Ege Erdil

Ege Erdil, a senior researcher at Epoch AI, dives deep into the fascinating realm of AI development and the new GATE model. He explores how evolution and brain efficiency shape our understanding of AGI requirements. Ege discusses the economic impacts of AI on labor markets and wages, highlighting which jobs are most vulnerable to automation. The conversation also touches on Moravec’s Paradox and the challenges of training complex AI models with long-term planning capabilities, emphasizing the uncertainty surrounding AI timelines and future advancements.

Ajeya Cotra, Daniel Kokotajlo, and Ege Erdil, researchers in the field of AI, discuss their varying estimates for the development of transformative AI and explore their disagreements. They delve into concrete AGI milestones, discuss the challenges of LLM product development, and debate factors that influence AI timelines. They also examine the progression of AI models, the potential of AI technology, and the timeline for achieving super intelligent AGI.