Russian Roulette cover image

Russian Roulette

Russia and the Middle East in 2025

Jan 23, 2025
Hanna Notte, Director of the Eurasian Nonproliferation Program, talks about Russia's evolving role in the Middle East. She highlights the impact of Russia's embrace of anti-Western forces like Iran and the consequences of its strategic partnership with them. The complexities of Russia's involvement in Syria are discussed, along with the necessity for Gulf states to counterbalance that influence. The intricate dynamics between Russia, Iran, North Korea, and China are examined, providing insight into shifting global security landscapes.
48:19

Episode guests

Podcast summary created with Snipd AI

Quick takeaways

  • Russia's foreign policy in the Middle East has become more confrontational towards the West, primarily influenced by the ongoing instability after Ukraine's invasion.
  • The downfall of the Assad regime in Syria has significantly weakened Russia's influence, as new power dynamics favor Israel and complicate relations with Iran and HTS.

Deep dives

Shifts in Russian Foreign Policy in the Middle East

Since Russia's invasion of Ukraine in 2022, its foreign policy in the Middle East has shifted towards a more confrontational stance against the West. The complexities of the region have influenced Russia's approach to different issues, including its engagement with Syria and the ongoing Israel-Palestine conflict. As Russia's interests have evolved, there has been a noticeable tilt away from a balanced strategy towards more anti-Western forces, particularly Iran and its allies. Despite some initial expectations that Russia could benefit politically from the conflict following the Hamas attack on Israel, the upheaval and resulting instability have ultimately positioned Russia weaker in the region than before.

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