Guests Jen Kirby, an independent national security reporter, and Sophia Besch, a senior fellow at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, dive into Germany's political landscape. They discuss the impending parliamentary elections and the rise of the far-right Alternative for Deutschland (AfD) party, examining its anti-immigrant stance and neo-Nazi ties. The conversation highlights the implications for both European and U.S. politics, alongside the socio-economic factors driving these developments and their potential impact on democratic values.
Germany's economic discontent and rising inflation have led to significant political strain, contributing to the far-right AFD's surge in popularity.
External influences, including statements from U.S. politicians and figures like Elon Musk, may embolden the far-right AFD, complicating U.S.-European relationships.
Deep dives
Economic Discontent and Political Strain in Germany
Germany is experiencing significant political strain due to economic discontent among the populace, exacerbated by rising inflation and cost of living. The current three-party coalition government, comprising the Social Democrats, Greens, and the FDP, has faced increased criticism for its fiscal policies which many citizens perceive as ineffective. This dissatisfaction has triggered a snap election, originally scheduled for 2025, as mounting tensions within the coalition rendered it untenable. The political landscape is precarious, and the outcome of the upcoming elections could shift the power dynamics significantly.
The Rising Influence of the Alternative for Germany (AFD)
The far-right Alternative for Germany (AFD) party is polling between 20 to 22 percent ahead of the elections, which is double its previous results. This rise is attributed to their anti-immigration platform and ability to resonate with voters dissatisfied with traditional parties. Political leaders are cautious of the AFD's potential influence despite the establishment of a 'firewall', an agreement among mainstream parties not to form coalitions with them. The significant representation in parliament would allow the AFD to disrupt legislative processes, shaping the political discourse in Germany moving forward.
Controversial External Influence from U.S. Figures
Recent remarks by U.S. Vice President J.D. Vance and billionaire Elon Musk have drawn attention to the potential external influence on German politics. Vance's statements at the Munich Security Conference suggested legitimacy for engaging with the AFD, which has sparked real concerns among German politicians about election interference. Musk’s support and amplification of AFD views via social media signal a troubling alignment with far-right elements in Europe. This intervention could embolden the AFD and shift the narrative surrounding traditional alliances, complicating the relationship between the U.S. and European nations.
A Complex Response to Historical Responsibility
Germany's culture of remembrance highlights a commitment to acknowledging the past, which contrasts starkly with the AFD's rise that seems to challenge this legacy. The AFD has attracted younger voters who may not carry the same sense of historical responsibility, creating a disconnect in public sentiment. The defensive public response toward the party stems from a reverence for historical accountability, as demonstrations against any normalization of extremist ideologies have been significant. Political parties must navigate this complex landscape, addressing underlying socio-economic grievances to reduce the appeal of the AFD among disillusioned voters.
Germany holds parliamentary elections this weekend, and political watchers there are expecting its nativist Alternative for Deutschland party to make gains, despite long being a political pariah. The pro-Putin, anti-immigrant AfD has neo-Nazi ties and has earned the praise of Elon Musk and a meeting with Vice President JD Vance. We look at Germany’s far right resurgence and what it means for the U.S. and Europe.
Guests:
Jen Kirby, Foreign and National Security Reporter
Sophia Besch, senior fellow, Europe Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace