Top Traders Unplugged

Global macro expert Cem Karsan and Alan Dunne delve into market volatility, options trading strategies, wealth effect, elections impact, and global implications of the US election. They discuss the market microstructure, volatility dynamics, market breadth, potential market decline post-August, and trading strategies amidst increasing volatility.

Claudia Sahm, Chief Economist at New Century Advisors, discusses the vulnerability of the economy to recession. They analyze conflicting macroeconomic data, the decline in inflation, and the shift towards active fiscal policies. They also explore the implications of debt sustainability for the next US administration.

Nick Baltas discusses CTAs' negative crisis beta and hidden market timing skills with Alan Dunne. They explore trend-following programs, volatility levels, constructing carry strategies, and the impact of equity exposure in crisis situations. The podcast delves into market timing, downside protection, and optimizing portfolio design with trend following and carry strategies.

Retired General Robert Spalding discusses China's strategies for global dominance in 'War Without Rules.' The conversation covers warning signs, countering CCP tactics, and essential insights for policymakers and investors. Topics include evolving warfare tactics, CCP influence through TikTok, preserving democracy, defining red lines in modern warfare, and navigating conflicts with China.

Expert Rob Carver discusses buying put options for tail risk, trend following, carry strategies, and the impact of the U.S. election on the economy. He shares skepticism about AI hype, challenges of fee setting, and investor preferences for high-fee managers. The podcast explores the risks and liabilities of AI in asset management, the complexities of performance fees, and the importance of transparency and caution in utilizing AI tools.

Guests Michael Neubauer & Joseph Waldstein from SMN Investment Services discuss their 28-year track record in trend following. They cover trading many different markets, including synthetic and exotic markets. They explain their unique approach to trading VIX futures and why they monitor this market hourly for potential exits.

Expert in trend following strategies, Richard Brennan, discusses finding optimal trend rules, market regimes, Markov models, and AI's impact on trading competitiveness. Topics include industry performance updates, using ATR for position sizing, optimizing rules in different market regimes, skepticism in fund performance, and exploring future trend episodes.

Award-winning writer Charles Duhigg shares insights on effective communication, highlighting the importance of asking deep questions, understanding multiple identities, and building unity. He discusses creating meaningful conversations between different groups and the power of communication in fostering connections. Includes examples of using soccer to unite communities and navigating communication rules in the digital age.

Financial expert Andrew Beer discusses inflation, macroeconomic modeling, and trend following strategies. Topics include the existential crisis in modeling, trend followers as short sellers, dealing with replication model lag effect, sharing the trend following pie, money as packed anxiety, ETF industry positivity injection, and managed futures space stalling.

Bob Elliott, founder of Unlimited Funds and former right-hand man of Ray Dalio, discusses income-led economic expansion in the US, mispricing in interest rate term-structure, inflation's impact on Fed policy, global macro issues in China and Europe. Cem shares his 2024 outlook. Diversification, systematic macro understanding, navigating economic shifts, enhancing portfolio performance, global exchange rates, market factors, and political influence on investments are key topics.