The Synopsis

Speedwell Research, LLC
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Oct 9, 2024 • 1h 42min

Interview. Founder-led Companies, Serial Acquirers, & High Cash Returning Businesses with Investor Andy "Biz Almanac"

In this wide spanning interview episode we talk with Biz Almanac's Andy on investment philosophy, the differences of Founder-led businesses, as well as many different companies he's written up on his Substack, including TerraVest, Alimentation Couche Tard, Burford, Progressive, TFI, Old Dominion, Spotify, Mercardo Libre, and  more!  Find out more about Biz Almanac's research and writings here and follow him on Twitter @BizAlmanac. -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Show Notes (0:00) Intro (0:59) What is your Investment Philosophy? Why focus on Owner Operated Businesses?  (13:47) — How do you pick companies to vette? (19:51) — When to Sell and we discuss a Controversial Study's Conclusions   (34:30) — TerraVest (45:54) — Alimentation Couche Tard (58:09) — Alternative Asset Managers, Apollo Group  (1:04:09) — Burford, Niche Area of Littigation Finance  (1:13:02) — Progressive Insurance  (1:15:26) — What is LTL? TFI and Old Dominion  (1:23:29) — Spotify, Daniel Ek as a Founder  (1:30:02) — Mercado Libre, Developed Markets  vs Developing Markets (1:41:00) — Take Aways and Closing Comments  -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Become a Speedwell Member here to gain access to *all* of our in-depth research reports and more!   Sign up for Speedwell's free newsletter and weekly memos here *-*-*- Follow Us: Twitter: @Speedwell_LLC Threads: @speedwell_research Email us at info@speedwellresearch.com for any questions, comments, or feedback. -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Disclaimer Nothing in this podcast is investment advice nor should be construed as such. Contributors to the podcast may own securities discusessed. Furthermore, accounts contributors advise on may also have positions in companies discussed. Please see our full disclaimers here:  https://speedwellresearch.com/disclaimer/
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6 snips
Oct 3, 2024 • 20min

Article. Investing is Just Answering a Series of Questions: Explaining the Reverse DCF

Dive into the world of investment valuation with insights on reverse discounted cash flows. Discover how this approach enables better assessment of future cash flows and intrinsic value. Learn about META's financial dynamics, focusing on the effects of revenue growth assumptions. The discussion emphasizes the importance of conservative estimates in navigating uncertain markets. Unravel the intricate balance between expected returns and associated risks in modern investing.
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5 snips
Sep 27, 2024 • 3h 16min

Company. Costar Group: From Basement to Billion Dollar Global Real Estate Authority

Andy Florance, the founder of CoStar Group, recounts his journey from a Princeton dorm room to leading a billion-dollar real estate data powerhouse. He shares insights on the company’s rise amidst fierce competition, including the strategic acquisition of Apartments.com that propelled its growth. Florance discusses the challenges of transparency in real estate data and the evolving marketplace dynamics as CoStar aims to conquer new sectors like Homes.com. Tune in to discover his thoughts on navigating market cycles and leveraging data for continued success.
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7 snips
Sep 5, 2024 • 41min

Dialogue. Secrets from the Sell-side

Discover the hidden truths behind sell-side price targets and what they really mean. Learn how pressures from corporate relationships and job security can skew analysts' recommendations. Dive into the legacy of the tech bubble and its impact on current forecasting practices. The episode also uncovers the ethical dilemmas faced by sell-side analysts and why staying in consensus often trumps individual insights. Get ready for a thought-provoking look at the financial industry's complexities!
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9 snips
Aug 23, 2024 • 21min

Article. What You Don't Know About Sell-side Price Targets

Delve into the hidden pressures that influence sell-side analysts and their stock price targets. Discover how financial incentives can compromise objectivity and independence. Explore the challenges faced in a volatile market and the complexities of career risk and corporate relationships. Learn to navigate the conflicting pressures that analysts encounter, prompting listeners to critically assess recommendations and understand the potential biases at play. This insightful discussion sheds light on the intricate dynamics of investment analysis.
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16 snips
Aug 15, 2024 • 57min

Dialogue. Evolution and Floor & Decor 2Q24 Business Update

Dive into a world of strategic gaming evolution and flooring industry dynamics. Learn about Evolution's record revenue and innovative game strategies shaping player engagement. Discover the significant acquisition by Galaxy Gaming and its market implications. Meanwhile, explore the contrasting paths of Floor & Decor's resilience against LL Flooring's turmoil. The impact of rising interest rates and inflation on consumer behavior adds to the complexity of the industry's landscape. Insights on operational challenges and growth strategies keep the conversation engaging!
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Aug 9, 2024 • 16min

Article. Coupang Business History

Discover the fascinating journey of Coupang, from its humble beginnings to becoming a powerhouse in South Korea's retail market. The founder faced numerous challenges, but strategic changes allowed for a remarkable transformation. Dive into the company’s commitment to a customer-centric model, enhancing logistics that revolutionized online shopping in the region. This exploration highlights how innovation and resilience shaped Coupang's success story.
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15 snips
Jul 31, 2024 • 1h 2min

Company. Porsche AG: Driving Between Luxury and Premium

Discover the journey of Porsche AG as it maneuvers between luxury and premium markets with its unique production scale. Explore its historical roots, from iconic models like the 356 and 911 to strategic pivots amid crises. Delve into the evolving automotive landscape, highlighting the rise of electric vehicles and competitive strategies. Learn how innovative financing impacts car sales and the complexities of analyzing financial performance. Finally, gain insights into Porsche's transition to electric models and the challenges it faces in sustaining its brand identity.
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15 snips
Jul 18, 2024 • 47min

Dialogue. How to Identify a Great Business

The podcast discusses observing vs. creating a great business, the Consumer's Hierarchy of Preferences, moats like Copart, disruptions in CHOP, Nintendo's strengths, and the importance of identifying unique consumer needs. It also explores consumer surplus, Walker & Dunlop's characteristics, and the challenges of determining quality businesses.
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13 snips
Jul 9, 2024 • 54min

Dialogue. Constellation Software AGM and RH 1Q25 Update

Explore updates on Constellation Software and RH, including revenue growth, debt in business investments, book discussions, and company growth trajectory. Dive into design galleries expansion, brand introductions in international markets, and Waterworks brand evolution.

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