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Lead-Lag Live

Danielle DiMartino Booth on Post-Pandemic Economic Trends, Inflation Metrics, and Investment Strategies

Oct 19, 2024
Danielle DiMartino Booth, a former Federal Reserve insider and author of "Fed Up," shares sharp insights on post-pandemic economic trends. She discusses the misleading nature of traditional inflation metrics and how Jerome Powell's strategies echo Paul Volcker's era. The conversation reveals troubling trends in job creation and the gig economy's impact on market confidence. Booth also tackles the future of interest rates, concerns over rising inflation, and investment strategies for retirees amid a widening wealth gap.
46:40

Podcast summary created with Snipd AI

Quick takeaways

  • The podcast highlights the disparity between optimistic job creation numbers and the reality of potential business closures, indicating economic fragility.
  • It emphasizes the Federal Reserve's challenging position in addressing inflation metrics that may not accurately reflect asset price changes or economic stability.

Deep dives

Impact of Business Creation and Bankruptcy Trends

The current environment has seen a surge in new business formations in the post-pandemic period, but forecasts may be misleading as the bankruptcy cycle intensifies. This influx of business creation might lead to an overestimation of economic stability as many newly formed businesses may not survive turbulent economic conditions. Analysts suggest that the birth-death model used to assess job creation is potentially inflating job numbers by not accurately capturing business closures. As the economic landscape shifts, it becomes essential to scrutinize these figures to grasp the underlying health of the economy.

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