If you think interest rates seem high right now, you might be operating with too short of a perspective. For a longer-term perspective, you'd want to talk to someone like Jim Grant. On this episode of the Odd Lots podcast, the founder and editor of Grant's Interest Rate Observer and a long-time financial commentator talks to us about why we're at the beginning of a longer-term trend of higher rates that could last decades. He argues that investors will struggle to shake off years of "buy the dip" behavior, a ZIRP mentality, and a misplaced faith in the Federal Reserve. We also discuss what it means for market behavior today.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

IN THIS EPISODE, YOU’LL LEARN: 18:35 - How the Great Inflation of 1965-81 shaped Jim Grant’s views on our current predicament. 25:31 - How history shows us that human behavior around money has never really changed.  30:50 - Why it’s futile to forecast interest rates, but wise to know what’s happened in the past. 42:53 - How the Federal Reserve sparked rampant inflation, why it’s scary, & how to deal with it. 55:16 - How central bankers illustrate the perils of overconfidence & the need for humility. 1:03:20 - How the Fed could wreck the U.S. economy while attempting to tame inflation.  1:07:01 - What investment opportunities Jim sees in this high-risk economic environment. 1:10:43 - Why he’s bearish on bonds as a 40-year cycle of falling interest rates comes to an end. 1:19:40 - Why Jim likes gold, not Bitcoin, as a protection against financial chaos & monetary folly. 1:35:07 - Why he adamantly refuses to invest in China. 1:28:47 - What Jim thinks of great investors like Seth Klarman, Paul Tudor Jones, & Bill Miller. 1:36:14 - How to handle the emotional challenge of investing when the stock market is tumbling. 1:40:57 - What we can learn from Bernard Baruch, one of the best investors of the 20th century. 1:44:22 - What you can learn from a classic investment book about the secret of “dying rich.” 1:53:10 - What Jim regards as “the most precious commodity” in life. *Disclaimer: Slight timestamp discrepancies may occur due to podcast platform differences.BOOKS AND RESOURCES Join the exclusive TIP Mastermind Community to engage in meaningful stock investing discussions with Stig, Clay, and the other community members. Jim Grant’s website for Grant’s Interest Rate Observer. Subscribe to Almost Daily Grant’s, a free (almost) daily commentary on financial markets. Grant’s Current Yield Podcast, which is co-hosted by Jim & his colleague Evan Lorenz. Jim’s annual investment conference in New York City. Jim’s book Bernard M. Baruch: The Adventures of a Wall Street Legend. Jim’s book Bagehot: The Life and Times of the Greatest Victorian. Jim’s investment recommendation, Palm Valley Capital Value Fund. William Green interviews Bill Miller about Bitcoin on the “Richer, Wiser, Happier” podcast. William Green’s book, “Richer, Wiser, Happier” – read the reviews of this book. William Green’s Twitter. NEW TO THE SHOW? Check out our We Study Billionaires Starter Packs. Browse through all our episodes (complete with transcripts) here. Try our tool for picking stock winners and managing our portfolios: TIP Finance Tool. Enjoy exclusive perks from our favorite Apps and Services. Stay up-to-date on financial markets and investing strategies through our daily newsletter, We Study Markets. Learn how to better start, manage, and grow your business with the best business podcasts.  SPONSORSSupport our free podcast by supporting our sponsors: River Toyota Sun Life The Bitcoin Way Meyka Sound Advisory Industrious Range Rover iFlex Stretch Studios Briggs & Riley Public American Express USPS Shopify Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fmSupport our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fmSupport our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fmSupport our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fmSupport our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fmSupport our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fmSupport our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fmSupport our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fmSupport our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoicesSupport our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm

Financial expert Jim Grant joins the hosts to discuss the rise of private credit post-2008 crisis, its $1.7 trillion industry size, and lack of traceability. They analyze risks in unregulated lending, potential spillover effects, and the public interest implications. The conversation emphasizes the need for transparency, regulation, and honesty in private credit markets to protect investors and the financial system.

Industry legend Jim Grant discusses the soft landing, Fed pivot, and challenges faced by the Federal Reserve. Topics include the impact of inflation, gold standard, Bitcoin dynamics, and mispriced assets in the market. The conversation also explores innovative payout structures in private equity and the need for reevaluating valuation methods in investing.

Jim Grant, founder of Grant's Interest Rate Observer, dives into America’s economic future through the lens of the 'America First' agenda. He compares the current political landscape to past eras, especially in light of the upcoming elections. Grant discusses the implications of ongoing wars in Eastern Europe and the Middle East, emphasizing overlooked risks. He further analyzes Trump's proposed policies including spending, tariffs, and energy strategy, offering insights into what a potential second term might entail for the U.S. economy.