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Risk Parity Radio

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Oct 13, 2024 • 28min

Episode 370: Jamming In Joe's Garage With Simba's Backtester And SVOL And Portfolio Reviews As Of October 11, 2024

In this episode we answer emails from Jimmy, Dave and Richard.  We discuss the joys of Joe's Garage, the Bogleheads Simba spreadsheet and Lazy Portfolios and a revisit of the ETF SVOL.And THEN we our go through our weekly portfolio reviews of the eight sample portfolios you can find at Portfolios | Risk Parity Radio.Additional links:Simba's Spreadsheet (Article And Link):  Simba's backtesting spreadsheet - BogleheadsSVOL Webpage:  SVOL Simplify Volatility Premium ETF | SimplifyRichard's SVOL vs. Equity ETFs Analysis:  testfol.io/analysis?d=eJxdikEKwjAQRa8S%2FjoL68JFruEBwtCkMu04kUmaIuLdDbgR3%2B7x3guN5y1bRYC79iKuPp5ur%2FfuqO8dHrWRtZio5bEMz5p%2B7Fs7CcJ0GnhQWiPrItS4KMJCUrOHFRHWWzxYUzkQLuOci1n8D9P5%2FQF55jJ4Richard's SVOL Portfolio Analysis:  https://tinyurl.com/bddjy2k4Eric Balchunas Interview:  Eric Balchunas on The Hidden Gems of the ETF World You Need to Know! (youtube.com)Amusing Unedited AI-bot Summary:Imagine a finance podcast that's as entertaining as a night out at your favorite dive bar. I'm Frank Vasquez, and on this playful yet insightful episode of Risk Parity Radio, we hit a milestone of 750,000 downloads, a delightful gift for my 60th birthday. Join me as I reminisce about the impact of Frank Zappa's "Joe's Garage" on my youth and answer listener emails, including a deep dive into Simba's Backtesting Spreadsheet. We ponder the Bogleheads' seemingly timeless investment models and their reluctance to embrace change.Turning our focus to innovative ETF strategies, we dissect the SVOL ETF, an inverse VIX fund with the potential to spice up your portfolio. Despite its lack of historical data and the risk of significant distributions in taxable accounts, this ETF might just find its rightful place in your retirement portfolio. We examine the broader trend of creative ETFs, thanks to recent SEC rule changes, and weigh the psychological appeal against the need for financial prudence. Curiosity piqued, we also explore SVOL's correlation with growth or value stocks.Rounding out the episode, we analyze weekly portfolio performances with strategies like the All Seasons, Golden Butterfly, and Risk Parity Ultimate. I update you on specific portfolio allocations and performances, highlighting the beauty of consistent returns, even if they might seem uneventful. Engage with us through questions or comments, subscribe, and leave a review. As we wrap up, enjoy a humorous tale that weaves together music, relationships, and personal growth, leaving you informed and entertained. Remember, this episode offers insights for entertainment and informational purposes, so consult your personal advisor for tailored financial advice.Support the show
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Oct 9, 2024 • 50min

Episode 369: Managing Treasury Bond Funds, How An AI-Bot Translates This Podcast, And Monte Carlo Based Variable Withdrawal Strategies

