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Value Hive Podcast

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May 19, 2023 • 1h 15min

Calvin Froedge: An Unconventional Path To Common Sense Investing

I'm stoked to share my conversation with Calvin Froedge. Calvin has one of the most unique investing backgrounds I've encountered in four years of the podcast. He didn't graduate high school. Instead, he spent his late teen years working for his dad's machinery business. He explored other business ventures in his early twenties before moving to Panama. Today, Calvin spends his time researching new investments and running his Shipping Data company, Marhelm. I thoroughly enjoyed this conversation. Calvin is a breath of fresh air. He brings a common sense approach to real asset investing. There's no fancy math or excel work. Calvin can explain all his investments on the back of a napkin. You will enjoy his insights. We spend the hour discussing Petrobras $PBR, Ecopetrol $EC, and other ideas on Calvin's radar. If you enjoyed this podcast, check out Calvin on Twitter @CalvinFroedge. Also, Value Hive listeners get 20% off Calvin's Shipping Data service Marhelm. Just enter the code "Value" at checkout. Finally, thanks to the following sponsors for making the podcast a reality! Mitimco This episode is brought to you by MIT Investment Management Company, also known as MITIMCo, the investment office of MIT. Each year, MITIMCo invests in a handful of new emerging managers who it believes can earn exceptional long-term returns to support MIT's mission. To help the emerging manager community more broadly, they created emergingmanagers.org, a website for emerging manager stockpickers. I highly recommend the site for those looking to start a stock-picking fund or learn how others have done it. You'll find essays and interviews by successful emerging managers, service providers used by MIT's own managers, essays MITIMCo has written for emerging managers, and more! Tegus Tegus has the world’s largest collection of instantly available interviews on all the public and private companies you care about. Tegus makes primary research fun and effortless, too. Instead of weeks and months, you can learn a new industry or company in hours, all from those who know it best. I spend nearly all my time reading Tegus calls on existing holdings and new ideas. And I know you will too. So if you’re interested, head on over to tegus.co/valuehive for a free trial to see for yourself. TIKR TIKR is THE BEST resource for all stock market data, I use TIKR daily in my process, and I know you will too. Make sure to check them out at TIKR.com/hive.
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May 12, 2023 • 1h 26min

Otavio Costa: Precious Metals Deep Dive

Hey Guys! This episode, we hear from Tavi Costa, portfolio manager at Crescat Capital, and get his insights into the precious metals industry. Tavi talks about the importance of precious metals CAPEX and explains how the demand for precious metals, specifically gold, affects the industry. He also discusses the differing opinions of gold bears. Tavi shares his thoughts on the inflation super cycle and how it impacts investing criteria. He also talks about identifying mistakes and valuing precious metals equities. [0:00] Who is Tavi Costa? [6:00] Precious Metals CAPEX [22:00] PM Demand: The Use of Gold [33:00] Gold Bears [40:00] The Inflation Super Cycle [50:00] Investing Criteria [59:00] Identifying Mistakes [1:08:00] Valuing PM Equities [1:19:00] More from Tavi Costa and Closing Questions If you enjoyed this podcast, please check out Otavio on Twitter @TaviCosta and read his latest research at Crescat Capital. Finally, thanks to the following sponsors for making the podcast a reality! Mitimco This episode is brought to you by MIT Investment Management Company, also known as MITIMCo, the investment office of MIT. Each year, MITIMCo invests in a handful of new emerging managers who it believes can earn exceptional long-term returns to support MIT's mission. To help the emerging manager community more broadly, they created emergingmanagers.org, a website for emerging manager stockpickers. I highly recommend the site for those looking to start a stock-picking fund or learn how others have done it. You'll find essays and interviews by successful emerging managers, service providers used by MIT's own managers, essays MITIMCo has written for emerging managers, and more! Tegus Tegus has the world’s largest collection of instantly available interviews on all the public and private companies you care about. Tegus makes primary research fun and effortless, too. Instead of weeks and months, you can learn a new industry or company in hours, all from those who know it best. I spend nearly all my time reading Tegus calls on existing holdings and new ideas. And I know you will too. So if you’re interested, head on over to tegus.co/valuehive for a free trial to see for yourself. TIKR TIKR is THE BEST resource for all stock market data, I use TIKR daily in my process, and I know you will too. Make sure to check them out at TIKR.com/hive.
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May 5, 2023 • 1h 38min

