Resolve Riffs Investment Podcast

In this conversation, we delve into the world of quantitative investing, exploring its intricacies, misconceptions, and the common mistakes people make when trying to apply it. The discussion also sheds light on the importance of asking the right questions and setting up the problem correctly in quant investing.Topics Discussed• The common misconception that a single tool or program can solve all problems in quant investing• The importance of setting up the problem correctly and asking the right questions in quant investing• The challenges of communicating complex quant concepts to laypeople or investment professionals without a background in quantitative methods• The role of intuition and experience in quant investing and how they still hold significant value over calculations• The use of quantitative methods in large institutions and the need for human supervision to prevent unusual or excessively risk-taking actions• The impact of back testing and the importance of incorporating experience into it• The discussion on whether machines can completely take over quant investing and the current limitations• The exploration of arbitrage opportunities in quant investing and how they can be exploited by mid-sized banksThis conversation is a deep dive into the world of quant investing, offering valuable insights into its complexities, the common pitfalls, and the role of human intuition and experience. It's a must-listen for anyone interested in quantitative investing, providing strategies to navigate this complex field.This is “ReSolve’s Riffs” – live on YouTube every Friday afternoon to debate the most relevant investment topics of the day, hosted by Adam Butler, Mike Philbrick and Rodrigo Gordillo of ReSolve Global* and Richard Laterman of ReSolve Asset Management.*ReSolve Global refers to ReSolve Asset Management SEZC (Cayman) which is registered with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission as a commodity trading advisor and commodity pool operator. This registration is administered through the National Futures Association (“NFA”). Further, ReSolve Global is a registered person with the Cayman Islands Monetary Authority.

Prominent figure in the financial industry, Bob Elliott, joins the ReSolve team to discuss monetary policy, inflation, and the role of central banks. They explore topics like the impact of monetary policy on inflation, the risks of long-term elevated inflation, income growth in the current economic cycle, balanced alphas in investment strategies, and the potential of alpha indexing tools. The podcast also covers the ideal weighting of equities, bonds, commodities, and alpha in an investment portfolio, as well as the concept of a diversified portfolio. Valuable insights for anyone interested in understanding the current economic landscape.

In this episode, PJ Pierre, a leading voice in the field of Modern Monetary Theory (MMT), joins the ReSolve team for a deep dive into the complexities and implications of MMT. The conversation explores the role of government in fiscal policy, the impact of deficit spending, and the potential consequences of MMT on the economy.Topics Discussed• The discussion begins with an examination of the conventional belief that government must first collect taxes before spending, and how this view influences perceptions of government solvency and private investment.• The conversation then shifts to the sequence of government spending and taxation, and the implications of a floating exchange system.• PJ Pierre provides an explanation of how the government can issue currency and the potential consequences, such as inflation or a collapse of the currency.• The role of the banking system within the MMT framework is also discussed, highlighting the complexity of this economic model.• The conversation delves into the concept of fiscal dominance and the potential for the Federal Reserve to lose its monetary policy tool for regulation.• The episode concludes with a discussion on the impact of inflation and the role of demographics in economic demand.This episode offers a comprehensive exploration of Modern Monetary Theory, providing valuable insights for anyone interested in understanding the potential implications of MMT on fiscal policy and the economy. PJ Pierre's expertise provides a nuanced perspective on this complex economic model, making this episode a must-listen for those interested in economic theory and policy.This is “ReSolve’s Riffs” – published on YouTube every Friday afternoon to debatethe most relevant investment topics of the day, hosted by Adam Butler, MikePhilbrick and Rodrigo Gordillo of ReSolve Global* and Richard Laterman ofReSolve Asset Management.*ReSolve Global refers to ReSolve Asset Management SEZC (Cayman) which is registeredwith the Commodity Futures Trading Commission as a commodity trading advisorand commodity pool operator. This registration is administered through theNational Futures Association (“NFA”). Further, ReSolve Global is a registeredperson with the Cayman Islands Monetary Authority.

The podcast discusses the importance of a probabilistic approach in financial markets, the dynamics of inflation, investing in regional banks, potential risks and rewards, China's policy support, growth in India, impact of the dollar on the global economy, and the potential for a global order rupture.

