The Missing Middle with Mike Moffatt and Sabrina Maddeaux Eastbound and Outpriced: The Great GTA Family Migration
Oct 8, 2025
Ontario's family housing crisis is forcing young families to migrate from the GTA, altering regions like Peterborough and Ottawa. The hosts discuss the impact of ground-oriented homes and how the GTA's housing shortage ripples outward. Demographic shifts since 2016 have strained housing markets, while municipalities struggle to keep pace with rising populations. The discussion highlights migration patterns, the future needs for family-friendly homes, and necessary policy reforms for Eastern Ontario. Personal reflections on the decision to move add a relatable touch.
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Ground-Oriented Homes Drive Family Choices
- Ontario's housing shortage is concentrated in ground-oriented ownership homes like townhouses and multiplexes.
- Families prefer these over high-rise apartments, driving migration patterns out of the GTA.
GTA Shortage Created A Ripple Effect
- The GTA exported its family housing shortage to southern and eastern Ontario through out-migration.
- Smaller cities saw rising demand for ground-oriented homes while apartments largely kept pace.
Population Surge Exposed Planning Limits
- Ontario's population growth roughly doubled around 2015, driven by immigration and international students.
- Municipal planning systems were not flexible enough to respond quickly to that sudden growth.