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Intro
This chapter explores the surge in new business creation after the pandemic, while questioning whether this growth is overstated due to increasing bankruptcy rates. The speaker reflects on their experiences at the Federal Reserve and discusses their concerns and hopes for reform in inflation metrics and current practices.
Economic landscapes can be complex, especially in a post-pandemic world. Join us for an engaging discussion with Danielle DiMartino Booth, a former Federal Reserve insider, as she shares her insights on the evolving economic trends and the limitations of traditional inflation metrics. Discover how Jerome Powell's leadership and interest rate strategy draw parallels to the iconic Paul Volcker, and unravel the mystery behind rising 10-year rates amid the Fed's rate cuts. We also take a closer look at employment data, examining the potential for deeper job cuts and the quiet layoff strategies employed by major companies like Verizon.
Economic narratives often paint a rosy picture, but how accurately do they reflect reality? Our conversation delves into the discrepancies between initial and final job creation reports and the impact of the birth-death model on perceived business creation. Explore the growing trend of gig work as a financial strategy and its implications for market confidence and valuations. As bullish narratives dominate, we question what lies beneath the surface and how these dynamics might shape the economic landscape.
Looking toward the future, financial trends and predictions become crucial for investors. We analyze the potential decline in the federal funds rate and its effects on equity and bond investments, especially for older investors. Concerns about a resurgence of 1970s-style inflation and the housing market dynamics are on the table, with insights into the weakening consumer base. Danielle shares investment strategies, highlighting the importance of precious metals and well-managed municipal bonds in navigating this uncertain financial terrain. Tune in to gain a comprehensive understanding of these critical economic issues and their broader implications.
The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions.
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