The ReSolve Team welcomes Eric Basmajian, founder of EPB Research, and Jeff Weniger, a renowned financial analyst. We delve into the current state of the economy, the potential for a recession, and the role of the banking sector in these dynamics. We also discuss the influence of leading, coincidental and lagging indicators in economic cycles.• Introduction to Eric Basmajian and Jeff Weniger, discussing their backgrounds and influences• Discussion on the potential disparity between equity markets and recession indicators• Exploration of Eric's economic framework and its application to current economic indicators• Insights on the role of bank balance sheets in the economic cycle• Discussion on the impact of the commercial real estate crisis on bank lending• Examination of the contraction in bank credit and its implications for economic growth• Debate on the current state of the economy and the potential for a recession• Discussion on the role of leading, coincidental and lagging indicators in predicting economic cycles• Insights on how different sectors of the economy may experience the impacts of a recession at different times• Discussion on the importance of managing risk in the current economic climateToday’s discussion provides valuable insights into the complexities of the current economic landscape and the potential for a recession. Detailed analysis from Eric Basmajian and Jeff Weniger provides a deeper understanding of the factors influencing the economy and how to navigate these challenging times.This is “ReSolve’s Riffs” – live on YouTube every Friday afternoon to debate the most relevant investment topics of the day, hosted by Adam Butler, Mike Philbrick and Rodrigo Gordillo of ReSolve Global* and Richard Laterman of ReSolve Asset Management.*ReSolve Global refers to ReSolve Asset Management SEZC (Cayman) which is registered with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission as a commodity trading advisor and commodity pool operator. This registration is administered through the National Futures Association (“NFA”). Further, ReSolve Global is a registered person with the Cayman Islands Monetary Authority.

In this episode, Dominique Dwor-Frecaut shares her journey from working in large organizations such as the IMF and the New York Fed to her current role in a startup called Macro Hive. She discusses the culture of meritocracy, openness to ideas, and learning from mistakes that defines Macro Hive, and how it differs from her previous experiences.Topics Discussed• Insight into the culture of meritocracy at Macro Hive and the value of diverse opinions and contributions• Comparison of policy enactment in the US and Europe, with a focus on the influence of cultural undertones• Discussion on the current financial landscape, with strong growth, high but stable inflation and a dovish Fed• Analysis of the impact of lower energy prices on household income, manufacturing and services• Examination of the US fiscal proflicacy and its implication• Discussion on the correlation between energy prices and non-energy inflation• Insights into the Fed's focus on the employment leg of the mandate and its disregard for the inflation leg• Discussion on the potential for a financial crisis due to high levels of debt and the possibility of the Fed tightening prudential rules• Discussion on the potential impact of China's economic situation and the US banking sector crisis on the global economy• Predictions for the future, including the possibility of higher inflation and financial volatilityThis episode provides a deep dive into the complexities of the current financial landscape, the potential risks, and predictions for the future. It's a must-listen for anyone interested in gaining a nuanced understanding of the economic dynamics at play and the potential implications for the future.This is “ReSolve’s Riffs” – live on YouTube every Friday afternoon to debate the most relevant investment topics of the day, hosted by Adam Butler, Mike Philbrick and Rodrigo Gordillo of ReSolve Global* and Richard Laterman of ReSolve Asset Management.*ReSolve Global refers to ReSolve Asset Management SEZC (Cayman) which is registered with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission as a commodity trading advisor and commodity pool operator. This registration is administered through the National Futures Association (“NFA”). Further, ReSolve Global is a registered person with the Cayman Islands Monetary Authority.

In this comprehensive episode, Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO & Chief Strategist for QI Research, joins the discussion to tackle various topics surrounding the Federal Reserve's leadership, monetary policy and the current economic challenges. Key themes covered include:• Jay Powell's leadership and controversies within the Federal Reserve Board • The impact of monetary policies on Wall Street, mortgage rates and unregulated loans, with insights into Powell's motivations and challenges • The multifaceted consequences of the COVID-19 pandemic on the Federal Reserve's policy decisions and potential implications on inflation • The role of central clearing, systemic risk, and technology on the financial market • Explorations into credit easing, inflation battles, and the influence of monetary policy in the treasury market • The Fed's impact on commercial real estate, credit, and the treasury market, along with insights on housing resilience • A deep dive into inflation, quantitative tightening, and how economic indicators affect the treasury market • Discussions on Powell's experiences, interest rate considerations and the influence of fiscal policies on treasury markets and financial engineering • Assessments on data releases, regional banking challenges and wider implications of low-interest rates on the economy • The Fed's interest rate strategies, credit market signals, future of financial regulations and the overall economic outlook This information-packed episode is a must-listen for those keen on understanding the complexities of the Federal Reserve, monetary policy and the evolving economic landscape. Gain valuable insights and expert opinions on how to navigate through these challenging times.This is “ReSolve’s Riffs” – live on YouTube every Friday afternoon to debate the most relevant investment topics of the day, hosted by Adam Butler, Mike Philbrick and Rodrigo Gordillo of ReSolve Global* and Richard Laterman of ReSolve Asset Management Inc*ReSolve Global refers to ReSolve Asset Management SEZC (Cayman) which is registered with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission as a commodity trading advisor and commodity pool operator. This registration is administered through the National Futures Association (“NFA”). Further, ReSolve Global is a registered person with the Cayman Islands Monetary Authority.

