14min chapter

Gresham College Lectures cover image

The Next Fifty Years of Tech - Dr Victoria Baines

Gresham College Lectures

CHAPTER

Anticipating Change through Scenario Building and Historical Predictions

Exploring the shift from linear projections to scenario building, the chapter emphasizes the importance of considering interactions between factors in anticipating change. It also examines the impact of fiction writers and historical predictions on shaping technology development, alongside challenges in predicting technological advancements and examples of projects like Meta's Aquila drone and Google's Project Loon.

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