The Next Big Idea Daily

Here's How to Get Lucky

Dec 15, 2025
Judd Kessler, a Wharton School economist, explores the fascinating world of hidden markets and strategies from his book, *Lucky by Design*. He discusses techniques like 'settling for silver' and multi-listing to improve your odds in lottery-like systems. Christian Busch, a community builder and expert on serendipity, introduces the 'Serendipity Mindset', emphasizing how to create unexpected opportunities. He shares insights on using open questions and a balance of direction and flexibility to navigate life's uncertainties.
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INSIGHT

Hidden Markets Shape Many Outcomes

  • Many everyday allocations happen in hidden markets that don't use price to sort who gets what.
  • Recognizing these hidden markets helps you see where different rules determine who wins.
ADVICE

Learn The Market Rules First

  • Learn the specific rules of each hidden market you care about before you play.
  • Then design a strategy that exploits those rules rather than guessing blindly.
ADVICE

Strategically Settle For Silver

  • Consider 'settling for silver' by selecting a less-contested option as your declared preference.
  • This raises your chance of success compared with competitively chasing the top choice.
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