Meketa’s Jason J. Josephiac, Senior Vice President / Research Consultant, and Ryan Lobdell, Managing Principal / Consultant, joined Adam and Rod to discuss their new white paper. They discuss key strategies and insights for managing risk and allocating assets in today's challenging investment environment, covering a wide range of topics, such as: • The importance of comprehensive risk management and portfolio allocation strategies in diversifying investments • Innovative Investment approaches and trends in risk mitigation, particularly as they relate to endowment and LDI models • Balancing risk and return in investment portfolios through diversification and manager selection • Asset allocation techniques for maximizing returns while maintaining liquidity and capital efficiency • Manager selection and risk mitigation strategies in diverse investment environments, highlighting leverage and portable alpha • Optimizing the selection and allocation of private investments to achieve a more efficient and effective portfolio • Diversification and risk mitigation strategies for endowment portfolios, focusing on achieving a balanced allocation • Navigating inflation, risk management, and alternative investment strategies in 2021-2022 with insights from experienced consultants • Creating balanced portfolios and implementing effective risk management strategies, featuring diverse investment approaches • The role of real estate, private markets, and evolving asset allocation ideas in navigating economic uncertainties This comprehensive resource is a must-read for anyone interested in understanding the complexities of risk management and asset allocation in today's challenging investment landscape. Get expert insights on diversification, portfolio management, manager selection, and risk mitigation strategies to optimize your investment outcomes. *ReSolve Global refers to ReSolve Asset Management SEZC (Cayman) which is registered with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission as a commodity trading advisor and commodity pool operator. This registration is administered through the National Futures Association (“NFA”). Further, ReSolve Global is a registered person with the Cayman Islands Monetary Authority.

In this episode, the ReSolve team is joined by Darius Dale, Founder and CEO of 42 Macro, to discuss the importance of macro indicators and strategies for navigating uncertain times in the financial markets. He covers a vast array of topics, including: • The role of macro indicators in understanding market cycles and making informed investment decisions • The Weather model as a risk management tool, focusing on 10 principal components of macro • The impact of institutional investors on Bitcoin's future and the potential for significant value increase • The complexities of the dollar outlook and the factors influencing its performance • The rising probability of a risk-off event and the importance of monitoring cross asset correction risk indicators • The challenges faced by the Federal Reserve in managing inflation and the implications for the bond market and employment mandate This episode is a must-listen for anyone interested in macro indicators, market cycles, and strategies for navigating uncertain financial times. Gain valuable insights and tactics to better understand the complexities of the financial landscape and make well-informed investment decisions. This is “ReSolve Riffs” – live on YouTube Friday afternoon to debate the most relevant investment topics of the day, hosted by Adam Butler, Mike Philbrick, and Rodrigo Gordillo of ReSolve Global* and Richard Laterman of ReSolve Asset Management Inc. *ReSolve Global refers to ReSolve Asset Management SEZC (Cayman) which is registered with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission as a commodity trading advisor and commodity pool operator. This registration is administered through the National Futures Association ("NFA"). Further, ReSolve Global is a registered person with the Cayman Islands Monetary Authority.

In this episode, the ReSolve team is joined by Alfonso Peccatiello, a macro strategist and the creator of the popular Twitter account @MacroAlf, to discuss liquidity, the global macro landscape, and the implications for investors. We delve into various topics, including • The impact of demographics and debt on economic growth and the challenges faced by countries in maintaining living standards •The significance of the Global Liquidity Index in understanding rapid changes in equity market behavior •The orthogonal approach to the traditional All Weather framework, focusing on credit-oriented growth measures and policymaker stances on inflation •The Forever Portfolio allocation and the importance of adjusting it using macro analysis to apply tilts based on the current macro cycle •The labor market dynamics reflecting a bifurcation due to the lag in the dispersion of the $5 trillion capital injection into the economy •The potential impact of US fiscal deficits on nominal growth over the next decade, influenced by demographics, private sector leverage, and productivity growth   This is “ReSolve’s Riffs” – live on YouTube every Friday afternoon to debate the most relevant investment topics of the day, hosted by Adam Butler, Mike Philbrick and Rodrigo Gordillo of ReSolve Global* and Richard Laterman of ReSolve Asset Management.   *ReSolve Global refers to ReSolve Asset Management SEZC (Cayman) which is registered with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission as a commodity trading advisor and commodity pool operator. This registration is administered through the National Futures Association (“NFA”). Further, ReSolve Global is a registered person with the Cayman Islands Monetary Authority.