Dr Victoria Baines, a tech futurist and cybersecurity expert, discusses the next fifty years of tech. Topics include AI, extended reality, quantum computing, convergence of technologies, opportunities and challenges, embracing disruption, and the impact of technology on society and security. She also explores scenario building, historical predictions, immersive experiences, future advancements, cybersecurity education, and online safety measures.
Technological convergence will accelerate future advancements, creating opportunities and challenges.
Quantum computing growth necessitates new security measures to protect data privacy.
Deep dives
Future Visions and Technological Progress
Predicting the future is challenging due to the volatile and uncertain nature of the world. Scientific and technological progress allows us to better understand and anticipate developments, like weather patterns, by leveraging information technology. Analysis of interactions between technologies, social media, and artificial intelligence reveals the need for building plausible future scenarios and employing 'futures thinking' principles for strategic planning.
Evolution of Future Thinking and Scenarios
Futures thinking emerged from ritualistic divination practices to predict global impacts on policy and business operations. Originating in the mid-20th century, it was influenced by the Cold War and popularized by military and corporate entities like the Rand Corporation and Shell. Methods like scenario planning extended to board games like Future, envisioning potential technological advancements and societal transformations.
Challenges of Quantum Computing and IT Governance
The evolving landscape of quantum computing poses security threats, requiring new cryptographic protocols to safeguard data privacy. Quantum computing's exponential growth challenges the robustness of existing encryption methods, necessitating preemptive security measures. Proposals like the Y2Q concept envision a future where quantum computers may compromise current encryption standards, prompting efforts to develop post-quantum cybersecurity solutions.
Social Implications of Technological Advancements
Advancements in IT challenge traditional notions of identity, authenticity, and human-machine interactions. Synthetic influences, deepfake technologies, and immersive experiences reshape perceptions of reality and authenticity. Ethical considerations arise from technologies like death bots, blurring the lines between real and digital presence. Persistent digital personas and the integration of technology into human experiences signal a shift towards a more interconnected, tech-dependent society.
Come take a ride in the Tech Time Machine and explore how IT may change our lives in the next fifty years. By employing techniques used by science fiction writers, we can imagine how Artificial Intelligence, extended reality, mobile connectivity, quantum computing, and others will develop.
How will they converge, enable and accelerate each other? We can anticipate the opportunities and challenges technology may bring. Why should we fear disruption? Should we instead embrace it?
This lecture was recorded by Dr Victoria Baines on 7th May 2024 at Barnard's Inn Hall, London
The transcript and downloadable versions of the lecture are available from the Gresham College website: https://www.gresham.ac.uk/watch-now/future-tech
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