
Riskgaming
A podcast by venture capital firm Lux Capital on the opportunities and risks of science, technology, finance and the human condition. Hosted by Danny Crichton from our New York City studios.
Latest episodes

8 snips
Jul 16, 2025 • 35min
Finding a Third Way on the AI singularity
Mike Sexton, Senior Policy Advisor for AI and Digital Technology at Third Way, dives into the idea that the AI singularity is already here, subtly reshaping society. He discusses the critical need for Democrats to adopt fresh strategies on AI, moving beyond fears and anti-capitalist sentiments. The conversation touches on the importance of education and effective altruism, the potential of open-source AI to combat monopolies, and the ethical implications of integrating AI into daily life. Bipartisan cooperation is highlighted as essential for the future of America's AI industry.

19 snips
Jul 9, 2025 • 48min
How Jane Jacobs got Americans stuck
Yoni Appelbaum, a Senior Editor at The Atlantic and author of "Stuck," delves into America's striking decline in mobility and its implications. He contrasts Jane Jacobs' urban planning ideas with those of Robert Moses, revealing how well-meaning policies have inadvertently trapped communities. The discussion highlights how local zoning laws perpetuate exclusion and stifle growth. They also explore how COVID-19 reshaped mobility desires and examine potential solutions for fostering a more inclusive and prosperous American landscape.

Jun 27, 2025 • 36min
What America can learn from the rebooting of Estonia
Joel Burke, author and e-residency project leader in Estonia, discusses the remarkable transformation of his homeland from Soviet occupation to a digital powerhouse. He reveals how Estonia's innovative e-government promotes both privacy and efficiency, outperforming many nations. The conversation explores Skype's pivotal role, the balance between tech and privacy, and how Estonia's example can inspire U.S. policies. Burke also highlights the importance of national identity and the cultural shifts necessary for successful digital governance.

12 snips
Jun 20, 2025 • 48min
The relevant axis of political conflict is change versus stasis
Ryder Kessler and Catherine Vaughn, co-heads of Abundance New York, dive into the pressing political landscape of New York City. They discuss the challenges of soaring rents and homelessness, advocating for innovative community organizing. The duo shares insights on motivating local politics, the importance of engaging marginalized voices, and the influence of community boards. They highlight how grassroots movements can reshape the narrative around prosperity and promote effective housing and transit reforms.

6 snips
Jun 10, 2025 • 42min
Samuel Arbesman on his new book, The Magic of Code
Samuel Arbesman, a scientist-in-residence at Lux Capital, discusses his new book on the enchanting world of coding and its impact on our future. He shares insights into how coding can be seen as modern sorcery, transforming the way we understand language and AI. The conversation touches on the creative journey of writing the book, emphasizing the balance between playful exploration and productivity in programming. Arbesman also highlights the vital connection between humanities and technology, advocating for a holistic approach to education in the age of AI.

7 snips
Jun 6, 2025 • 35min
Can we ever defend against agricultural warfare?
Alicia Ellis, an Air Force veteran and director of the Master of Arts in Global Security at Arizona State University, dives deep into agricultural security. She discusses the rising threats of agricultural warfare, using the Russia-Ukraine conflict as a key example. Alicia shares insights on sustainable farming practices and the significance of government support. They explore the challenges of urbanization on agriculture and the need for innovations in water usage in arid regions. The conversation highlights the delicate balance between food security and geopolitical tensions.

8 snips
May 30, 2025 • 39min
For America, is big or open best for AI models?
Jared Dunnmon, founder of a stealth startup and former DIU member focusing on AI, dives into the heated debate between open-source and scaled AI models. He warns of the potential risks posed by China's advancements in AI, emphasizing the need for the U.S. to maintain dominance in this critical technology. The discussion also covers the complexities of trusting open versus closed models, the importance of secure AI development, and how benchmarking and collaboration can help navigate these competitive waters.

May 23, 2025 • 39min
It’s really hard to get DC to understand Silicon Valley
Bobby Franklin, president of the National Venture Capital Association, sheds light on the interplay between venture capital and U.S. policymaking. He discusses the significant legislative hurdles posed by the current administration, including tax reforms and regulatory challenges that impact startups. Franklin highlights the vital role of tech advocacy in navigating antitrust landscapes and the complexities of emerging AI regulations. His insights underscore the necessity of bridging the knowledge gap between Washington and Silicon Valley to foster innovation.

14 snips
May 16, 2025 • 27min
Remembering Daniel Kahneman on optimism and self-confidence (Part 2)
In this engaging conversation, Josh Wolfe, a founding managing partner at Lux Capital, reflects on the intricacies of optimism and self-confidence. He delves into the optimism paradox, explaining how heightened positivity doesn’t always lead to success. Wolfe also shares insights on the perils of overconfidence in venture capital and the ethical considerations involved in decision-making. Additionally, the intriguing 'hot hand' phenomenon is explored, revealing how perception can often mislead our understanding of success, both in finance and sports.

19 snips
May 8, 2025 • 26min
How to turn around America’s tech-industrial decline, now
Kelvin Yu, a fellow at the Foundation for American Innovation and editor of the Techno-Industrial Policy Playbook, dives into America's tech-industrial landscape. He discusses the alarming trends of financialization since the 1970s and critiques its impact on U.S. competitiveness. Yu highlights the playbook's 27 proposals aiming to revamp manufacturing and technology against Chinese competition. He emphasizes the importance of collaboration between Silicon Valley innovators and policymakers to revitalize America's industrial prowess and enhance national security.