Infinite Loops Annie Duke — Why We Make the Wrong Decisions (Ep. 296)
183 snips
Jan 8, 2026 
Annie Duke, a former professional poker player and decision strategist, dives deep into the art of decision-making. She explains how misinterpretation can be riskier than misinformation and emphasizes the importance of distinguishing between true data and misleading conclusions. Annie shares insights on teaching probabilistic thinking, the pitfalls of deterministic reasoning, and how to ask the right questions about data. She also discusses the role of luck versus decision quality, urging listeners to adopt decision hygiene practices for better outcomes.
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Relative Risk Misleads Public Policy
- Reporting relative risk without absolute denominators misleads public perception.
- Small absolute differences can be portrayed as large relative effects and cause harmful policy shifts.
Teach Probabilistic Decision Skills Early
- Teach probability, base rates, and forecasting as core decision skills early in school.
- Train students to use AI responsibly by showing prompts, sources, and uncertainty bounds.
Require AI Transparency And Prompt Skill
- When using AI, require students to show prompts, sources, and intermediate steps.
- Train kids to prompt critically to improve forecast accuracy and spotting hallucinations.
