Street Signals

In this special edition, the podcast focuses on trade ideas for 2024. They discuss minimizing regret in investing, potential yield in a business cycle slowdown, and the outperformance of US tech stocks. It also explores challenges in Canada's mortgage market, trade ideas like shorting JGBs and investing in emerging markets, and the performance change of European industrials. Disclaimer: not investment advice.

2023 has been a most unusual year. Despite significant stress in the US banking system early in the year, an ongoing war in Europe, a new war in the Middle East and gyrations in rate markets, volatility has fallen from last year's highs, back to range lows. This week, we are pleased to welcome our head of Global Markets, Tony Bisegna, to Street Signals to discuss why 2023 seemed more quiet, whether that calm will extend into next year and if the major economies can avoid recession for another year, with outlooks for equities, fixed income and currencies offered along the way.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Despite protests from central banks that the fight against inflation is not yet won, expectations for easing next year are building and being pulled forward. Timing these turns in markets is tough but the moves in rates are coming just as measures of central bank coverage tone, produced by State Street in a partnership with MKT MediaStats, are turning similarly dovish. MediaStats co-founder Gideon Ozik sits down with us to discuss the construction and message from these metrics, as well as how advances in AI are helping to improve the predictive power of large data sets and what the AI revolution means more generally for market analysis.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Guests Michael Metcalfe and Peter Vincent discuss the calmness in currency markets despite ongoing global uncertainties. They explore topics such as cross-country basis, cash holdings, mortgage structures, Eurozone rates, US economy, US election effects, and fiscal sustainability. The podcast also mentions a break announcement and a web portal for research on macroeconomics and markets.

The host discusses the outlook for macro and markets into 2024, including the increasing probability of a US recession and investors' shift to a more cautious approach. It explores the impact of falling inflation on investor behavior, the appeal of safe haven fixed income, and the potential outlook for currencies and equity markets. The chapter also includes a sponsor ad from State Street Bank and Trust Company.

Stock market outlook for year end, vulnerable corners of the market, safety and growth opportunities, impact of high interest rates on equities, shifts in asset allocation, outlook for industrials, financials, and technology sectors, bearish outlook on stock market and preference for tech sector

It's a question increasingly asked in market discussions, especially since the brief period of deficit drama in the UK last year - is the weight of sovereign debt too much for investors to bear? And, if not yet, is there a level of yields at which debt spirals become more likely? Marvin Loh, senior strategist on our team in the US, is back to discuss those questions, as well as to provide guidance on what to expect ahead of an upcoming Federal Reserve meeting.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Markets often struggle to discount geopolitical risk and the response to the extreme violence in the Middle East last week and subsequent escalation of rhetoric seems to be no exception. Relatively benign movements in energy and capital markets thus far perhaps betray a complacency that our guest this week, Elliot Hentov from State Street Global Advisors, believes could be tested. Fragmentation globally and within the US political system make this a particularly fraught period as we look to assess the short- and long-term ramifications of yet another geopolitical flashpoint.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Exploring the factors influencing bond market movements, historic parallels to the 1987 crash, stock-bond correlations and diversification, the stability of inflation expectations, and the value of bond yields and macroeconomics.

The podcast discusses the impact of the Federal Reserve's message on markets and the strengthening of the dollar. They explore the potential problems for riskier currencies and economies. The head of Trading for the Americas shares insights on FX trading dynamics and the current state of US data. They also discuss the potential impact of a hawkish stance on risk and volatility, favorite trades, and promote their podcast Street Sequels.