Today, our focus is on timing. How much of a success or failure is because of timing? To answer that question, I welcome Paul Orlando back to the show. Paul is an expert in the world of startups, having built and operated startup accelerators around the world. He teaches at the University of Southern California in Los Angeles. He is the author of a fascinating new book, Why Now? How Good Timing Makes Great Products. Paul and this conversation will make you think differently about the role of timing in decision-making. You will understand why you never want to be “ahead of your time”, you want to be at the right time. That is driven home by an example that Paul shares at the outset and something that I didn't know about. The first video phone was launched back in 1964. And the reason why it didn't take off is because of timing. This is a fabulous conversation in which Paul shares the myth of first-mover advantage, serendipity, his timing drivers, problem-finding versus problem-solving, AI and timing, and so much more. Show notes: Paul on LinkedIn Why Now – How Good Timing Makes Great Products Startups Unplugged Paul’s previous episode on the podcast YouTube version of the episode _ _ _ _ _ Like what you heard? Subscribe to The Decision-Making Studio Podcast Sign up for our Decision Navigators Course  

  We are changing our name. Why? This tongue-in-cheek Inbetweenisode explains

Today, I am delighted to welcome Alex Edmans to the show. You may have heard of him or you may have come across him. He is a Professor of Finance at London Business School. He was voted professor of the year by Poets and Quants. He is also a prominent speaker and an author, including of his most recent and fabulous book, May Contain Lies -  How Stories, Statistics and Studies Exploit Our Biases.  He joined me to talk about the book. The book is excellent because it emphasises a number of things crucial to good decision-making, including things like why a fact is not data, data is not evidence, and evidence is not proof. Alex shares his work on things like football results and their impact on stock market performance, biases, evaluating research, ESG investing, trade-offs, cognitive diversity, dissenting viewpoints, and much more related to decision-making. Show notes: Alex’s website May Contain Lies – How Stores, Statistics and Studies Exploit Our Biases Alex on football results and stock market sentiment McKinsey’s “Diversity Matters” results revisited by Jeremiah Green and John Hand _ _ _ _ _ Like what you heard? Subscribe to The Decision-Making Studio Podcast Sign up for our Decision Navigators Course Join our Aug 13th Webinar      

In this conversation, Michael Hartley, director of InterKnowlogy, shares his expertise in risk management and data science within the mining and energy sectors. He discusses the challenges of decision-making in complex organizations, emphasizing the importance of critical thinking and effective communication. Hartley critiques the overuse of PowerPoint, suggesting better analysis methods. He also highlights the synergy between AI and human decision-making, advocating for proactive, performance-oriented risk management to foster trust and enhance outcomes.

Monique Borst, a coach and strategist known for redefining modern business leadership, shares insights on emotional mastery and self-awareness essential for effective leadership. She discusses the impact of emotions on decision-making and the necessity of diverse perspectives. Monique also challenges the traditional notions of time management, advocating for managing energy over busyness. With personal anecdotes from her diverse career, she highlights the importance of authenticity and navigating interpersonal dynamics for meaningful connections.

Join Marta Cadavid, a seasoned fraud fighter and partner at No Fraud, as she delves into the fascinating world of fraud and human behavior. Marta discusses her journey from Colombia to her current role, exploring how corporate pressure can lead to unethical choices. She enlightens listeners on using AI to predict criminal behavior and the importance of continuously monitoring employee conduct. With insights on corporate culture, the hidden costs of fraud, and navigating workplace harassment, this conversation is packed with thought-provoking ideas.

Today, I am delighted to be joined by fellow decision-making professional Melina Moleskis. I came across Melina via Christian Hunt, who I've had on the show a couple of times now. Melina and I featured in a two-part series on decision-making in Christian's Human Risk podcast Melina is the founder of Meta Decisions, a consultancy that leverages decision and behavioural science to help people and organizations make better decisions. She has a PhD in managerial science, an MBA from NYU Stern, and a bachelor's degree in mathematics.  And she takes all that training and applies it in very useful and interesting ways. You will hear a lot of that reflected in this wonderful conversation that covered so much interesting ground from: what the decision and behavioural sciences are; the concept of indecisiveness and how to overcome that; dealing with complexity documenting decisions -This is something that is actually quite overlooked at times: “Kill criteria” the state of decision education ·      And we even get into some discussion about sport and its role in decision-making as a microcosm of good decisions. Melina has a great perspective on that because she's also a former competitive basketball player. Show notes: Melina on LinkedIn Melina’s firm Meta Decisions What’s Your Problem by Thomas Wedell-Wedellsborg Adam Grant The Alliance for Decision Education on Keeping a Decision Journal Emotional Agility by Susan David _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ Like what you heard? Subscribe to All Things Risk wherever great podcasts are found: https://thedecisionmaking.studio/podcast Learn more about The Decision-Making Studio

This is Part Two of Two with Fraser Battye of the NHS Strategy Unit. If you haven’t heard Part One, I suggest you give it a listen, although it’s not strictly necessary. This episode is a continuation of the same conversation and covers creativity, uncertainty, cognitive biases and the limits of nudges. Show notes: Fraser Battye on LinkedIn The Strategy Unit Iain McGilchrist's The Master and His Emissary Dave Snowden Isaiah Berlin’s The Fox and The Hedgehog Philip Tetlock “AI and the Rise of Mediocrity” – essay in Time Magazine The Design Council’s Double Diamond Cass Sunstein Liberating Structures Bent Flyvbjerg Angie Hobbs Annie Duke_ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ Like what you heard? Subscribe to All Things Risk wherever great podcasts are found: https://thedecisionmaking.studio/podcast Learn more about The Decision-Making Studio

Fraser Battye from the UK NHS Strategy Unit shares insights on decision-making, ethics, and AI testing in a dynamic conversation. Explore integrating brain hemispheres, treating options as theories, complexity theory, and organizational politics in decision-making processes.

Nuno Reis, a PhD expert in uncertainty and probability, criticizes Bayesian Thinking's dogma in AI models. He relates his experiences in the financial sector during the Global Financial Crisis to current parallels in AI. The podcast covers Bayesian Thinking, uncertainty, philosophy, and running, offering insightful perspectives on embracing uncertainty and creativity.