Riskgaming
“We have an addiction to prediction”
Mar 14, 2025
Graham Norris is an organizational consultant with a focus on foresight psychology, while Ian Curtiss is an independent scenario designer for Lux Capital. They dive into our innate aversion to uncertainty and how it clouds our ability to predict the future. The pair discuss the psychological barriers that limit effective strategic planning and the importance of scenario thinking. They also highlight the need for alignment between personal ambitions and organizational goals, advocating for innovative gaming methods to navigate unpredictability in decision-making.
28:22
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Quick takeaways
- Foresight psychology helps both individuals and organizations confront fear of the future, enhancing decision-making through scenario thinking.
- Organizational culture shapes future vision, aligning individual goals with collective objectives to foster motivation and effective long-term planning.
Deep dives
Understanding Foresight Psychology
Foresight psychology focuses on how individuals can combat their fear of the future to instigate change. This psychological framework emphasizes the importance of considering future scenarios in decision-making, allowing for better adaptability and preparation for inevitable change. By studying the adaptability of individuals, especially in cultures undergoing rapid transformation, like China, insights can be gained into how different thought processes affect preparedness for the future. In essence, improving foresight can enhance decision-making abilities by fostering a deeper understanding of potential future outcomes.
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