Russian Roulette

Max and Maria spoke with Clayton Seigle about how new sanctions from the Trump administration could potentially impact Russian energy revenues. Additionally, they discussed the effects of Ukrainian drone strikes on Russian refineries. This conversation was recorded on October 23, 2025.

Max and Maria spoke with Leah Kieff and Vlad Lupan about the outcomes of the recent Moldovan parliamentary elections at the end of September, and why they're significant for both Moldova, and the broader region. This conversation was recorded on October 14, 2025.

Tina Dolbaia and Vasabjit Banerjee bring their expertise on Russian foreign policy and South Asian security to the discussion, focusing on their insightful paper on Russia-India relations. They explore the historical roots of their ties while dissecting the impact of the Ukraine invasion. Key topics include India's shift towards Western arms, the affordability and unique tech from Russia, and the complexities of India's oil purchases influenced by sanctions. They also debate strategic autonomy and the future of India's relationship with Russia amid U.S. pressures.

Michael McFaul, a former U.S. ambassador to Russia and Stanford political science professor, shares insights from his book, 'Autocrats vs. Democrats.' He discusses Russia's diminishing influence in the Middle East and contrasts its approach to that of China. McFaul critiques the Trump administration's Russia strategy, advocating for a blend of diplomacy and sanctions. He also explores societal divisions in Russia, emphasizing the broader accountability for the war beyond just Putin. A compelling dive into the nuances of U.S.-Russia relations!

Jade McGlynn, a research fellow at King's College London specializing in the war in Ukraine, shares her on-the-ground insights while traveling in Ukraine. She discusses the resilience of Kharkiv amid relentless attacks, the harsh realities under Russian occupation, and the political protests sparked by recent legislation from President Zelensky. Additionally, she highlights Denmark's innovative defense support and the complex negotiations between Ukraine and Russia, emphasizing the urgent need for European backing in this turbulent landscape.

Max and Maria dive into the intricate peace negotiations between Russia and Ukraine. They discuss the significance of the Trump-Putin meeting in Anchorage and its implications for future dialogues. The hosts highlight the evolving U.S. approach and the challenges that come with potential meetings between Putin and Zelensky. They also explore European support for Ukraine and the shifting dynamics of power in international diplomacy, touching on the complexities of U.S.-India relations regarding Russian oil. It's a thought-provoking analysis of a tense geopolitical landscape.

Harley Balzer, a professor emeritus of government and international affairs, and Sergei Guriev, the incoming Dean of the London Business School, delve into the profound failures of Putin's regime. They discuss unfulfilled promises of democracy and the dire consequences of economic stagnation, focusing on demographic decline and the treatment of migrant workers. The conversation reveals the complex dynamics of Russia's national identity and the grim challenges from sanctions and corruption. Yet, despite these shadows, they explore the glimmers of hope for potential change in Russia's future leadership.

This week, Max spoke with Michael Kimmage about the recent headlines connected to Russia and Ukraine, and what they mean for the coming months. "The Limits of Putin's Balancing Act: What the Kremlin Will Sacrifice in Pursuit of Victory in Ukraine," by Michael Kimmage and Maria Lipman (Foreign Affairs, July 2025)

Richard Giragosian, the founding director of the Regional Studies Center in Armenia, and Jeffrey Mankoff, an expert on Russia and Eurasia, dive into the complex geopolitics of the South Caucasus. They discuss the escalating tensions between Armenia and Azerbaijan, the historical roots of the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict, and Azerbaijan's growing ties with Turkey. The pair also explore Armenia's efforts to break free from Russian influence, strengthen Western relations, and navigate the challenges of its evolving political landscape.

Hanna Notte, Director of the Eurasia Nonproliferation Program, discusses the shifting dynamics in the Israel-Iran conflict and its implications for Russia. She reveals how recent hostilities diminish Russia's influence and complicate its Middle Eastern strategy. Notte analyzes the transformations in Russia-Israel relations amidst ongoing geopolitical tensions, emphasizing a potential shift toward a pro-Palestinian stance. The conversation also touches on how fluctuating oil prices from these conflicts might impact the Russian economy, highlighting both opportunities and limitations.