Alec Phillips

Alec Phillips, Chief US political economist at Goldman Sachs Research, dives into the implications of the U.S. government shutdown on the economy. He discusses how this shutdown differs from past ones, particularly due to the current political climate. Alec analyzes who bears the brunt of the blame, potential duration based on key financial triggers, and quantifies the economic costs, including impacts on GDP. He also addresses market reactions and the Fed's likely responses amidst data gaps, providing insights on the risks of frequent shutdowns.

Alec Phillips, Goldman Sachs' chief political economist, teams up with Kamakshya Trivedi, head of Global Foreign Exchange and Emerging Markets Strategy, to dissect the current tariff landscape. They explore whether we're on the brink of a global trade war and its implications for markets and economies. The duo discusses how rapidly implemented tariffs could affect inflation, economic growth, and investor strategies. They also shed light on the interconnectedness of trade policies, and the uncertainty surrounding future negotiations. Brace for insights that matter!

Alec Phillips, Chief US political economist with Goldman Sachs Research, offers keen insights into the recent US trade court ruling that has cast doubt on President Trump's tariffs. He discusses the implications of this legal decision for trade policy, exploring its potential to reshape economic landscapes and investor strategies. The conversation also delves into the complexities of ongoing trade negotiations and the uncertain fiscal impacts stemming from tariff adjustments, leaving listeners with a thought-provoking view on the future of US trade relations.

In this episode, Stephen Kaplan, associate professor at George Washington University, Alec Phillips, Goldman Sachs Research’s chief political economist, and David Beers, former head of sovereign credit ratings at S&P, who oversaw the rating agency’s U.S. credit rating downgrade in 2011, dig into the history and mechanics of the U.S. debt limit and explore whether the repeated brinkmanship around raising the debt limit could undermine the value of U.S. assets.  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Goldman Sachs' Joe Wall and Alec Phillips discuss the implications of the US presidential elections on policies and markets, including analyzing potential threats to Trump's nomination, exploring the impact of Trump's legal cases, key issues for voters, election year market dynamics, and potential volatility.