers. For those looking to start a stock-picking fund or just looking to learn about how others have done it, I highly recommend the site. You'll find essays and interviews by successful emerging managers, service providers used by MIT's own managers, essays MITIMCo has written for emerging managers and more! Tegus Tegus has the world’s largest collection of instantly available interviews on all the public and private companies you care about. Tegus actually makes primary research fun and effortless, too. Instead of weeks and months, you can learn a new industry or company in hours, and all from those that know it best. I spend nearly all my time reading Tegus calls on existing holdings and new ideas. And I know you will too. So if you’re interested, head on over to tegus.co/valuehive for a free trial to see for yourself. TIKR TIKR is THE BEST resource for all stock market data, I use TIKR every day in my process, and I know you will too. Make sure to check them out at TIKR.com/hive.
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Jan 20, 2023 • 1h 22min

Dede Eyesan: How To Find Stocks That Return 10x in 10 Years

Hey Guys! This week’s topic is about global outperformers and our guest Dede Eyesan is here to share his knowledge. Last year, Dede published a book titled Global Outperformers, where he studied listed companies that returned more than 1,000% in 10 years. Throughout this episode we get to know who Dede Eyesan is, the process of researching 10 baggers, what are some similarities 10 baggers share between themselves, the differences between a profitable vs an unprofitable 10 bagger, differences between geographies and how we should implement the lessons learned. Make sure to follow Dede on Twitter. Here is the time stamp below:   [0:00] Who is Dede Eyesan? [6:00] Researching Companies that are 10 baggers. [8:00] Factor Analysis on 10 baggers. [16:00] Unprofitable Companies vs Profitable Companies [20:00] Results of Market Cap vs Returns [23:00] Returns and Geography: India [35:00] Chinese Outperformers [45:00] Japanese Outperformers [55:00] Swedish Outperformers [1:01:00] Implementing the Lessons Learned [1:15:00] More from Dede and Closing Questions Finally, a big thanks to the following sponsors for making the podcast a reality! Mitimco This episode is brought to you by MIT Investment Management Company, also known as MITIMCo, the investment office of MIT. Each year, MITIMCo invests in a handful of new emerging managers who it believes can earn exceptional long-term returns in support of MIT's mission. To help the emerging manager community more broadly, they created emergingmanagers.org, a website for emerging manager stockpickers. For those looking to start a stock-picking fund or just looking to learn about how others have done it, I highly recommend the site. You'll find essays and interviews by successful emerging managers, service providers used by MIT's own managers, essays MITIMCo has written for emerging managers and more! Tegus Tegus has the world’s largest collection of instantly available interviews on all the public and private companies you care about. Tegus actually makes primary research fun and effortless, too. Instead of weeks and months, you can learn a new industry or company in hours, and all from those that know it best. I spend nearly all my time reading Tegus calls on existing holdings and new ideas. And I know you will too. So if you’re interested, head on over to tegus.co/valuehive for a free trial to see for yourself. TIKR TIKR is THE BEST resource for all stock market data, I use TIKR every day in my process, and I know you will too. Make sure to check them out at TIKR.com/hive
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Jan 13, 2023 • 1h 9min

Nathalie Sinyard: Crash Course on Burnout

Hey guys! Hope you're 2023 is off to a great start! I'm stoked to share the first interview of 2023! This week, I sat down with Nathalie Sinyard, a Behavioral Economist who specializes in studying burnout. That's right. The thing you and I do, but quietly tell ourselves its okay because we're "grinding." That thing.  Nathalie dispelled a lot of myths I had around burnout. I also opened up about my personal struggles with burnout. Things I still struggle with today.  I found this conversation tremendously enjoyable and I know you will too. There are practical tools you can use to reduce burnout when you're in it, as well as prevent it before it occurs.  If you enjoyed this podcast, check out Nathalie on Twitter @NathalieRach. Also check out her Behavioral consulting agency Cadence Behavioral.  Here is the time-stamp of our conversation:  [0:00] Who is Nathalie Synyard? [6:00] What is Burnout? [11:00] Burnout Stages [21:00] Personal Experience with Burnout [28:00] Burnout and OCD [31:00] Success and Burnout [34:00] Motivation vs Discipline [37:00] Burnout Effects on the Body [40:00] Energy Audits [44:00] The Power of Nature [50:00] Burnout Positives? [54:00] How to avoid Burnout? [01:02:00] More from Nathalie and Closing Questions Finally, a big thanks to the following sponsors for making the podcast a reality! Mitimco This episode is brought to you by MIT Investment Management Company, also known as MITIMCo, the investment office of MIT. Each year, MITIMCo invests in a handful of new emerging managers who it believes can earn exceptional long-term returns in support of MIT's mission. To help the emerging manager community more broadly, they created emergingmanagers.org, a website for emerging manager stockpickers. For those looking to start a stock-picking fund or just looking to learn about how others have done it, I highly recommend the site. You'll find essays and interviews by successful emerging managers, service providers used by MIT's own managers, essays MITIMCo has written for emerging managers and more! Tegus Tegus has the world’s largest collection of instantly available interviews on all the public and private companies you care about. Tegus actually makes primary research fun and effortless, too. Instead of weeks and months, you can learn a new industry or company in hours, and all from those that know it best. I spend nearly all my time reading Tegus calls on existing holdings and new ideas. And I know you will too. So if you’re interested, head on over to tegus.co/valuehive for a free trial to see for yourself. TIKR TIKR is THE BEST resource for all stock market data, I use TIKR every day in my process, and I know you will too. Make sure to check them out at TIKR.com/hive
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Jan 6, 2023 • 1h 6min

Q3-Q4 Investor Audible Series: Vlata Fund, Greenhaven Road Capital, and Tourlite Capital

This week we're continuing our Investor Audibles series with Q3/Q4 2022 letters from the following investors/funds: Vlata Fund (Q4 Letter) Greenhaven Road Capital (Q3 Letter) Tourlite Capital (Q3 Letter) Please let me know what other letters you'd want to hear on future Investor Audible series episodes!  Finally, a big thanks to the following sponsors for making the podcast a reality. Mitimco This episode is brought to you by MIT Investment Management Company, also known as MITIMCo, the investment office of MIT. Each year, MITIMCo invests in a handful of new emerging managers who it believes can earn exceptional long-term returns in support of MIT's mission. To help the emerging manager community more broadly, they created emergingmanagers.org, a website for emerging manager stockpickers. For those looking to start a stock-picking fund or just looking to learn about how others have done it, I highly recommend the site. You'll find essays and interviews by successful emerging managers, service providers used by MIT's own managers, essays MITIMCo has written for emerging managers and more! Tegus Tegus has the world’s largest collection of instantly available interviews on all the public and private companies you care about. Tegus actually makes primary research fun and effortless, too. Instead of weeks and months, you can learn a new industry or company in hours, and all from those that know it best. I spend nearly all my time reading Tegus calls on existing holdings and new ideas. And I know you will too. So if you’re interested, head on over to tegus.co/valuehive for a free trial to see for yourself. TIKR TIKR is THE BEST resource for all stock market data, I use TIKR every day in my process, and I know you will too. Make sure to check them out at TIKR.com/hive.

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