Empire or Republic?: The Choice in ’24 | GoodFellows: John H. Cochrane, Niall Ferguson, H.R. McMaster, and Bill Whalen | Hoover Institution
Jan 11, 2024
auto_awesome
Hoover senior fellows Niall Ferguson, H.R. McMaster, and John Cochrane discuss escalating hostilities in the Middle East, the uncertainty of economic assumptions, and the odds of Cold War 2 turning into World War III. They also talk about the search for new university presidents, the state of the economy, and predictions on world leaders and ongoing wars.
Escalating hostilities in the Middle East and the uncertainty of certain economic assumptions were prominent themes discussed in the podcast.
The odds of Cold War 2 morphing into World War III and the choice between empire or republic were important aspects covered in the podcast.
The unlikely survival of Benjamin Netanyahu in 2024 and the continuation of conflicts in Israel and Ukraine were key takeaways from the podcast.
Deep dives
Prediction: Putin is most likely to survive 2024
Among the four leaders mentioned, Vladimir Putin is the most likely to survive 2024. He has a firm grip on power and has weathered numerous challenges in the past.
Least likely to survive 2024: Benjamin Netanyahu
Among the four leaders mentioned, Benjamin Netanyahu is the least likely to survive 2024. He faces multiple corruption charges and political opposition that could lead to his downfall.
Prediction: Both the Israel and Ukraine conflicts will continue in 2024
Both the conflicts in Israel and Ukraine are likely to continue throughout 2024. It is unlikely that resolution will be achieved within the year.
None of the Politico predictions are likely
All the predictions mentioned by Politico are highly unlikely. They involve scenarios that are not expected to occur in 2024.
No one would choose to vacation in Scotland in January
Given the choice, most people would not choose to vacation in Scotland in January, especially when other options like the Caribbean are available. Scotland's weather in January is typically cold and wet.
The new year begins with a continuation of three topics that figured prominently in 2023: escalating hostilities in the Middle East; a possible return to more traditional higher education after shake-ups at several elite American universities; plus the uncertainty of certain economic assumptions (in 2023, a much-prophesied recession that never materialized). Hoover senior fellows Niall Ferguson, H.R. McMaster, and John Cochrane also discuss the odds of Cold War 2 morphing into World War III; whether economic conditions will overshadow fearmongering in a grim Trump-Biden referendum (in Niall’s words: the choice of “empire or republic”); the best use of this leap year’s spare day; plus why King Charles III would choose to break with tradition by spending a “dry” January in a very wet Scotland.
Get the Snipd podcast app
Unlock the knowledge in podcasts with the podcast player of the future.
AI-powered podcast player
Listen to all your favourite podcasts with AI-powered features
Discover highlights
Listen to the best highlights from the podcasts you love and dive into the full episode
Save any moment
Hear something you like? Tap your headphones to save it with AI-generated key takeaways
Share & Export
Send highlights to Twitter, WhatsApp or export them to Notion, Readwise & more
AI-powered podcast player
Listen to all your favourite podcasts with AI-powered features
Discover highlights
Listen to the best highlights from the podcasts you love and dive into the full episode