In this episode we answer emails from Frank, John, Aaron and Pete.  We discuss bond allocations in treasuries of various durations, when retirement account space is limited and the tax bracket is high, the reasons for the strange presentation of this podcast and how to use a new AI-Bot to circumvent them (with an embedded example of an AI-Bot podcast created from Episode 333 about target date funds), the joys of having younger listeners and Derek Tharp's Monte Carlo based variable withdrawal strategies.Links:The New Google Notebook AI-Bot That Creates Podcasts:  NotebookLM | Note Taking & Research Assistant Powered by AIDerek Tharp Podcast:  Busting the 4% Rule Myth - Retirement Revealed | Podcast on SpotifyDerek Tharp Article:  A Monte Carlo 50% Retirement Success Probability Can Work (kitces.com)Amusingly Inaccurate Unedited AI-Bot Summary:Unlock the secrets of smarter investing and redefine how you approach your portfolio with our latest episode of Risk Parity Radio. Ever wondered if your 401k rollover could be optimized for greater returns? We dive into a listener's question about achieving a 30% bond allocation, weighing the pros and cons of treasury versus municipal bonds. You'll discover insights into balancing tax implications and investment goals, while also considering the volatility of different bond types. Our conversation guides you toward a holistic view of your investment strategy, ensuring your portfolio aligns with your personal financial objectives.Challenging the status quo, we welcome guest Frank Vasco to dissect the perceived simplicity of target date funds. Could these popular investment vehicles be holding your growth potential back? Frank shares compelling findings from a 2022 study, revealing how TDFs might underperform significantly over decades. Even industry stalwarts like Vanguard aren't immune to these criticisms. With this in mind, we encourage you to critically evaluate your 401k plan choices, embracing a mindset of informed skepticism and strategic thinking.Finally, we examine the fascinating world of index funds and question traditional retirement withdrawal strategies. Drawing an analogy to betting on the entire Kentucky Derby, we explore how index funds offer diversification and often outperform active management. As you rethink retirement, we discuss utilizing Monte Carlo simulations to create flexible withdrawal strategies that adapt to changing circumstances. This episode is all about empowering you with financial literacy and the tools to challenge conventional wisdom, putting you in control of your future wealth.Support the show
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Oct 6, 2024 • 27min

Episode 368: Analysis Tools, Tactical Allocation Strategies, International Accounts And Portfolio Reviews As Of October 4, 2024

In this episode we answer emails from Andrew, Jeff, Ron and Javier.  We discuss analysis tools for leveraged funds like UPRO and TNA, Tactical Allocation Strategies, how and where this podcast is distributed, and brokerage account options for foreign (to the US) nationals.And THEN we our go through our weekly portfolio reviews of the eight sample portfolios you can find at Portfolios | Risk Parity Radio.Additional links:Andrew's Portfolio Visualizer Link:  Backtest Portfolio Asset Allocation (portfoliovisualizer.com)Testfol Portfolio Analyzer (see the Help link in the drop-down menu for instructions):  testfol.ioAllocate Smartly Website:  What We Do - Allocate SmartlyInteractive Brokers Introduction For Accounts:  Introducción a IBKR | Trading Course | Traders' Academy | IBKR Campus (interactivebrokers.com)Amusing Unedited AI-Bot Summary:Ready to rethink your investment strategy? Uncover the secrets of a diversified portfolio with leveraged funds like TNA and UPRO in our latest episode of Risk Parity Radio. We'll guide you through the nitty-gritty of managing such portfolios, emphasizing the significance of fee considerations and the mechanics of monthly rebalancing. Explore alternative strategies, including rebalancing bands, and discover the power of tools like Portfolio Visualizer and TestFol to optimize your investment approach. We blend humor and savvy insights to create an inviting atmosphere, reminiscent of a friendly chat at your favorite local dive bar.Our exploration doesn't stop there. We tackle Jeff's curiosity about tactical allocation strategies for retirement, diving into the complexities and risks, including overfitting and tax inefficiencies. While some approaches might tempt with short-term outperformance, we advocate for simpler, more reliable diversification techniques. Tune in for our market performance review, where we assess the minimal shifts in major indices and the dramatic moves in commodities and long-term treasury bonds. From the All Seasons to the Risk Parity Ultimate portfolios, we ensure you have the insights needed to navigate your financial journey through market volatility and distribution strategies.Support the show
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Oct 3, 2024 • 32min

Episode 367: A Mini-Rant About Covered Call Funds (Again), The Future Of Levered Portfolios And Principles Of Using Historical Data