Alex Verge: Building Journey Energy $JOY

Hey guys! This episode features Alex Verge, CEO of Journey, who shares his insights and experiences in the energy industry. Alex explains his “buy and exploit” game plan and emphasizes the importance of owning the land. He also talks about the cycles of the energy industry and how understanding them is crucial for success. Alex discusses the increasing costs in the energy space and shares his experiences during the 2014-2020 cycle. He reflects on the challenging times when oil prices went negative and how he and his team survived. Towards the end of the podcast, Alex shares the lessons he has learned from surviving the March 2020 crash and what he sees coming up next in the industry. Here's the time stamp: [0:00] Who is Alex Verge? [11:00] The Gameplan: Buy and Exploit [18:00] Own the land [32:00] The Energy Cycles [38:00] Costs are increasing in the energy space [43:00] Living through the 2014-2020 Cycle [48:00] The Red Water Decision [1:07:00] Surviving when oil went negative [1:14:00] Lessons Learned [1:26:00] What comes next? [1:28:00] Closing Questions If you enjoyed this podcast, please check out Alex on Twitter @AlexVergeJOY Finally, thanks to the following sponsors for making the podcast a reality! Mitimco This episode is brought to you by MIT Investment Management Company, also known as MITIMCo, the investment office of MIT. Each year, MITIMCo invests in a handful of new emerging managers who it believes can earn exceptional long-term returns to support MIT's mission. To help the emerging manager community more broadly, they created emergingmanagers.org, a website for emerging manager stockpickers. I highly recommend the site for those looking to start a stock-picking fund or learn how others have done it. You'll find essays and interviews by successful emerging managers, service providers used by MIT's own managers, essays MITIMCo has written for emerging managers, and more! Tegus Tegus has the world’s largest collection of instantly available interviews on all the public and private companies you care about. Tegus makes primary research fun and effortless, too. Instead of weeks and months, you can learn a new industry or company in hours, all from those who know it best. I spend nearly all my time reading Tegus calls on existing holdings and new ideas. And I know you will too. So if you’re interested, head on over to tegus.co/valuehive for a free trial to see for yourself. TIKR TIKR is THE BEST resource for all stock market data, I use TIKR daily in my process, and I know you will too. Make sure to check them out at TIKR.com/hive.
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Apr 28, 2023 • 53min

Jared Dillian: All Things Writing, Creative Process, and Craft

Welcome to another episode of the Value Hive Podcast, folks! Today, we have a real treat for y'all as we've got Jared Dillian in the house. This guy's a top-notch writer and author of "Those Bastards," and he drops some serious knowledge bombs on us. Now, if you're into finance and investing, you're going to love this one. Jared and I dive deep into important topics, like writing, idea generation, and the lessons we can learn from the history of finance. We discuss Jared's approach to generating fresh and exciting ideas, and how he turns those ideas into killer content. We also chat about his experiences on Wall Street during the 2008 financial crisis, and the valuable insights he gained from that time. Finally, Jared shares some inspiring insights into his own journey of becoming a writer. So, grab yourself a cup of coffee, settle in, and get ready to learn from one of the best in the biz. This is gonna be one episode you don't wanna miss, folks. Let's dive in! Here's a time-stamp: [0:00] Intro [2:00] Who is Jared Dillian? [10:00] Jared’s Writing Story [13:30] Finding your Writing Style [17:00] Writing Routine [21:00] Writing Mental Hurdles [25:00] Editing [28:00] Improving [30:00] Favorite Writers [35:00] Daily Dirt Nap [37:00] Essay Finance Depraved [40:00] A time of Spectacular Excess [43:00] From Trading to Creating [45:00] Lessons Learned from Writing Those Bastards [49:00] More from Jared Dillian and Closing Questions Finaly, thanks to the following sponsors for making the podcast a reality! Mitimco This episode is brought to you by MIT Investment Management Company, also known as MITIMCo, the investment office of MIT. Each year, MITIMCo invests in a handful of new emerging managers who it believes can earn exceptional long-term returns to support MIT's mission. To help the emerging manager community more broadly, they created emergingmanagers.org, a website for emerging manager stockpickers. I highly recommend the site for those looking to start a stock-picking fund or learn how others have done it. You'll find essays and interviews by successful emerging managers, service providers used by MIT's own managers, essays MITIMCo has written for emerging managers, and more! Tegus Tegus has the world’s largest collection of instantly available interviews on all the public and private companies you care about. Tegus makes primary research fun and effortless, too. Instead of weeks and months, you can learn a new industry or company in hours, all from those who know it best. I spend nearly all my time reading Tegus calls on existing holdings and new ideas. And I know you will too. So if you’re interested, head on over to tegus.co/valuehive for a free trial to see for yourself. TIKR TIKR is THE BEST resource for all stock market data, I use TIKR daily in my process, and I know you will too. Make sure to check them out at TIKR.com/hive.
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Apr 21, 2023 • 1h 26min

