FICC Focus

The nearly 15% euro-dollar rally in 1H was fueled largely by dollar weakness and a potentially bullish cyclical case for the euro — especially expectations for a supportive fiscal and monetary policy mix — which may continue to support the outlook into 2H. Bloomberg Intelligence’s Chief G10 FX Strategist Audrey Childe-Freeman talks to Constantin Bolz, head of G10 FX for UBS’ Chief Investment Office, about how evolving euro-area and US fiscal and monetary policy may help euro-dollar strength into 2H and beyond, depending on how the US economic story plays out. They also discuss the de-dollarization trend and how the SNB could address the challenge of an appreciating franc.

There will almost certainly be some stress later this year in funding markets, but it might fall short of the level required for the Federal Reserve to step in, Will Hoffman, Bloomberg Intelligence senior associate for US and Canadian rates strategy, says on this Macro Matters edition of the FICC Focus podcast series. Hoffman is joined by co-host Ira Jersey, chief US rates strategist, to discuss the recently announced potential changes to Basel capital rules, such as the enhanced supplementary leverage ratio (ESLR). After discussing what it means (or doesn’t mean) for Treasury markets, the pair unpack the biggest topics in the world of money funds, including the potential for stablecoin growth and tokenized money fund adoption driving net demand for T-bills. They also dive into the debt-ceiling unwind — covering T-bill net issuance patterns and the potential disruption to repo markets. The Macro Matters podcast is part of BI’s FICC Focus series. 

Bryan High, Head of Barings’ Global Private Finance Group, shares insights from his 18 years in the industry. He discusses the global investment landscape, highlighting how clients are looking beyond North America for opportunities. High emphasizes the shift from traditional lending to innovative private credit solutions, the importance of effective leverage, and the potential of niche asset classes. He also dives into assessing non-cash flow companies and the complexities of investing in life sciences, stressing the need for collaboration and adaptability in uncertain markets.

The Federal Reserve may cut faster and to a lower interest rate then the market is pricing, Bloomberg Intelligence Chief US Interest Rate Strategist Ira Jersey says on this Macro Matters edition of the FICC Focus podcast series. Jersey flies solo on this episode, discussing his takeaways from the June FOMC meeting, his view on the timing and pace of rate cuts and what it would mean for the Treasury yield curve.

As cross-asset volatility resets following peak tariff fear, the geopolitical risk premium in the oil options market has moved higher. In this edition of the All Options Considered podcast, Bloomberg Intelligence’s Chief Global Derivatives Strategist Tanvir Sandhu is joined by Matt King, founder of Satori Insights, to discuss the impact of changes in central-bank reserves, liquidity and flows on markets.

“We are sourcing, identifying misunderstood, high-quality middle-market companies where we have a real edge...,” said Sandor Hau, Managing Director & President, Credit, at Charlesbank, who oversees the company’s opportunistic credit investment team. Hau joined Bloomberg Intelligence’s Noel Hebert on the latest episode of the Credit Crunch podcast to discuss cutting teeth on the ground in the Asian financial crisis, missing out on the dot.com boom, a private equity approach to credit investing and tradeoffs between primary- and secondary-market investments. He also spoke about valuing heritage, leveraging learnings across the firm and portfolio companies and much more. The Credit Crunch podcast is part of BI’s FICC Focus series.

Sentiment is improving across the emerging-market investment landscape, but it takes local expertise to manage risk and crystallize returns. Thea Jamison, Founder and Managing Director of Change Global Investment, joins Bloomberg Intelligence Chief Emerging Markets Credit Strategist Damian Sassower to break down the opportunities and risks facing emerging-market equity practitioners across the globe. Jamison and Sassower touch on performance dispersion, market catalysts and idiosyncratic opportunities across a broad range of EM countries, from Greece and Poland to Nigeria and Vietnam. The EM Lens podcast is part of BI’s FICC Focus series.

David Geenberg, the Head of North American Corporate Investment for Strategic Value Partners, shares insights on distressed debt and investment strategies. He emphasizes the importance of exit strategies and thoughtful assessments before making deals. The discussion also highlights the challenges of smaller companies facing bankruptcy and the innovative approaches SVP employs to blend credit investment with operational management. Additionally, Geenberg assesses the evolving landscape post-COVID and its implications for liability management in the credit market.

This week we’re talking economics and finances of the world’s game with professor, author and podcaster Kieran Maguire of University of Liverpool. (We apologize in advance for those who thought this show was about gridiron football, but with the Club World Cup beginning June 14, we thought it would be interesting to discuss football/soccer finance and some economic implications of the 2026 World Cup in North America.) Maguire joins Macro Matters podcast host Ira Jersey, Bloomberg Intelligence’s chief US rates strategist, and Business of Sports co-host and EM Lens host Damian Sassower, BI’s chief emerging market fixed income strategist. The group discusses football club valuations, the economic benefits (or pitfalls) of hosting the World Cup, and how clubs used debt to finance player transfers and club operations. The Macro Matters podcast is part of BI’s FICC Focus series.

Craig Scordellis, CIO of Credit at CQS UK, brings his expertise in managing $15 billion in credit to discuss the evolving landscape of alternative credit and leveraged finance. He and Mahesh Bhimalingam delve into how recent tariff changes influence global inflation and currency dynamics. They explore credit market risks, the impact of central bank policies, and provide insights on default predictions for Europe and the US. Their conversation highlights emerging investment opportunities despite the prevailing financial challenges.