Katja Grace is a researcher and writer. She runs AI Impacts, a research project trying to incrementally answer decision-relevant questions about the future of artificial intelligence (AI). Katja blogs primarily at worldspiritsockpuppet, and indirectly at Meteuphoric, Worldly Positions, LessWrong and the EA Forum. We discuss: What is AI Impacts working on? Counterarguments to the basic AI x-risk case Reasons to doubt that superhuman AI systems will be strongly goal-directed Reasons to doubt that if goal-directed superhuman AI systems are built, their goals will be bad by human lights Aren't deep learning systems fairly good at understanding our 'true' intentions? Reasons to doubt that (misaligned) superhuman AI would overpower humanity The case for slowing down AI Is AI really an arms race? Are there examples from history of valuable technologies being limited or slowed down? What does Katja think about the recent open letter on pausing giant AI experiments? Why read George Saunders? Key links: World Spirit Sock Puppet (Katja's main blog) Counterarguments to the basic AI x-risk case Let's think about slowing down AI We don't trade with ants Thank You, Esther Forbes (George Saunders) You can see more links and a full transcript at hearthisidea.com/episodes/grace.

Katja Grace, an AI Impacts researcher, dives into the potential perils of advanced AI and the alignment problem. She discusses the skepticism around AI doom scenarios, weighing the real risks against the ineptitude of current systems. The conversation explores AI autonomy, ethical dilemmas with corporate AI use, and the potential societal impact of Universal Basic Income. Grace emphasizes the importance of transparency and ethical considerations as humanity navigates the uncertain terrain of increasingly capable, yet unpredictable, AI technologies.

Surveying over 2,700 AI researchers on the industry's future with Katja Grace of AI Impacts. Topics include differing perspectives on AI risks and advancements, uncertainties in AI safety, methodology of the survey, definitions of high-level machine intelligence and full automation of labor, challenges in data collection, disagreement among researchers on future milestones, uncertainties in AI impacts on society, and the importance of public perception in shaping AI policies.

Katja Grace from AI Impacts discusses AI researchers' revised timelines, with views on AGI risks and benefits. Survey methodology, response rates, and concerns about AI-induced human extinction. Exploring evolving perspectives in AI, varying opinions on AGI progress speed and risks. Emphasizing AI safety research, potential impacts on society, and the need for informed policy decisions.

Katja Grace, researcher and blogger from AI Impacts, discusses the 2023 survey on AI progress showing a shorter time expected for human-level AI. They explore AGI vs superintelligence, job automation, GPT writing styles, and risks of advanced AI surpassing human intelligence and the need for caution in AI development.