Will Thomson: Critical Raw Materials Deep Dive

Hey guys! In the latest episode of The Value Hive Podcast, I had the pleasure of speaking with Will Thomson, the managing partner at Massif Capital. Will's investment focuses on tangible assets that can help decarbonize the world. Throughout our conversation, we covered various topics related to investing in this space. We started by discussing the importance of copper and cobalt in transitioning to a lower-carbon future. Will shared his insights on how to evaluate companies that produce these metals. He also discussed where he finds the most attractive investment opportunities along the mining value chain. Will then shared his bear theses for copper and explained his thoughts on the risks associated with investing in this metal. We also delved into the intricacies of valuing mining companies and how to approach this task as an investor. Throughout the episode, Will provided several book recommendations that have influenced his thinking and approach to investing. Whether you're interested in investing in tangible assets or simply looking to broaden your industry knowledge, plenty of value can be gained from this insightful conversation. Overall, this episode of The Value Hive Podcast with Will Thomson was an engaging and informative discussion on investing in tangible assets to decarbonize the world. If you're interested in learning more about this topic, be sure to give it a listen. Finally, thanks to the following sponsors for making the podcast a reality! Mitimco This episode is brought to you by MIT Investment Management Company, also known as MITIMCo, the investment office of MIT. Each year, MITIMCo invests in a handful of new emerging managers who it believes can earn exceptional long-term returns to support MIT's mission. To help the emerging manager community more broadly, they created emergingmanagers.org, a website for emerging manager stockpickers. I highly recommend the site for those looking to start a stock-picking fund or learn how others have done it. You'll find essays and interviews by successful emerging managers, service providers used by MIT's own managers, essays MITIMCo has written for emerging managers, and more! Tegus Tegus has the world’s largest collection of instantly available interviews on all the public and private companies you care about. Tegus makes primary research fun and effortless, too. Instead of weeks and months, you can learn a new industry or company in hours, all from those who know it best. I spend nearly all my time reading Tegus calls on existing holdings and new ideas. And I know you will too. So if you’re interested, head on over to tegus.co/valuehive for a free trial to see for yourself. TIKR TIKR is THE BEST resource for all stock market data, I use TIKR daily in my process, and I know you will too. Make sure to check them out at TIKR.com/hive.
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67 snips
Apr 14, 2023 • 1h 26min

Judd Arnold: Seeking Convexity in Offshore Energy

Hey guys! This week I'm stoked to have Judd Arnold on the podcast. Judd runs Lake Cornelia Research Management, a hedge fund and bespoke investment research firm. Judd joined The Value Hive to break down the Offshore Energy Industry. Most of the podcast discusses convexity, how to find it within the offshore space, and how to compare various convexity levels between industry opportunities. You can easily tell Judd knows his industry inside out, which makes for a highly educational (and entertaining!) conversation. If you'd like to learn more about Judd, DM him on Twitter @CorneliaLake. Finally, thanks to the following sponsors for making the podcast a reality! Mitimco This episode is brought to you by MIT Investment Management Company, also known as MITIMCo, the investment office of MIT. Each year, MITIMCo invests in a handful of new emerging managers who it believes can earn exceptional long-term returns to support MIT's mission. To help the emerging manager community more broadly, they created emergingmanagers.org, a website for emerging manager stockpickers. I highly recommend the site for those looking to start a stock-picking fund or learn how others have done it. You'll find essays and interviews by successful emerging managers, service providers used by MIT's own managers, essays MITIMCo has written for emerging managers, and more! Tegus Tegus has the world’s largest collection of instantly available interviews on all the public and private companies you care about. Tegus makes primary research fun and effortless, too. Instead of weeks and months, you can learn a new industry or company in hours, all from those who know it best. I spend nearly all my time reading Tegus calls on existing holdings and new ideas. And I know you will too. So if you’re interested, head on over to tegus.co/valuehive for a free trial to see for yourself. TIKR TIKR is THE BEST resource for all stock market data, I use TIKR daily in my process, and I know you will too. Make sure to check them out at TIKR.com/hive.
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Apr 7, 2023 • 1h 10min