In this episode we answer emails from Mark, Jon and Richard.  We discuss the perils of income investing, covered call funds and SPYI, one potential future of DYI investing using levered and unlevered risk-parity style portfolios, and the use and misuse of historical data in various analyses with a reference to a blog post from Cliff Asness.Links:Video re SPYI:  SPYI Squeezes 12% Yield from the S&P 500 (SPYI ETF) (youtube.com)Portfolio Visualizer Litmus Test of SPYI:  Backtest Portfolio Asset Allocation (portfoliovisualizer.com)Cliff Asness Article:  Efficient Frontier “Theory” for the Long Run (aqr.com)Father McKenna Center Donation Page:  Donate - Father McKenna CenterNote that the usually "Amusing Unedited AI-bot Summary" was so ridiculously inaccurate I had to omit it.Support the show
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Sep 28, 2024 • 42min

Episode 366: Managed Futures, Tools For Varying Cash Flows, 529 Management And Portfolio Reviews As Of September 27, 2024

In this episode we answer emails from Mark, James and Anderson.  We discuss differing performances in managed futures funds, a Portfolio Visualizer calculator and what to do with a TSP, and what to do about 529s when approaching the use date.And THEN we our go through our weekly portfolio reviews of the eight sample portfolios you can find at Portfolios | Risk Parity Radio.Additional links:Recent ChooseFI podcast with Yours Truly:  5% SWR, Revealed Preferences and the 3 stories | Frank Vasquez | Ep 508 | ChooseFIFather McKenna Center Main Donation Page:  Donate - Father McKenna CenterPortfolio Visualizer Financial Goals Tool:  Financial Goals (portfoliovisualizer.com)Amusing Unedited AI-bot Summary:How do you ensure a worry-free retirement while navigating the complexities of market trends and withdrawal strategies? Welcome back to Risk Parity Radio! Fresh from a cross-country adventure to the picturesque Washington State, we’re back with a renewed zest to help you master the art of personal finance and investing. Our cozy, dive bar-esque podcast is not just about numbers and charts; it's about community, humor, and shared learning. In this episode, we revisit our eight sample portfolios and shed light on how to build relationships and joy within your retirement hobby. If you're new here, start your journey with episodes 1, 3, 5, 7, and 9 for a solid foundation.Ever wondered how to choose between managed futures ETFs like KMLM and DBMF, or how to predict safe withdrawal rates for early retirement? We’ve got you covered. We explore the intricacies of KMLM's track record and DBMF's market adaptability, helping you determine the best fit for your diversified portfolio. Plus, we answer a listener's burning question about withdrawal rates, and untangle the complexities of the Thrift Savings Plan versus an IRA rollover. Dive into the world of financial planning tools, Social Security strategies, and brokerage firms like Fidelity and Schwab for low-cost investments. Join our informative yet quirky session designed for do-it-yourself investors looking to build a robust, diversified retirement plan.Support the show
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Sep 8, 2024 • 41min

Episode 365: Leveraging OPTRA, The Four Phases Of Financial Knowledge And Portfolio Reviews As Of September 6, 2024

