
Alex Kirshner
Contributing writer and reporter who discusses prediction markets and recent events involving Venezuela, providing analysis and examples throughout the episode.
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Jan 9, 2026 • 24min
What Next: TBD | Tech, power, and the future - Betting on Venezuela
In this discussion, Alex Kirshner, a contributing writer at Slate, delves into the intriguing world of prediction markets. He shares a captivating story about an anonymous individual who made a staggering $400,000 by betting on the fall of Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro. The conversation touches on the legal gray areas surrounding these markets, the challenges of insider trading regulations, and how market behaviors can mislead public perception. Kirshner also discusses why lawmakers often overlook these platforms and the need for regulatory improvements.

Jan 9, 2026 • 24min
Betting on Venezuela
In this engaging discussion, Alex Kirshner, a contributing writer and expert on media and prediction markets, dives into the intriguing saga of betting on Venezuelan politics. He reveals how an anonymous trader made a staggering profit by anticipating Nicolás Maduro's ouster. The conversation explores the implications of prediction markets, including the blurred lines of insider trading, how these platforms shape political narratives, and the potential for corruption. Kirshner also advocates for necessary regulatory guardrails to address these challenges.