Q4 2022 Investor Audibles: SRK Capital, HCM Capital, and Bonhoeffer Capital

This week we're continuing our Investor Audibles series with Q4 2022 letters from the following investors/funds: SRK Capital HCM Capital Bonhoeffer Capital Please let me know what other letters you'd want to hear on future Investor Audible series episodes! Finally, a big thanks to the following sponsors for making the podcast a reality. Mitimco This episode is brought to you by MIT Investment Management Company, also known as MITIMCo, the investment office of MIT. Each year, MITIMCo invests in a handful of new emerging managers who it believes can earn exceptional long-term returns in support of MIT's mission. To help the emerging manager community more broadly, they created emergingmanagers.org, a website for emerging manager stockpickers. For those looking to start a stock-picking fund or just looking to learn about how others have done it, I highly recommend the site. You'll find essays and interviews by successful emerging managers, service providers used by MIT's own managers, essays MITIMCo has written for emerging managers and more! Tegus Tegus has the world’s largest collection of instantly available interviews on all the public and private companies you care about. Tegus actually makes primary research fun and effortless, too. Instead of weeks and months, you can learn a new industry or company in hours, and all from those that know it best. I spend nearly all my time reading Tegus calls on existing holdings and new ideas. And I know you will too. So if you’re interested, head on over to tegus.co/valuehive for a free trial to see for yourself. TIKR TIKR is THE BEST resource for all stock market data, I use TIKR every day in my process, and I know you will too. Make sure to check them out at TIKR.com/hive.
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Mar 31, 2023 • 1h 28min

WTI Realist: Taking A Realistic View on The Bull Energy Thesis

I hope you guys enjoy my podcast with Twitter's own WTI Realist. We spend nearly 90 minutes dissecting the oil bull thesis, emphasizing under-followed parts of the value chain like midstream and royalty businesses. If you enjoyed the podcast, please follow WTI Realist on Twitter here. Also, check out his Substack here! Here's the time-stamp: [0:00] Meet our guest, WTI Realist [7:00] The Simplicity of the Oil Industry [14:45] Understanding the “Full Cycle” in the Oil Industry [16:30] Should Exploration and Production (E&P) Companies Hedge? [23:00] Dividends vs Buybacks vs Paying Down Debt: Maximizing Shareholder Value [30:00] Importance of Reserve Life in the Oil Industry [34:00] WACC vs Interest Rates vs Discount Rates: Which is the Best Metric? [41:00] The Royalty Business (PrairieSky Royalty $TSX:PSK): Exploring the Benefits [49:00] How to Identify the Best E&P? The Role of Management [1:00:00] Spotlight on Pine Cliff (TSX:PNE) [1:09:00] Exploring Frontera Energy ($FEC) [1:16:00] Is the Oil Market Getting Boring? [1:23:00] More Insights from WTI Realist and Closing Questions Finally, thanks to the following sponsors for making the podcast a reality! Mitimco This episode is brought to you by MIT Investment Management Company, also known as MITIMCo, the investment office of MIT. Each year, MITIMCo invests in a handful of new emerging managers who it believes can earn exceptional long-term returns to support MIT's mission. To help the emerging manager community more broadly, they created emergingmanagers.org, a website for emerging manager stockpickers. I highly recommend the site for those looking to start a stock-picking fund or learn about how others have done it. You'll find essays and interviews by successful emerging managers, service providers used by MIT's own managers, essays MITIMCo has written for emerging managers, and more! Tegus Tegus has the world’s largest collection of instantly available interviews on all the public and private companies you care about. Tegus makes primary research fun and effortless, too. Instead of weeks and months, you can learn a new industry or company in hours, all from those who know it best. I spend nearly all my time reading Tegus calls on existing holdings and new ideas. And I know you will too. So if you’re interested, head on over to tegus.co/valuehive for a free trial to see for yourself. TIKR TIKR is THE BEST resource for all stock market data, I use TIKR daily in my process, and I know you will too. Make sure to check them out at TIKR.com/hive.
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59 snips
Mar 24, 2023 • 1h 12min

