Peter Turchin
Complexity scientist and author specializing in cliodynamics and structural-demographic analysis of societal instability; project leader at the Complexity Science Hub in Vienna and author of End Times.
Best podcasts with Peter Turchin
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25 snips
Dec 11, 2025 • 51min
#1187 Peter Turchin: The Collapse of Complex Societies, Elite Overproduction, and Social Unrest
In this discussion, Peter Turchin, a complexity scientist and author, explores the dynamics behind the rise and fall of complex societies. He delves into the concept of elite overproduction and its link to social unrest, providing insights into rising inequality and its historical context. Turchin also forecasts potential political upheavals in the 2020s and examines the revolutionary movements, particularly the MAGA phenomenon, as a counter-elite response. He suggests reforms for nonviolent resolution of political conflict, drawing lessons from past redistribution efforts.
12 snips
Oct 28, 2025 • 1h 3min
Is Violent Societal Unrest Now Inevitable? | Peter Turchin
Peter Turchin, a complexity scientist and author, explores societal instability and its implications. With insights from his book End Times, he discusses the structural factors leading to unrest, including elite overproduction and economic disparities. Turchin shares his 2010 crisis forecast, comparing the U.S. and France in terms of social protections and crisis risks. He emphasizes the importance of addressing the 'wealth pump' through policy changes to mitigate impending societal turmoil.