In this episode we answer emails from Mikel, Garrison and Matt.  We discuss our charity and some foundational episodes, the use of leveraged fund UPRO in the OPTRA sample portfolio, and the four phases of learning and knowledge in personal finance, which are (1) Baby Steps; (2) Shiny Object Syndrome; (3) Applying Formulas That Represent Sound Investing Principles; and (4) Understanding Sound Investing Principles And Applying Them Directly.  And Mt. Rushmore and The Dog With The Longest Name.And THEN we our go through our weekly portfolio reviews of the eight sample portfolios you can find at Portfolios | Risk Parity Radio.Additional links:Risk Parity Radio RSS Feed With All Podcasts On One Searchable Webpage:  Risk Parity Radio RSS Feed (buzzsprout.com)Father McKenna Center Main Donation Page:  Donate - Father McKenna CenterFather McKenna Center Walk4McKenna Page:  Walk4McKenna - Father McKenna CenterAmusing Unedited AI-Bot Summary:How can long-term treasury bonds cushion your portfolio against turbulent market conditions? This week on Risk Parity Radio, we provide a detailed review of our sample portfolios, showing how treasuries have played a crucial role in mitigating recent stock market losses. We also share an inspiring email from Michael, a new listener who discusses his generous donation to the Father McKenna Center and highlights the upcoming Walk for McKenna fundraiser. Tune in to learn how you can support this meaningful cause while enhancing your understanding of risk parity investing.Embark on a journey to financial independence with us as we dissect the critical stages and pitfalls along the way. We'll guide you through the initial "baby steps," cautioning against the allure of "shiny object syndrome," and emphasize the importance of transitioning to practical, DIY investment strategies. Discover the core principles of successful investing, such as diversification and macro allocation, that will empower you to achieve true financial independence and navigate your personal finance journey with confidence.In a week marked by significant market declines, we analyze the performance of various portfolio strategies, highlighting the resilience of long-term treasury bonds and the impressive gains in diversified portfolios like the All Seasons and Golden Butterfly. Get an inside look at the new Optra portfolio, its composition, and its performance amidst economic fluctuations. We wrap up with an engaging tale about an extraordinarily talented dog, blending financial wisdom with light-hearted storytelling to keep you both informed and entertained.Support the show
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Sep 1, 2024 • 31min

Episode 364: Leverage, Gold ETFs And Early Retirement Considerations (Oh My!) And Portfolio Reviews As Of August 30, 2024

Delve into the intriguing world of leveraging investments as the hosts explore its potential benefits and pitfalls. Discover alternative options to popular gold ETFs and how to navigate early retirement withdrawals safely. The conversation includes detailed portfolio reviews, emphasizing practical strategies tailored for both accumulation and decumulation phases. Not to mention, their light-hearted banter promises a few laughs along the way, making personal finance feel fun and approachable!
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Aug 29, 2024 • 34min

Episode 363: Making Adjustments To An RPR Portfolio, Musings About Factor Investing And HECOMs, And A Semi-Rant About Ill-Advised IUL

Phil engages in a lively discussion about investment strategies, prompting insights on portfolio adjustments and the intricacies of factor investing. Eric dives into the world of reverse mortgages, unveiling critical considerations around HECOMs. They scrutinize the often-misunderstood Indexed Universal Life (IUL) insurance, emphasizing its pitfalls and the wealth required to utilize such products effectively. Their blunt honesty is refreshing, reminding listeners to rethink conventional investment wisdom and approach with caution.
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Aug 22, 2024 • 34min

Episode 362: Considering International Stock Funds, DBMF Benchmarks, Reviewing a 70/20/10 Portfolio And More Trogdor!

Robert, an expert in international stock funds, Jamie, an inquisitive Boglehead, and Richard, a proponent of early retirement, dive into critical investment strategies. They discuss the limitations of traditional portfolios, specifically the Boglehead approach. The trio examines the nuances of diversification, highlighting the unexpected similarities between international and U.S. stocks. They also review a unique 70/30/10 risk-parity portfolio, tackling real-world concerns while offering valuable insights on transitioning towards retirement investing.
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Aug 18, 2024 • 31min

Episode 361: Leveraged ETFs vs Margin, Transitioning To A Golden Butterfly, Investing With A Spouse, And Portfolio Reviews As Of August 16, 2024

This discussion dives into the nuances of leveraged investments, comparing margin and leveraged ETFs for savvy portfolio management. Couples are encouraged to communicate openly about finances, particularly as they transition into retirement strategies. Weekly portfolio reviews offer insights into both conservative and aggressive investment approaches, emphasizing the importance of patience during market downturns. Listeners also gain valuable tips for navigating the unpredictable world of investing with confidence and humor.

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