
Dan Gardner
New York Times best-selling author and senior fellow at the University of Ottawa. Expert in risk perception psychology and the art and science of prediction.
Top 3 podcasts with Dan Gardner
Ranked by the Snipd community

10 snips
Sep 4, 2024 • 42min
85. Dan Gardner (part one) - superforecasting and fat tail risks
Dan Gardner is an international best-selling author known for his insights on forecasting and decision-making. He discusses the essence of probabilistic thinking and how it can empower board members. Gardner emphasizes the importance of epistemic humility, warning against the pitfalls of past successes and the common underestimation of luck. He also explores strategies for effective feedback on decisions and assessing a prospective member's judgment. Additionally, he highlights the significance of using real-world data to navigate budgeting challenges.

4 snips
Sep 11, 2024 • 41min
86. Dan Gardner (part two) - how boards get big things done
Dan Gardner, an international best-selling author known for his works on risk and organizational effectiveness, shares insights on making boards more effective. He discusses how modular thinking, akin to LEGO construction, can enhance project success. Gardner emphasizes the need to prioritize climate risk in board agendas and contrasts the roles of intuition and analytical thinking in decision-making. He also explores the psychological effects of heuristics on risk perception and highlights the importance of maintaining intellectual humility in governance.

Oct 26, 2023 • 47min
How You Can Predict The Future Better Than World-Famous Experts - The Art & Science of Risk with Dan Gardner
In this episode, Dan Gardner, an expert on risk assessment, discusses the radical mismatch between intuitive risk perception and actual risks. He highlights the study of 20,000 forecasts, the concept of superforecasters, and how they outperform experts and algorithms. Gardner emphasizes the importance of critical thinking, probabilistic thinking, and intellectual humility in making accurate predictions and reducing major dangers in life.