Harris Kupperman: Journey Energy $JOY, Patience, and Inflection Investing

Hey guys! This week we're excited to have our friend Harris Kupperman (aka Kuppy) back on the podcast. Kuppy is a dear friend and one hell of an investor. We spend the podcast discussing the idea of patience and boredom as keys to successful investing. We also touch on Kuppy's Inflection Investing framework. Finally, we dive deep into one of Kuppy's newest equity positions: Journey Energy (JOY). Full disclosure, Kuppy owns ~2% of the company and I own shares in my retirement account. Please do your own work. None of this is investment advice. If you like what you hear, please follow Kuppy on Twitter @hkuppy. Also, check out his Event-Driven product KEDM.com. Give it a free test drive and see for yourself. You might not want to trade without it. Finally, a big thanks to the following sponsors for making the podcast a reality! Mitimco This episode is brought to you by MIT Investment Management Company, also known as MITIMCo, the investment office of MIT. Each year, MITIMCo invests in a handful of new emerging managers who it believes can earn exceptional long-term returns to support MIT's mission. To help the emerging manager community more broadly, they created emergingmanagers.org, a website for emerging manager stockpickers. For those looking to start a stock-picking fund or just looking to learn about how others have done it, I highly recommend the site. You'll find essays and interviews by successful emerging managers, service providers used by MIT's own managers, essays MITIMCo has written for emerging managers, and more! Tegus Tegus has the world’s largest collection of instantly available interviews on all the public and private companies you care about. Tegus makes primary research fun and effortless, too. Instead of weeks and months, you can learn a new industry or company in hours, all from those who know it best. I spend nearly all my time reading Tegus calls on existing holdings and new ideas. And I know you will too. So if you’re interested, head on over to tegus.co/valuehive for a free trial to see for yourself. TIKR TIKR is THE BEST resource for all stock market data, I use TIKR daily in my process, and I know you will too. Make sure to check them out at TIKR.com/hive.
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Mar 17, 2023 • 1h 21min

Trader Ferg: Investing in Post-Bankruptcy Energy Plays

Hey guys! This week is all about Post Bankruptcy Investing and we have Ferguson Cullen to show us his investing philosophy. He explained his concept of Subsidized Asymmetry, how he tries to not become an emotional Basket Case, investing in Peabody Energy, what are the red and green flags when you invest in bankruptcy ideas, how to find ideas and how he manages his portfolio, they exits and build a position. [0:00] Investing Journey [9:00] Using Social Media to Gauge Sentiment [15:00] Analyzing a Post Bankruptcy. Subsidized Asymmetry [23:00] Peabody Energy $BTU [26:00] Emotional Basket Case [32:34] Red Flags [38:00] Green Flags [41:00] Wrong Data [46:00] Finding Bankruptcy Ideas [51:00] Exiting a Position [56:30] Portfolio Construction: Sizing [1:05:00] More from Ferguson and Closing Questions If you enjoyed the podcast, please follow Ferg on Twitter @trader_ferg. Also, check out his Substack here.  Finally, a big thanks to the following sponsors for making the podcast a reality! Mitimco This episode is brought to you by MIT Investment Management Company, also known as MITIMCo, the investment office of MIT. Each year, MITIMCo invests in a handful of new emerging managers who it believes can earn exceptional long-term returns to support MIT's mission. To help the emerging manager community more broadly, they created emergingmanagers.org, a website for emerging manager stockpickers. For those looking to start a stock-picking fund or just looking to learn about how others have done it, I highly recommend the site. You'll find essays and interviews by successful emerging managers, service providers used by MIT's own managers, essays MITIMCo has written for emerging managers, and more! Tegus Tegus has the world’s largest collection of instantly available interviews on all the public and private companies you care about. Tegus actually makes primary research fun and effortless, too. Instead of weeks and months, you can learn a new industry or company in hours, and all from those that know it best. I spend nearly all my time reading Tegus calls on existing holdings and new ideas. And I know you will too. So if you’re interested, head on over to tegus.co/valuehive for a free trial to see for yourself. TIKR TIKR is THE BEST resource for all stock market data, I use TIKR every day in my process, and I know you will too. Make sure to check them out at TIKR.com/hive.

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