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Goldman Sachs Exchanges

What’s next for China’s economy?

Jul 21, 2023
22:37

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Podcast summary created with Snipd AI

Quick takeaways

  • China's recovery from COVID lockdowns has been less successful than anticipated due to pre-existing imbalances and the government's approach to the pandemic.
  • The youth unemployment rate in China has doubled since 2019, reaching 20%, with factors such as reliance on the service sector and skills mismatches exacerbating the issue.

Deep dives

China's Post-Reopening Recovery Disappoints

China's anticipated emergence from COVID lockdowns to boost the global economy has not met expectations, as a string of disappointing data raises concerns. The recovery and reopening impulse seemed to have only lasted for one quarter, with the second quarter showing a lackluster performance. Factors contributing to the less-than-anticipated recovery include pre-existing imbalances in the economy and the government's different approach in dealing with the COVID pandemic. Despite some easing signs and restocking, the recovery outlook remains cautious.

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