Ajeya Cotra, Daniel Kokotajlo, and Ege Erdil, researchers in the field of AI, discuss their varying estimates for the development of transformative AI and explore their disagreements. They delve into concrete AGI milestones, discuss the challenges of LLM product development, and debate factors that influence AI timelines. They also examine the progression of AI models, the potential of AI technology, and the timeline for achieving super intelligent AGI.