The Missing Middle with Mike Moffatt and Sabrina Maddeaux

In this episode, conservative pundit Sabrina and economist Mike Moffatt speak with David Coletto, CEO of Abacus Data, to explore the evolving landscape of Canadian election polling. They discuss the impact of recent policy changes, particularly the carbon tax, on voter sentiment and the shifting dynamics of affordability issues. The conversation delves into the trends among young voters, particularly young men, and the gender dynamics influencing voting behavior. The discussion also highlights the scarcity mindset surrounding housing and the rising favorability of Mark Carney as a political figure. Chapters00:00 Introduction, David Coletto01:12 Who gets credit for axing the tax?04:34 What happened to the affordability issue?07:20 Young voters, trends and influences11:41 Gender dynamics in voting behavior13:25 Scarcity mindset and housing concerns16:11 Rise of Liberals or collapse of the NDP?17:28 Canadian national unity18:50 Mark Carney's rising favorability22:02 Expectations and the bandwagon effect24:17 Reflections on a pivotal electionThree numbers tell the story of the election this week, and none of them looks good for PoilievreWhy Are Young Men Shifting Right? A Trend I’ve Been Tracking for a While"Carbon Tax Carney" gets the credit for axing the tax‘It’s not over’: Two pollsters explain how Mark Carney pulled ahead — and why he shouldn’t get too comfortableAbacus Data Poll: Liberals lead by 4PolymarketGuest:David Colettohttps://abacusdata.ca/team/david-coletto/https://davidcoletto.substack.com/Hosts: Sabrina Maddeaux https://x.com/SabrinaMaddeaux Mike Moffatt https://twitter.com/MikePMoffatt https://bsky.app/profile/mikepmoffatt.bsky.socialProducer: Meredith Martin https://twitter.com/meredithmartin https://bsky.app/profile/meredithmartin.bsky.social, https://www.linkedin.com/in/meredith-martin-21108165/This podcast is funded by the Neptis Foundation https://neptis.org/Brought to you by the Missing Middle Initiative https://www.missingmiddleinitiative.ca/Hosted by Mike Moffatt & Cara Stern & Sabrina Maddeaux Produced by Meredith Martin This podcast is funded by the Neptis Foundation and brought to you by the Smart Prosperity Institute.

Housing advocate Eric Lombardi, founder of More Neighbors Toronto, shares his insights on the flawed community consultation processes in Toronto. He argues that these practices often exclude diverse voices, favoring affluent homeowners. Lombardi highlights the need for more proactive engagement and calls for reforms to streamline consultations to empower all citizens. Topics include the implications of property rights, bureaucratic obstacles in housing development, and the role of provincial and federal governments in addressing the housing crisis.

The podcast dives into the housing crisis in Canada, revealing its hidden implications for national security. It highlights how soaring rents stifle economic mobility and drive talent away to the U.S. Young Canadians express deep discontent, feeling abandoned by their country amidst rising living costs and declining happiness. The conversation urges a revamp of housing policies, emphasizing the need for a strategic approach that can secure a brighter future for the younger generation.

A gripping discussion unfolds around Canada's new immigration policies and their surprising effects on the housing market. The hosts tackle how reduced immigration targets may worsen housing prices and rents. They express skepticism about the government's ability to achieve these targets, especially with the complexities of regional housing demands. Insights into forecasting housing needs reveal alarming gaps, while political implications surface as young voters voice concerns over affordable homes. It's a heated exploration of immigration, housing, and the politics that bind them.

In a dynamic discussion, the evolving Canadian political polling landscape takes center stage, influenced by pivotal events like Trudeau's exit and Trump's legacy. Demographic shifts reveal a surprising rise in support for the Liberal Party among older voters, while the NDP faces significant challenges. The concept of a precarity mindset emerges as a key theme, reflecting voters' desires for stability. Lastly, the complexities of regional politics in Quebec and predictions for voter turnout set the backdrop for the upcoming federal election.

A deep dive into the widening wage gap between American and Canadian workers reveals alarming trends for young Canadians. The hosts discuss the surge in emigration, particularly among tech talent, and analyze how high housing costs impact wages. They highlight the role of productivity and propose policy changes to address these economic imbalances. Concerns about brain drain are discussed, with a focus on attracting skilled professionals to ensure future growth. Remote work's influence on salary trends also makes for an intriguing conversation.

This conversation dives into the ambitious plans for a high-speed rail connecting major Canadian cities. Experts analyze political motivations behind the chosen routes and the challenges that have historically plagued transit in Canada. They contrast the Canadian approach with Europe's successful rail systems, highlighting critical lessons to be learned. The dialogue also navigates the political landscape's impact on infrastructure decisions, emphasizing the necessity for strategic governance and bold investment to make high-speed rail a reality.

In this conversation, conservative pundit Sabrina Maddeaux, economist Mike Moffatt and producer Meredith Martin discuss the Ontario election, focusing on predictions regarding Doug Ford's (potential) majority win and the lack of competition from opposition parties. They delve into the housing crisis, exploring why it hasn't resonated with voters and the barriers preventing Millennials from engaging in politics. The discussion highlights the impact of economic challenges on political participation and the need for addressing housing issues to foster broader political engagement.Chapters00:00 Introduction00:51 Ontario Election Predictions02:06 Why the housing crisis isn’t resonating with voters05:23 Millennial political participation09:25 High rent as a barrier to political engagement 10:01 Political salaries aren’t rising with inflation Hosted by Mike Moffatt & Cara Stern & Sabrina Maddeaux Produced by Meredith Martin This podcast is funded by the Neptis Foundation and brought to you by the Smart Prosperity Institute.

A deep dive into the federal Liberal leadership race reveals the contenders' stances on the housing crisis. Mark Carney’s vague promises, Chrystia Freeland's tax cuts for first-time buyers, and Karina Gould's generational vision come under scrutiny. The hosts discuss the disconnect between political agendas and the urgent needs of young Canadians. They emphasize the importance of tailored housing policies linking immigration and home affordability while predicting the race's outcome amidst a changing political landscape.

Uncover the mystery of Ontario's $10 billion in unspent infrastructure funds. The discussion highlights how development charges are driving housing prices up, particularly affecting young potential homeowners. Explore the political dynamics at play as municipalities sit on vast reserves while struggling with timely investments. Misleading claims about rising charges spark debate, revealing a stark disconnect between intent and reality. As public awareness grows, the pressure mounts for change in municipal policies impacting housing affordability.