Jay Barry

In this episode, Jay Barry, head of global rates strategy at JPMorgan Securities, dives into the pressing selloff in government bonds worldwide. He explains how US, UK, and Japan bond yields are hitting multi-year highs. Jay unpacks the complexities of term premiums and discusses the impact of recent Federal Reserve policies on market dynamics. He also shares insights on how various economic indicators and fiscal strategies influence investor sentiments, while offering forecasts on the future of the treasury market.

Jay Barry, Co-head of US interest rate strategy at JPMorgan Chase, dives into the recent turmoil in bond markets. He explains how soaring yields on US Treasuries are influenced by economic growth expectations, inflation, and the Federal Reserve's outlook. Barry discusses the complex interplay of supply and demand, and the crucial impact of term premium on investor behavior. As sentiments shift among investors, he sheds light on the awakening of bond vigilantes and what this means for the future of U.S. debt.

Fabio Bassi, Head of Cross-Asset Strategy at J.P. Morgan, and Jay Barry, Head of Global Rates Strategy, delve into the current economic landscape. They discuss the enduring uncertainties shaping the market, including trade tensions and fiscal policies. The impact of rising U.S. tariffs on global growth and inflation is analyzed, alongside the resilience of corporate markets. Additionally, they explore the outlook for emerging markets amid geopolitical risks and the stabilization of oil prices, highlighting investor opportunities and challenges for the second half of 2025.

Jay Barry, Head of Global Rates Strategy at JPMorgan, shares insights on the rising term premiums in government bond markets. He delves into how the changing fiscal landscape and tax legislation impact U.S. deficits and the dollar's strength. The discussion also touches on increasing tariff risks and their potential harm to the Eurozone's growth. Barry highlights the surprising resilience of the euro-dollar exchange rate amid market fluctuations, offering a fascinating look at the interplay between fiscal policy and currency stability.

Jay Barry is the Head of Global Rates Strategy at J.P. Morgan, while Srini Ramaswamy leads their Global Interest Rate Derivatives Strategy. They delve into the recent historic volatility in US rates markets, spurred by tariff impacts and liquidity concerns. The duo discusses the surprising stability in cash/futures basis despite declining overall market liquidity. They unravel complexities in swap spreads and analyze the unexpected drop in core CPI, exploring how these trends could influence future economic risks and Federal Reserve actions.