Geopolitical Cousins

The New Cold Peace

34 snips
Oct 8, 2025
What happens when a superpower's bluff is called? The hosts dive into the unraveling of Russia, exploring fuel shortages and the myth of its strength. They discuss Ukraine's strategic strikes, the calculus behind Putin's nuclear threats, and the evolving European unity in the face of aggression. Beyond Europe, they highlight Gen Z’s global protests fueled by rising expectations. The conversation shifts to AI's transformative potential versus its hype, questioning whether it truly revolutionizes or merely matures tech.
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ANECDOTE

Paper Bear Moment Sparked Real Reaction

  • Jacob recounts observing social media momentum after calling Russia a 'paper bear' and noticing concrete policy changes like Poland preparing to shoot down Russian drones.
  • This illustrates how public analysis and media attention can presage rapid political reactions.
INSIGHT

Ukraine's Refinery-Targeting Strategy

  • Ukraine targets Russian refineries and distillates rather than crude pipelines to cripple Russia's internal fuel supply while keeping global oil prices down.
  • This strategy deepens Russia's economic pain without raising global oil, accelerating internal shortages and inflation.
INSIGHT

Fear Of Russia Has Eroded

  • Europe and Ukraine have been emboldened by three years of Russian restraint and failed escalations like tactical nukes or mass mobilization threats.
  • That loss of fear lets the West loosen targeting limits and pressure Russia more aggressively.
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